The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that significant economic growth has already begun and will be further amplified by the passage of a 'Big, Beautiful Bill,' which is expected to lead to unprecedented investments and record tariff revenues, contrasting this success with a previous 'mess' and urging Republicans to ensure the bill's passage.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Growth will be the primary reason for the success of the 'Big, Beautiful Bill'.
  • Growth has already begun at unprecedented levels.
  • Trillions of dollars are being invested into the USA.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs are filling Treasury coffers and setting new records.
  • America is growing out of a 'Sleepy Joe Biden MESS'.
  • America will make a fortune this year, surpassing competitors, if the 'Big, Beautiful Bill' is passed.
  • The author's past predictions have been accurate, making this prediction easy.
  • Republicans should not let 'Radical Left Democrats' push them around.
  • America has transformed from a 'DEAD' nation to the 'HOTTEST NATION IN THE WORLD'.
  • Republicans hold all the cards and intend to use them.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:An announcement details a trip to Iowa on Thursday, July 3rd, to launch the Celebration of America’s 250th Anniversary. The post highlights Iowa's purported support for the policies benefiting farmers and small businesses, and for America, asserting that Iowa voted for him three times. The event is described as a special occasion honoring the country and its heroes, with a promise to discuss past achievements in trade relevant to farmers, anticipating a large, positive crowd.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A trip to Iowa is scheduled for Thursday, July 3rd.
  • The purpose of the trip is to kick off America’s 250th Anniversary Celebration.
  • Iowa voted for him three times.
  • Iowa loves his policies for farmers and small businesses.
  • Iowa loves America.
  • The event will honor the country and brave heroes.
  • Past achievements on trade, particularly concerning farmers, will be discussed.
  • A large crowd is anticipated at the event.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post articulates a political slogan advocating for the restoration of national greatness.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Advocacy for the restoration of national greatness
  • A statement of political campaign intent
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post strongly criticizes Senator Thom Tillis, alleging his support for a significant tax increase, his failure to comprehend the necessity of a debt extension, and his detrimental stance on the North Carolina Tobacco Industry and support for costly, China-made windmills. It contrasts these points with the author's prior actions in North Carolina and outlines policy preferences for tax reductions, border security, a strong military, and economic benefits for farmers and manufacturers.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Senator Thom Tillis supports a 68% tax increase.
  • Tillis does not understand the importance of a debt extension.
  • Republicans previously granted a debt extension to Democrats.
  • Democrat politicians will likely not reciprocate on a debt extension.
  • Tillis is willing to harm the North Carolina Tobacco Industry.
  • Tillis supports China-made windmills that are expensive and ruin the landscape.
  • These windmills produce the most expensive energy.
  • Joe Biden allowed North Carolina to 'DROWN' during floods.
  • The author brought North Carolina back from tragic floods and received an A+ rating.
  • Tillis was 'MISSING IN ACTION' during flood recovery efforts.
  • North Carolina will not allow Tillis to grandstand for re-election.
  • America desires reduced taxes, including no tax on tips, overtime, or social security.
  • America wants interest deductions on cars, border security, a strong military, and beneficial legislation for farmers, manufacturers, and employment.
  • Thom Tillis is making a significant mistake for America and North Carolina.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post endorses Gianni Caldwell's new book, 'THE DAY MY BROTHER WAS MURDERED, My Journey Through America’s Violent Crime Crisis,' highlighting its tragic nature and potential to educate readers on addressing violent crime in America.
Sentiment:Promotional
Key Claims:
  • Gianni Caldwell is a great guy who is very successful at FoxNews.
  • Caldwell wrote a fantastic new book titled 'THE DAY MY BROTHER WAS MURDERED, My Journey Through America’s Violent Crime Crisis'.
  • The book recounts a tragic story.
  • The book provides valuable insights into America's violent crime crisis and solutions to stop it.
  • Gianni Caldwell and his family have experienced significant hardship.
  • The book is recommended for immediate purchase.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post states that the national air traffic control system has been in decline for many years, characterizing it as a 'decrepit relic,' and asserts that 'The One Big Beautiful Bill' will modernize it, establishing America's air traffic control system as the best and most advanced globally.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The air traffic control system has experienced many years of decline.
  • The current air traffic control system is a 'decrepit relic'.
  • 'The One Big Beautiful Bill' will modernize the air traffic control system.
  • The modernization will result in America having the best and most advanced air traffic control system on Earth.
  • The new system will be superior to all others 'by far'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:A proposed "One Big Beautiful Bill" is presented as a means to secure borders, boost the economy, and restore the American Dream, embodying the "Make America Great Again" agenda.
Sentiment:Campaigning / Visionary
Key Claims:
  • A 'One Big Beautiful Bill' exists
  • The bill will secure borders
  • The bill will turbocharge the economy
  • The bill will restore the American Dream
  • The bill embodies the 'Make America Great Again' agenda
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays a message from Ralph Reed praising a decisive action taken by the recipient to strike Iran's nuclear sites, asserting that previous administrations enabled Iran's terror and nuclear ambitions, and characterizing the action as a historic and courageous moment for America, Israel, and the world.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A bold decision was made to strike nuclear sites in Iran.
  • Obama and Biden allowed Iran, described as the bloodiest regime, to terrorize with impunity.
  • Obama and Biden subsidized Iran's terror and nuclear ambitions.
  • The recipient demonstrated unique courage in making this decision, acting as no other president would.
  • God intervened to spare the recipient's life in Butler, PA and at Trump International, enabling this historic decision.
  • The decision is compared to actions by Reagan and Churchill.
  • America, Israel, and the world are grateful for this action.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays a fabricated text message from Mark Rutte praising Donald Trump for decisive action in Iran that made everyone safer, for a successful agreement in The Hague for European nations to commit 5% defense spending, and for achieving unprecedented success for America and Europe, stating Europe will pay more, which will be Trump's win.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump took decisive action in Iran that made everyone safer.
  • Trump successfully negotiated with European nations in The Hague to commit to '5 percent' (implied defense spending/GDP).
  • Trump's achievements surpass those of any American president in decades.
  • Europe will contribute significantly more financially, which is presented as a 'win' for Trump.
  • The post frames these actions and outcomes as successes attributable to Trump's leadership.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays an image of Donald Trump alongside a claim of 56% approval, citing Rasmussen Reports, framed as 'Proof That America Loves Trump' over a background depicting an American flag and visual elements suggesting global conflict and geopolitical tensions from an apparent news broadcast ticker.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has a 56% approval rating.
  • The 56% approval rating is proof that America loves Trump.
  • The approval rating source is Rasmussen Reports.
  • Russia has warned the US regarding direct military aid to Israel.
  • China plans to help its citizens.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10