The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump's past positions and statements were entirely correct, emphasizing his overall correctness.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump was correct in all his past positions and statements.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post advocates for passing "The One Big Beautiful Bill," which is described as delivering the largest tax cut in history for middle- and working-class Americans.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A bill, referred to as "The One Big Beautiful Bill," should be passed.
  • This bill delivers the largest tax cut in history.
  • The tax cut is specifically for middle- and working-class Americans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:Donald Trump has secured a record-shattering $1.4 billion for his political war chest.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has secured $1.4 billion.
  • The secured amount of $1.4 billion is a record-shattering achievement.
  • The funds are designated for a political war chest.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A political leader presents a significant legislative bill promoted as offering substantial benefits, including eliminating taxes on tips, providing tax cuts for families, generating over one million new jobs, and increasing the child tax credit. The leader is shown addressing a supportive crowd, appearing to represent various working sectors.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A significant legislative bill is being presented.
  • The bill will eliminate taxes on tips.
  • The bill will provide tax cuts for families.
  • The bill will create over 1 million new jobs.
  • The bill will increase the child tax credit.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post presents Donald Trump's commitment to eliminating taxes on Social Security benefits.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Elimination of taxes on Social Security benefits
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A significant piece of legislation, referred to as "The One, Big, Beautiful Bill," has been passed by the Senate, an achievement presented with Donald Trump associated with its success.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A significant piece of legislation, described as 'The One, Big, Beautiful Bill,' has passed the Senate.
  • Donald Trump is associated with the passage of this bill.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The United States Senate has passed a bill identified as "President Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill," which is presented as a "MAGA VICTORY."
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A "MAGA VICTORY" has occurred.
  • The United States Senate passed a bill.
  • The passed bill is specifically "President Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post advocates for the passage of a bill, referred to as "The One Big Beautiful Bill," which it claims will deliver the largest tax cut in history for middle- and working-class Americans.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A bill called "The One Big Beautiful Bill" should be passed.
  • This bill will provide the largest tax cut in history.
  • The tax cut is specifically designed for middle- and working-class Americans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A portrait of Donald Trump, created by artist Vanessa Horabuena, is now on display in the Colorado State Capitol, as indicated by the image showing the portrait and a person adjusting it, and the accompanying text.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A portrait of Donald Trump has been created by artist Vanessa Horabuena.
  • The portrait is now on display in the Colorado State Capitol.
  • The post expresses gratitude to the artist and the people of Colorado.
  • The plaque displayed with the portrait identifies Donald Trump as the 45th and 47th President, serving terms from 2017-2021 and 2025-2029.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An announcement details a trip to Iowa on Thursday, July 3rd, to launch the Celebration of America’s 250th Anniversary. The post highlights Iowa's purported support for the policies benefiting farmers and small businesses, and for America, asserting that Iowa voted for him three times. The event is described as a special occasion honoring the country and its heroes, with a promise to discuss past achievements in trade relevant to farmers, anticipating a large, positive crowd.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A trip to Iowa is scheduled for Thursday, July 3rd.
  • The purpose of the trip is to kick off America’s 250th Anniversary Celebration.
  • Iowa voted for him three times.
  • Iowa loves his policies for farmers and small businesses.
  • Iowa loves America.
  • The event will honor the country and brave heroes.
  • Past achievements on trade, particularly concerning farmers, will be discussed.
  • A large crowd is anticipated at the event.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10