The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post queries public opinion on whether foreign-born citizens should be barred from running for office, accompanied by an image featuring two individuals, one identifiable as Representative Ilhan Omar.
Sentiment:Questioning Eligibility
Key Claims:
  • The post poses a question about whether foreign-born citizens should be prohibited from holding public office.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post amplifies a message that an individual in Chicago, who set a woman on fire, had 72 prior arrests, exceeding an earlier reported figure of 49. It quotes a judge's comment regarding not putting everyone behind bars based solely on a State Attorney's request and characterizes the situation as a "generational betrayal." The original post, shared by Elon Musk with a "Yes," is then further shared by Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Critical of Justice System
Key Claims:
  • A man in Chicago set a woman on fire.
  • The man had 72 prior arrests, an increase from a previously reported 49.
  • A judge stated, 'I can't put everyone behind bars just because the State Attorney asks me to.'
  • This situation constitutes a 'generational betrayal.'
  • Elon Musk affirms agreement with the presented narrative by stating 'Yes.'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Mike Lee advocates for the immediate passage of the SAVE Act to safeguard elections from foreign interference and fraud, calling on citizens to contact their senators and representatives if they support the initiative.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • The SAVE Act must be passed now.
  • The SAVE Act will protect elections from foreign interference.
  • The SAVE Act will protect elections from fraud.
  • Citizens should contact their senators and representatives if they agree with the need for the SAVE Act.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump's post shares a message advocating for Republicans to mandate the SAVE ACT and $1 Trillion in spending cuts in the upcoming January budget bill, threatening a government shutdown as a consequence of non-compliance, and asserting that such actions fulfill the mandate for which Trump was elected, contrasting with current "bloated Biden budgets" that are described as dooming a generation.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Republicans must attach the SAVE ACT and $1 Trillion in spending cuts to the next budget bill in January.
  • Failure to attach these measures should result in a government shutdown.
  • Donald Trump was elected to implement such fiscal policies.
  • Current Biden budgets are considered bloated and detrimental to future generations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post calls for the passage of an unspecified legislative action referred to as 'THE SAVE ACT'.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Advocacy for passing 'THE SAVE ACT'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post asserts the Republican Party's current high level of unity and significant growth in membership, despite specific individuals and internal disagreements regarding the filibuster. It attributes a strong border, substantial tax cuts, a thriving economy, and record-high stock market performance to a Republican administration. The post concludes by projecting continued success and urging a vote for Republicans.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The Republican Party has never been so united as it is currently.
  • The Republican Party is much larger now than in 2015, with millions more members.
  • There is internal disagreement within the Republican Party regarding the termination of the filibuster.
  • Democrats would terminate the filibuster at their first opportunity.
  • A Republican administration achieved the strongest border ever.
  • A Republican administration enacted the biggest tax cuts.
  • A Republican administration presided over the best economy.
  • A Republican administration saw the highest stock market in USA history.
  • The best is yet to come under Republican leadership.
  • Voters should support Republicans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The President expresses strong disapproval regarding any potential expansion of certain news networks, specifically ABC and NBC, asserting they operate as an illegal campaign arm of the Democrat Party and the Radical Left, advocating for their contraction instead of growth.
Sentiment:Directive and Critical
Key Claims:
  • Certain networks, specifically ABC and NBC, are 'Radical Left Networks'.
  • ABC and NBC are a 'disaster'.
  • ABC and NBC operate as 'a virtual arm of the Democrat Party'.
  • ABC and NBC should be viewed as 'an illegal campaign to the Radical Left'.
  • There should be 'NO EXPANSION OF THE FAKE NEWS NETWORKS'.
  • These networks should be made 'SMALLER'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A social media post, originally from user Jim Moran and shared by Donald Trump, advocates for the impeachment and prosecution of unnamed individuals described as "traitorous sons of bitches" and "pompous traitorous communists" on grounds of sedition.
Sentiment:Aggressive and Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Unnamed individuals are traitorous and communist
  • These individuals should be prosecuted for sedition
  • These individuals should be impeached
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post asserts that 18 U.S.C. §2387 unequivocally states that instructing the U.S. military to disregard the Commander-in-Chief is unlawful.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • 18 U.S.C. §2387 is a crystal clear legal statute.
  • It is prohibited to direct the U.S. military to ignore the Commander-in-Chief.
  • The Commander-in-Chief's authority over the military is legally enshrined and must be upheld.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A post asserts that a video produced by Democrats constitutes an active call for military members to defy or remove the duly elected President. It labels the Democratic party as a "Domestic Terrorist party" and urges Conservatives to stop tolerating this "DemSurrection," advocating for legal action against them.
Sentiment:Incendiary
Key Claims:
  • Democrats released a video that is an active call to action for military members to defy or take out the President.
  • Conservatives must stop tolerating the 'DemSurrection'.
  • The Democratic party has become the party of 'Domestic Terrorists'.
  • Legal action is needed against the Democratic party.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10