The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post declares that Donald Trump's past positions and statements are correct.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump's past positions and statements are correct in all aspects.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post features Donald Trump celebrating Independence Day, surrounded by patriotic American symbols, and subtly referencing his past and potential future presidencies.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is depicted celebrating Independence Day.
  • The post utilizes strong American patriotic imagery including the flag, bald eagles, and fireworks.
  • The image includes a representation of the White House, associating Donald Trump with the presidency.
  • The '45-47' on the cap symbolizes Donald Trump's past presidency (45th) and a potential future presidency (47th).
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post commemorates Independence Day, featuring Donald Trump and another individual observing fireworks, accompanied by a holiday greeting.
Sentiment:Celebratory
Key Claims:
  • The post extends a greeting for Happy Independence Day.
  • The post observes the 4th of July holiday.
  • The image depicts a celebration with fireworks.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A simulated newspaper front page from July 4, 2025, depicts President Trump celebrating multiple achievements, including the bombing of Iran's nuclear sites, Supreme Court victories, a declining unemployment rate, and the signing of a major tax-cut bill.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Iran nuclear sites were bombed.
  • Iran has been neutralized.
  • Victories occurred at the Supreme Court.
  • The unemployment rate dropped.
  • A 'Big Beautiful' tax-cut bill passed and will be signed by President Trump on July 4, 2025.
  • President Trump has concluded a two-week victory streak.
  • Supporters are potentially 'tired of winning' due to the sustained success.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post describes a welcome extended to Edan Alexander, who was held hostage by Hamas for 584 days, to the Oval Office with his loved ones, and reaffirms a commitment to securing the release of all remaining hostages.
Sentiment:Humanitarian
Key Claims:
  • Edan Alexander was held hostage by Hamas for 584 days.
  • Edan Alexander was welcomed to the Oval Office with his loved ones.
  • There is an ongoing commitment to bringing every hostage home.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post praises Republican Strategist T.J. McCormack's performance on NewsMax, emphasizing his significant expertise.
Sentiment:Commendatory
Key Claims:
  • T.J. McCormack delivered an excellent performance on NewsMax.
  • T.J. McCormack possesses extensive knowledge.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post promotes a new book by Newt Gingrich titled 'TRUMP’S TRIUMPH, America’s Greatest Comeback,' describing it as fantastic and encouraging immediate purchase.
Sentiment:Promotional
Key Claims:
  • Newt Gingrich has written a book.
  • The book is titled 'TRUMP’S TRIUMPH, America’s Greatest Comeback.'
  • The book is a prominent topic of discussion in D.C.
  • The book is fantastic.
  • Newt Gingrich consistently performs commendably.
  • The book should be purchased immediately.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post draws attention to an outcome of 218-2, expressing surprise and inquiring about the historical uniqueness of such a numerical result.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A numerical outcome of 218-2 was achieved.
  • The outcome is exceptionally surprising.
  • The uniqueness of this outcome in history is questioned.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post expresses gratitude to the state of Iowa, featuring an image of Donald Trump in a vehicle wearing a cap indicating his past and potential future presidency, with a link to a YouTube video of an event.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • An expression of gratitude to the state of Iowa.
  • Acknowledgement of supporters or a public event in Iowa.
  • A campaign message suggesting a return to the presidency (47th president) following a previous term (45th president).
  • Promotion of content from a recent event in Iowa via a YouTube link.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A major legislative bill has successfully navigated through the U.S. Congress and is now prepared for the President's approval, marking a significant success.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A "Big Beautiful Bill" has been passed by the U.S. Congress.
  • The bill is now advancing to the President's desk for his signature.
  • This legislative achievement is presented as a "VICTORY."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10