The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Filtering by entity: America | Clear Filter
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Summary:A post highlights Marco Rubio's endorsement of a defense agreement involving NATO, stating that it represents a significant advantage for the United States.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Marco Rubio asserts that a defense deal involving NATO, associated with Donald Trump, constitutes a major success.
  • The deal is described as a 'big, beautiful win for America'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that the Federal Reserve's interest rate is excessively high, specifically at least 3 points above an optimal level, leading to the U.S. incurring substantial annual refinancing costs. It claims there is no inflation and that companies are extensively investing in America, which is described as the 'hottest Country in the World,' and demands a reduction in the interest rate.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The Federal Reserve interest rate is at least 3 points too high.
  • The current interest rate policy costs the U.S. $360 billion per point, per year, in refinancing costs.
  • There is no inflation.
  • Companies are relocating to or investing heavily in America.
  • America is 'the hottest Country in the World.'
  • The Federal Reserve should lower the interest rate.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post asserts that the FBI, under the leadership of Director Kash Patel and Deputy Director Dan Bongino, has recommitted to its core mission of locking up criminals and cleaning up America's streets. It claims that previous political interference and corrupt leadership hindered law enforcement professionals, but these obstacles are now removed, allowing them to operate effectively. The post also links rising deportations to the U.S. being on track for the lowest murder rate on record, suggesting these efforts contribute to making America safe again.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The FBI, led by Kash Patel and Dan Bongino, is effectively locking up criminals and cleaning up America's streets.
  • Previous "Politics" and "Corrupt Leadership" prevented law enforcement professionals from doing their jobs.
  • These hindrances are no longer present, allowing law enforcement to perform their duties.
  • Rising deportations are contributing to the U.S. being on track for the lowest murder rate on record.
  • These efforts are making America safe again.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post expresses gratitude to ICE officers for their work in reclaiming sovereignty and freedom, highlighting that the 'ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL ACT' will provide funding for the largest mass deportation operation in history. It states that this action, termed 'REMIGRATION,' is essential to prevent America from becoming a 'Third World Country' and will 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.'
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • ICE Officers are heroic and are fighting to reclaim sovereignty and freedom.
  • The 'ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL ACT' will fully fund and resource ICE.
  • This funding will enable the 'Largest Mass Deportation Operation in History.'
  • ICE Officers are under daily violent assault.
  • America is at risk of becoming a 'Third World Country' characterized by crime, failing schools, collapsing hospitals, and social dysfunction.
  • The proposed mass deportation is called 'REMIGRATION.'
  • 'REMIGRATION' will 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post presents a poll summary indicating that incumbent Republican Congressman Thomas Massie is vulnerable in the Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican Primary, asserting that a candidate endorsed by President Trump would defeat him, and highlighting President Trump's high popularity among Republican primary voters and strong support for his tax cut bill.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Incumbent Republican Congressman Thomas Massie is vulnerable in the Kentucky 4th Congressional District.
  • Only a bare majority (54%) of Republican primary voters are favorable to Thomas Massie, while 40% are unfavorable.
  • Only 52% approve of Massie's job performance in Congress.
  • A candidate endorsed by President Trump can defeat Congressman Massie.
  • A generic candidate with 13 years of experience and a conservative record would lose to a 'staunch supporter of President Trump and the America First Agenda' (53% to 19%).
  • A candidate endorsed by President Trump would defeat Thomas Massie (52% to 23%).
  • President Trump is extremely popular among Republican primary voters.
  • 87% approve of President Trump and his policies, with 75% strongly approving.
  • 85% are favorable to Donald Trump, with 66% very favorable.
  • Republican primary voters cite Massie's opposition to President Trump as a reason for disfavor.
  • Congressman Massie is seen as an opponent to President Trump by some, with 49% disagreeing that 'Thomas Massie supports Donald Trump.'
  • President Trump's Tax Cut bill is very popular.
  • 74% supported President Trump's tax cut bill that Congress recently passed.
  • 84% say it is important for President Trump's agenda to pass for America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post announces the House Republicans' passage of the "ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL ACT," emphasizing party unity and national prosperity. It invites members of Congress to a White House signing celebration for the bill, positioning it as the dawn of a new "Golden Age" for the United States, making its citizens "Richer, Safer, and Prouder."
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Republicans in the House of Representatives have passed the "ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL ACT."
  • The Republican Party is united like never before.
  • The Country is "HOT."
  • A Signing Celebration will occur at the White House tomorrow at 4 P.M. EST.
  • All Congressmen/women and Senators are invited to the celebration.
  • The celebration marks the Nation’s Independence and the beginning of a new "Golden Age."
  • The people of the United States of America will become Richer, Safer, and Prouder than ever before.
  • Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and Republican Members of Congress are thanked for delivering on promises.
  • Together, things previously unimagined possible are achievable.
  • They will continue working and winning.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:June border statistics are described as the lowest recorded in United States history, with zero releases of Illegal Aliens and significantly fewer nationwide encounters compared to the previous administration. The post asserts America's borders are safe and secure, and calls on Republicans to pass "THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" to maintain border security against attempts by "Radical Left Judges" to open the border and defy the Supreme Court. It emphasizes the need for Republicans to support Border Patrol, ICE, and CBP.
Sentiment:Triumphant and Directive
Key Claims:
  • The June Border Statistics are the lowest recorded numbers in United States history.
  • The U.S. Border Patrol reported ZERO releases of Illegal Aliens into the Country.
  • Customs and Border Protection had only 25,243 "Nationwide Encounters" in June.
  • The Biden Administration was previously "encountering" tens of thousands of people every single day.
  • America’s Borders are Safe and Secure, and the entire World acknowledges this.
  • Republicans need to pass “THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL” to maintain border security.
  • Radical Left Judges are attempting to open the Border and defy the Supreme Court.
  • Republicans must be smart and strong to prevent these judges from turning the country into a Third World Country.
  • The Men and Women of Border Patrol, ICE, and CBP are performing an amazing job.
  • These agencies require more assistance and are relying on Republicans to complete necessary actions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A major economic deal, if enacted, is expected to bring unprecedented economic growth and an economic renaissance to America, a process that is already unfolding in anticipation of the deal. This deal is presented as leading to a halved deficit, record investment, and an influx of cash, factories, and jobs into the USA.
Sentiment:Prosperity-focused
Key Claims:
  • The 'One Big Beautiful Deal' is entirely focused on growth.
  • If passed, America will experience an unprecedented economic renaissance.
  • This economic renaissance is already beginning due to anticipation of the 'Beautiful Bill'.
  • The deal will result in the deficit being cut in half.
  • The deal will bring about record investment.
  • Cash, factories, and jobs are currently pouring into the USA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:An anticipated economic renaissance in America will result from the 'One Big Beautiful Deal,' bringing about a significant reduction in the deficit, record investments, new factories, and abundant job opportunities.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The One Big Beautiful Deal is entirely focused on growth.
  • If passed, America will experience an economic renaissance unprecedented in history.
  • An economic renaissance is already manifesting in anticipation of the Beautiful Bill.
  • The Deal will result in the deficit being cut in half.
  • The Deal will lead to record investment, including cash, factories, and jobs, pouring into the USA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post quotes EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin commending the President's consistent efforts to achieve American energy dominance, establish the U.S. as the global AI capital, advance permitting reform, and promote cooperative federalism.
Sentiment:Laudatory
Key Claims:
  • The President is committed to achieving American energy dominance
  • The President aims to establish the United States as the global AI capital
  • The President seeks to advance permitting reform
  • The President intends to promote cooperative federalism
  • The President demonstrates consistency in pursuing these goals
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10