The Stable Genius Report

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Filtering by entity: The Philippines | Clear Filter
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Summary:President Ferdinand Marcos of the Philippines visited the White House, where a trade deal for open market access and zero tariffs with the United States was concluded. The deal also states the Philippines will pay a 19% tariff. Additionally, military cooperation was agreed upon, and President Marcos was praised for his leadership and negotiation skills.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Ferdinand Marcos of the Philippines visited the White House.
  • A trade deal was concluded between the United States and the Philippines.
  • The trade deal makes the Philippines an open market with the United States.
  • The trade deal includes zero tariffs with the United States.
  • The Philippines will pay a 19% tariff as part of the deal.
  • Military cooperation between the two countries was agreed upon.
  • The visit was a beautiful experience.
  • It was a great honor to be with President Marcos.
  • President Marcos is highly respected in his country.
  • President Marcos is a very good and tough negotiator.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The White House informs the President of the Philippines that, effective August 1, 2025, the United States will impose a 20% tariff on all Philippine products due to persistent trade deficits and non-reciprocal trade policies, further stating that if the Philippines raises its tariffs, the US will add an additional 20% to its own charges, while also inviting the Philippines to increase its manufacturing within the US.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States and the Philippines have a strong, committed trading relationship.
  • The United States has a significant, long-term, and persistent Trade Deficit with the Philippines.
  • The trade deficit is caused by the Philippines' Tariff and Non-Tariff Policies and Trade Barriers.
  • The trade relationship between the US and the Philippines is 'far from Reciprocal'.
  • Starting August 1, 2025, the US will charge a 20% tariff on all Philippine products imported into the United States.
  • Goods transshipped to evade higher tariffs will be subject to the higher tariff.
  • The 20% tariff is presented as 'far less than what is needed to eliminate the Trade Deficit disparity'.
  • If the Philippines raises its tariffs, the US will add an additional 20% onto its existing charge.
  • The US invites the Philippines to participate in the 'extraordinary Economy of the United States' and build or manufacture products within the US.
  • The US will expedite approvals for companies deciding to build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • The trade deficits are 'unsustainable' and pose a 'major threat to our Economy and, indeed, our National Security!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10