The Stable Genius Report

• The jobs report for June 2025 shattered expectations.
• 147,000 new jobs were added in June 2025.
• @POTUS' America First policies are unleashing historic growth and prosperity for workers.

The reported addition of 147,000 new jobs in June 2025, which 'shattered expectations,' indicates strong economic performance. This positive jobs data, especially when attributed to specific pro-growth policies, would likely be interpreted as bullish for the overall economy and corporate earnings, potentially leading to an increase in S&P 500 values.

The post focuses exclusively on domestic economic achievements and policy, with no references to international conflict, threats, or military actions.

• Commodities: Gold (XAU) could see a slight decline if strong job numbers reduce safe-haven demand and reinforce expectations of a stronger economy. Oil (WTI) might experience an increase due to an improved demand outlook from robust economic growth.
• Currencies (Forex): The US Dollar Index (DXY) would likely strengthen as strong jobs data could lead to expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance or increased foreign investment attracted by economic growth, boosting the dollar's appeal.
• Global Equities: S&P 500 and Nasdaq would likely experience positive movement, driven by the strong jobs report signaling economic health and potential for increased corporate profits. Other global equity markets, such as STOXX 600, Nikkei 225, and Hang Seng, could see a positive spillover from improved global economic sentiment.
• Fixed Income (Bonds): US 10Y and 2Y yields would likely rise as strong job growth typically reduces demand for safe-haven bonds and can signal potential inflationary pressures or less accommodative monetary policy. Credit spreads might narrow due to reduced economic risk.
• Volatility / Derivatives: The VIX would likely compress as positive economic news generally reduces market uncertainty and perceived risk, leading to lower volatility expectations.
• Crypto / Digital Assets: Bitcoin (BTC) could behave as a risk-on asset, potentially rising in correlation with equity markets, benefiting from increased overall liquidity and investor risk appetite associated with strong economic data.
• Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: Normal correlations would likely hold, with equities rising and bonds falling. The strong economic data would typically alleviate concerns about systemic risk or liquidity stress.
• Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: A positive jobs report like this often boosts retail investor confidence, potentially leading to increased engagement and bullish sentiment across various asset classes, reflecting optimism about economic prospects.