The Stable Genius Report

• Tariffs are having a huge positive impact on the Stock Market.
• New stock market records are set almost every day.
• Hundreds of Billions of Dollars are pouring into the Country’s coffers due to tariffs.
• A 'Radical Left Court' ruling against these policies now would be impossible to recover from.
• Such a ruling would cause a 'Great Depression' akin to 1929.
• The U.S.A. would not be able to pay back these massive sums of money and honor.
• A ruling against America's 'wealth, strength, and power' should have occurred much earlier.
• America could not recover from such a 'judicial tragedy' at this stage.
• The author knows the Court System better than anyone.
• The author has gone through unprecedented 'trials, tribulations and uncertainties'.
• The Country deserves 'SUCCESS AND GREATNESS', not 'TURMOIL, FAILURE, AND DISGRACE'.

The post directly links tariffs to 'huge positive impact on the Stock Market' and explicitly warns that an adverse court ruling could lead to '1929 all over again, a GREAT DEPRESSION,' referring directly to an economic collapse that would severely impact the S&P 500.

The post focuses on domestic economic policy (tariffs) and potential domestic judicial intervention. There are no explicit threats, ultimatums, or references to international military action or conflict escalation with other nations.

• Commodities: Gold (XAU) would likely see an initial safe-haven bid amidst extreme fear, but could face pressure from pervasive deflation. Oil (WTI) would plummet due to a catastrophic collapse in global demand. Industrial metals like Copper would also fall sharply. Short-Term Watchlist: XAU/USD price action, global demand indicators for crude. Medium-Term Focus: Global recessionary pressures, central bank emergency responses, USD strength.
• Currencies (Forex): The US Dollar Index (DXY) could see an initial safe-haven bid amidst widespread panic, but long-term confidence in the U.S. economy might erode, leading to significant volatility. Major pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY would react sharply to risk-off sentiment and capital flight. Short-Term Watchlist: Global liquidity conditions, central bank emergency measures. Medium-Term Focus: International capital flows, sovereign debt concerns, global growth differentials.
• Global Equities: All major global equity indices (S&P 500, Nasdaq, STOXX 600, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng) would experience severe and widespread selling pressure, potentially triggering market circuit breakers and extended closures. Confidence would evaporate across all sectors. Short-Term Watchlist: Futures trading limits, VIX spikes to extreme levels, global index performance. Medium-Term Focus: Corporate bankruptcies, systemic financial contagion, potential government bailout programs.
• Fixed Income (Bonds): US 10Y and 2Y yields would likely fall sharply due to a flight to safety into U.S. Treasuries, though this could be challenged by long-term fiscal concerns. Credit spreads would widen dramatically as corporate defaults escalate. Yield curve inversions would become extreme. Short-Term Watchlist: UST yield levels, TED spread, corporate bond market liquidity. Medium-Term Focus: Sovereign credit ratings, debt ceiling rhetoric, global bond market liquidity, central bank quantitative easing (QE).
• Volatility / Derivatives: The VIX would spike to historic, unprecedented levels, reflecting extreme market fear and uncertainty. Options positioning would become highly skewed towards downside protection, amplifying market movements. Short-Term Watchlist: VIX levels versus historical highs, 0DTE options activity, SKEW index. Medium-Term Focus: Systemic risk, breakdown of market structure, potential for emergency regulatory interventions.
• Crypto / Digital Assets: Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets would likely experience a significant sell-off due to extreme risk aversion and a flight from speculative assets. Liquidity withdrawal would be severe, though some might argue for a long-term role as a hedge against traditional financial collapse. Short-Term Watchlist: BTC/USD price action, stablecoin redemptions, crypto exchange volumes. Medium-Term Focus: Regulatory responses to systemic crisis, long-term investor confidence in traditional versus decentralized finance.
• Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: Normal cross-asset correlations would break down, with equities, commodities, and risk assets selling off in unison. Signs of severe margin calls, liquidity stress across all financial systems, and potential bank runs would emerge. Short-Term Watchlist: MOVE index, interbank lending rates, gold/USD and equity/bond correlations. Medium-Term Focus: Global financial stability, central bank coordination, sovereign debt defaults, systemic collapse potential.
• Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: Retail sentiment would plunge into extreme panic and capitulation. Social media would be dominated by fear and despair, potentially triggering coordinated selling or attempts at short squeezes in highly distressed assets. Short-Term Watchlist: Social media trends (Twitter/X, Reddit), retail trading platform outages, sentiment surveys. Medium-Term Focus: Long-term erosion of investor confidence, potential for new regulatory measures to protect retail investors, or attempts to limit speculative behavior.