The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Currently showing: All Posts | Activate Red-Alert Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post celebrates a significant Senate victory with a "GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL," attributing its success to specific Republican senators and other party members, and outlines future policy objectives.
Sentiment:Triumphant, Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A "GREAT VICTORY" was achieved in the Senate with a "GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL."
  • The victory was due to the "Fantastic Work" of Senators Rick Scott, Mike Lee, Ron Johnson, and Cynthia Lummis.
  • All Republican Patriots who voted for the Bill truly love the Country.
  • As President, the author is proud of these individuals.
  • Future policy goals include: growing the economy, reducing wasteful spending, securing the border, fighting for the military/vets, ensuring Medicaid helps those truly in need, and protecting the Second Amendment.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post questions Senator Rand Paul's vote against an unspecified measure and expresses disapproval of his actions.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Rand Paul voted 'NO' tonight
  • Rand Paul's vote indicates a problem with him
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that Republicans are engaged in a battle against a malevolent, corrupt, and policy-wise incompetent group of Democrats who prioritize the nation's decline over beneficial actions. It claims Democrats favor a significant tax increase, open borders, and a weakened military, citing a past debt extension granted by Republicans as an unreciprocated act. The post highlights the Democrats' unity and powerful congressional rules, urging Republicans to adopt similar cohesion and rule advantages, while emphasizing their own superior people and policies as sufficient for electoral success.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Republicans are fighting against an evil, corrupt, and policy-wise incompetent group of Democrats.
  • Democrats prefer to see the Country 'go down in flames' rather than do the right thing.
  • Democrats desire a 'Biggest Tax Hike in History' (68%).
  • Democrats want 'No Border Spending' (Open Borders!).
  • Democrats advocate for a weak, underfunded Military.
  • Republicans gave the Democrats a Debt Extension, but Democrats will not reciprocate.
  • Democrats possess an ability to stick together and vote as one group, lacking 'GRANDSTANDERS'.
  • Democrats benefit from House and Senate Rules that give great power to their leaders (e.g., Committee Chairmanships).
  • Republicans do not have similar powerful rules or unity but should acquire them.
  • Republicans possess wonderful people and phenomenal Policy.
  • Republicans' qualities should consistently win Elections.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The author plans to meet with individuals interested in running against Senator Thom Tillis in the Primary election, with the objective of identifying a candidate suitable to represent the people of North Carolina and the United States.
Sentiment:Influential
Key Claims:
  • Numerous individuals are interested in challenging Senator Thom Tillis in the Primary.
  • The author intends to meet with these individuals in the coming weeks.
  • The purpose of these meetings is to identify a candidate who will properly represent the people of North Carolina and the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post strongly criticizes Senator Thom Tillis, alleging his support for a significant tax increase, his failure to comprehend the necessity of a debt extension, and his detrimental stance on the North Carolina Tobacco Industry and support for costly, China-made windmills. It contrasts these points with the author's prior actions in North Carolina and outlines policy preferences for tax reductions, border security, a strong military, and economic benefits for farmers and manufacturers.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Senator Thom Tillis supports a 68% tax increase.
  • Tillis does not understand the importance of a debt extension.
  • Republicans previously granted a debt extension to Democrats.
  • Democrat politicians will likely not reciprocate on a debt extension.
  • Tillis is willing to harm the North Carolina Tobacco Industry.
  • Tillis supports China-made windmills that are expensive and ruin the landscape.
  • These windmills produce the most expensive energy.
  • Joe Biden allowed North Carolina to 'DROWN' during floods.
  • The author brought North Carolina back from tragic floods and received an A+ rating.
  • Tillis was 'MISSING IN ACTION' during flood recovery efforts.
  • North Carolina will not allow Tillis to grandstand for re-election.
  • America desires reduced taxes, including no tax on tips, overtime, or social security.
  • America wants interest deductions on cars, border security, a strong military, and beneficial legislation for farmers, manufacturers, and employment.
  • Thom Tillis is making a significant mistake for America and North Carolina.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald J. Trump, identified as President of the United States of America, expresses profound appreciation and commendation for an individual named Jamie, praising their work as great, tough, insightful, and incredible.
Sentiment:Commendatory
Key Claims:
  • Jamie performs a great, tough, insightful, and incredible job.
  • Donald J. Trump, identified as President, consistently observes Jamie's work and notes their unwavering effectiveness.
  • Donald J. Trump, identified as President, extends gratitude to Jamie for their exceptional work.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump's tariff strategy is portrayed as a clever and successful approach that could generate $400 billion in annual revenue for US taxpayers, improve business planning, employment, and financial markets, potentially outsmarting other nations.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Trump administration's strategy for trade deals involves an initial period of higher tariffs (30% on China, 10% on others) followed by a 12-month window for countries to lower non-tariff barriers and open their economies.
  • Extending the deadline and establishing permanently higher tariffs would be positive for business planning, employment, and financial markets.
  • This approach is expected to generate $400 billion in annual revenue for US taxpayers.
  • Trade partners will be satisfied with a 10% tariff rate.
  • The administration's trade strategy has potentially outsmarted all critics and opponents.
  • Prolonged elevated uncertainty carries greater downside risk for the economy, as depicted in the provided chart showing real GDP response to policy uncertainty shocks.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post expresses strong disapproval of the legal proceedings against Benjamin Netanyahu, portraying them as a political witch hunt designed to interfere with critical negotiations with Hamas and efforts to counter the Iranian nuclear threat. It asserts that these legal actions are a disservice to the United States' support for Israel and calls for Netanyahu's immediate release from the courtroom.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • The legal proceedings against Bibi Netanyahu are terrible.
  • Bibi Netanyahu is a War Hero and a Prime Minister who worked fabulously with the United States to eliminate the dangerous Nuclear threat in Iran.
  • Bibi Netanyahu is currently negotiating a deal with Hamas to secure the return of hostages.
  • The charges against Netanyahu are trivial ('Cigars, Bugs Bunny Doll, etc.') and amount to 'NOTHING'.
  • The legal process against Netanyahu is a 'POLITICAL WITCH HUNT', similar to one the author endured.
  • This 'travesty of 'Justice'' will interfere with both Iran and Hamas negotiations.
  • The actions of the 'out-of-control prosecutors' are 'INSANITY'.
  • The United States spends billions annually protecting and supporting Israel and will 'not stand for this'.
  • The legal proceedings 'greatly tarnish' a 'Great Victory' achieved with Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu at the helm.
  • Bibi Netanyahu should be released ('LET BIBI GO') as he has 'a BIG JOB TO DO'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump is depicted at a gas station with a prominent headline from The New York Times indicating that summer gas prices have reached levels not seen since 2021.
Sentiment:Campaigning / Economic Focus
Key Claims:
  • Summer gas prices are currently at their lowest levels since 2021.
  • The New York Times reports this economic development.
  • Donald Trump is visually associated with the topic of gas prices and economic conditions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:In the preceding 12 days, decisions with substantial, generational impacts on American culture, economy, and political alignment were made by or because of President Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Consequential decisions impacting American history, culture, economy, and political alignment occurred in the past 12 days.
  • These decisions were a direct result of President Donald Trump's actions or influence.
  • Specific areas of impact include US Steel, Iran, and the broader MAGA movement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10