The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post highlights a future narrative of national success and security, detailing achievements in record-breaking tariffs, enhanced border security, and safer cities.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • There is a winning streak
  • Record-breaking tariffs are in effect
  • Border security is achieved
  • Cities are safer
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post presents Donald Trump alongside statistics from a "WASHINGTON DC CRACKDOWN," detailing total arrests and illegal firearms seized, as well as figures from the previous night.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • An ongoing "WASHINGTON DC CRACKDOWN" is occurring.
  • A total of 1,761 arrests have been made.
  • A total of 195 illegal firearms have been seized.
  • 92 arrests were made last night.
  • 27 illegal firearms were seized last night.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post presents data on Donald Trump's perceived dominance on TikTok, detailing 293 billion all-time views for #Trump content. It highlights content performance metrics projected for 2025, including billions of views for #MAGA, #AmericaFirst, peace/ceasefire, #Army250 parade, 'Big Beautiful Bill,' and content covering stock market gains and falling food/gas prices. Additionally, it asserts that @realDonaldTrump is the most-followed political account in nearly all US states, with @KamalaHarris being the most-followed only in the National Capital Region.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • #Trump content has accumulated 293 billion all-time total views on TikTok.
  • In 2025, #MAGA content achieved 122 billion total views.
  • In 2025, #AmericaFirst content achieved 631 million total views.
  • In 2025, Trump-related peace/ceasefire content achieved 3 billion views.
  • In 2025, Trump-related #Army250 parade content achieved 2 billion views.
  • In 2025, Trump-related 'Big Beautiful Bill' content achieved 507 million views.
  • In 2025, content covering stock market gains related to Trump achieved 39 billion total views.
  • In 2025, content covering falling food/gas prices related to Trump achieved 363 million total views.
  • @realDonaldTrump is the #1 most-followed political account in every state outside of the National Capital Region (DC, MD).
  • @KamalaHarris is the #1 most-followed political account in the National Capital Region (DC, MD).
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:U.S. Military Forces, acting on orders, conducted a kinetic strike against identified Tren de Aragua Narcoterrorists in the SOUTHCOM area of responsibility, killing 11 while they were transporting illegal narcotics in international waters, and issued a warning against drug trafficking into the United States.
Sentiment:Authoritative Warning
Key Claims:
  • U.S. Military Forces, on orders from Donald Trump, conducted a kinetic strike.
  • The strike targeted Tren de Aragua (TDA) Narcoterrorists.
  • TDA is a designated Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO).
  • TDA operates under the control of Nicolas Maduro.
  • TDA is responsible for mass murder, drug trafficking, sex trafficking, and acts of violence and terror across the United States and Western Hemisphere.
  • The strike occurred in international waters.
  • The TDA members were transporting illegal narcotics, heading to the United States.
  • The strike resulted in 11 terrorists killed in action.
  • No U.S. Forces were harmed in this strike.
  • The action serves as a warning to anyone considering bringing drugs into the United States of America.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post shares a Variety article reporting that Woody Allen wants to direct Donald Trump in another movie, citing Allen's positive experience working with Trump on 'Celebrity' in 1998, where Allen found him a pleasure to work with and a very good actor.
Sentiment:Positive Appraisal
Key Claims:
  • Woody Allen desires to direct Donald Trump in another movie.
  • Woody Allen found Donald Trump a pleasure to work with on the 1998 film 'Celebrity'.
  • Woody Allen considers Donald Trump a very good actor.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The President of the United States announces that Rudy Giuliani will be awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom, describing him as the greatest Mayor in New York City history and a great American Patriot.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The President of the United States will award Rudy Giuliani the Presidential Medal of Freedom.
  • Rudy Giuliani is the greatest Mayor in the history of New York City.
  • Rudy Giuliani is a great American Patriot.
  • The Presidential Medal of Freedom is the highest civilian honor in the country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post celebrates Labor Day, recognizing 250 years of contributions by the American Worker, and features Donald Trump engaging directly and positively with workers.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Labor Day is being celebrated.
  • The American Worker is being celebrated for 250 years of contributions.
  • Donald Trump is shown in positive engagement with American workers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump questions the assignment of the same federal judge to his current case regarding fast-track deportations, who also presided over a previous federal case, and demands the judge's recusal, referencing a Politico article about the judge blocking his efforts.
Sentiment:Challenging
Key Claims:
  • The same judge is assigned to a current case concerning fast-track deportations as to a previous federal case.
  • The assignment of this particular judge is subject to questioning.
  • The judge must recuse from the current case.
  • A federal judge has blocked efforts by Donald Trump to expand fast-track deportations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump is depicted at a gas station alongside an Axios headline declaring the upcoming Labor Day will feature the cheapest driving in years.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • The upcoming Labor Day will offer the cheapest driving conditions in years.
  • Low fuel prices are an anticipated reality for the Labor Day period.
  • Donald Trump and the Republican Party are associated with this positive economic situation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post features an image of Donald Trump, overlaid with the text 'AMERICA IS HOT' and set against a fiery background, implying a state of intense activity or popularity associated with America.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • America is currently 'hot'
  • America is experiencing a period of intense activity or popularity
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10