The Stable Genius Report

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Filtering by entity: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent | Clear Filter
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Summary:The post by 'Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent' on October 22, 2025, asserts that the U.S. budget deficit dramatically shrank in the second quarter of 2025. It claims the cumulative deficit from April to September 2025 was $468 billion, the lowest since 2019 and nearly 40% lower than the comparable period in 2024, attributing this reduction to President Trump's leadership and contrasting it with alleged reckless spending by the Biden administration. The post states President Trump is stabilizing the U.S. financial system with soaring revenues and controlled spending, dismissing Democratic attempts to undermine this progress.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The budget deficit began to shrink dramatically in the second quarter of 2025.
  • From April to September 2025, the cumulative deficit totaled $468 billion.
  • The $468 billion deficit in 2025 is the lowest reading since 2019.
  • The 2025 deficit is down nearly 40% from the comparable period in 2024.
  • The reduction in deficit is presented as occurring when there was no overlap with the Biden administration.
  • The deficit reduction contrasts with the Biden administration's alleged 'reckless spending' in 2024.
  • President Trump is putting the U.S. financial system on solid footing.
  • Revenues are soaring and government spending is under control.
  • Democrats' attempts to undo this progress by 'shutting down the government' will not succeed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:A newspaper article highlights a projected significant increase in real wage growth for blue-collar workers under Donald Trump's potential second term, contrasting it with declines observed during Joe Biden's administration and other past presidencies.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Blue-collar real wage growth reached almost 2% in the first five months of Donald Trump's projected second term, which would be the largest increase in 60 years.
  • Joe Biden's administration saw a negative real wage growth of -1.7% in 2021 for blue-collar workers.
  • Donald Trump's first term (2017) also showed positive real wage growth (1.3%).
  • Falling inflation under Trump (projected second term) is contributing to improved blue-collar wages.
  • Biden's policies, including a purported removal of 'emphasis on manufacturing' and the influx of 'illegal migrants,' put pressure on wages.
  • A Trump-backed 'budget reconciliation bill' would provide relief for blue-collar workers and eliminate federal income taxes on overtime pay.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10