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Summary:Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard states that newly declassified Top Secret emails from December 22, 2016, reveal how DNI James Clapper demanded the Intelligence Community (IC) align with the 'Russia Hoax' in creating the 'manufactured' January 2017 Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA) about Russia, which was done under President Obama's order. The emails show Clapper admitting it was a 'team sport' that necessitated 'compromise on our normal modalities,' while Admiral Michael Rogers expressed concerns about his team's access to underlying intelligence and review time regarding the DNC/DCCC hacks.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Newly declassified Top Secret emails expose the origins of the January 2017 ICA about Russia.
  • President Obama ordered the creation of a 'manufactured' January 2017 ICA about Russia.
  • DNI James Clapper demanded the Intelligence Community fall in line behind the 'Russia Hoax'.
  • Clapper admitted the ICA process was a 'team sport' requiring 'compromise on our normal modalities'.
  • The January 2017 ICA on Russian election interference constitutes a 'Russia Hoax'.
  • Admiral Michael Rogers raised concerns that his team lacked sufficient access and time to review intelligence related to the DNC/DCCC hacks.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10

The post discusses past U.S. intelligence community actions and political narratives. It does not introduce new economic policies, regulatory changes, or direct impacts on specific industries or major corporations that would warrant a significant S&P 500 market reaction. Any impact would be limited to general political sentiment rather than fundamental market drivers.

Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10

The post focuses on historical U.S. domestic intelligence processes and political accusations. It does not contain elements that suggest a risk of international conflict escalation, such as threats against foreign nations, military posturing, or direct implications for global security stability.

Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
  • Commodities: No direct impact. Gold might see minimal safe-haven demand if general political uncertainty rises, but this post is unlikely to be a primary driver. Oil and industrial metals are unaffected. Short-Term Watchlist: General risk sentiment. Medium-Term Focus: Broader political stability in the US.
  • Currencies (Forex): No direct impact. The US Dollar Index (DXY) might see negligible fluctuations if it contributes to overall USD risk sentiment, but the magnitude would be very small. Short-Term Watchlist: USD reaction to general political news flow. Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
  • Global Equities: Minimal impact. Could marginally influence U.S. political sentiment, but not likely to cause significant movements in the S&P 500, Nasdaq, or international indices. No specific sector implications are evident. Short-Term Watchlist: Futures open, but expecting no discernible movement. Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
  • Fixed Income (Bonds): No direct impact on yields. No flight to safety is anticipated from this content alone. Credit spreads are unlikely to be affected. Short-Term Watchlist: UST 10Y yield levels (no expected change). Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
  • Volatility / Derivatives: The VIX is unlikely to spike or compress due to this post. The content is not market-moving in nature. Short-Term Watchlist: VIX levels (no expected change). Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
  • Crypto / Digital Assets: No direct impact. Bitcoin (BTC) or other digital assets would not be influenced by this specific political historical revelation. Short-Term Watchlist: BTC/USD (no expected change). Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
  • Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: No signs of systemic risk or breakdown in correlations are implied. This content does not affect liquidity or financial stability. Short-Term Watchlist: No specific indicators to watch. Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
  • Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: Unlikely to trigger retail speculation in specific assets. It might generate political discussion on social media, but not direct market behavior. Short-Term Watchlist: No specific retail-driven assets. Medium-Term Focus: No specific drivers.
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