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Summary:States that have invested in wind and solar energy are experiencing unprecedented increases in electricity and energy costs, a situation described as the 'scam of the century,' leading to a stance against future approval of wind or solar installations in the USA.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • States that have built and relied on windmills and solar for power are seeing record breaking increases in electricity and energy costs.
  • The reliance on windmills and solar for power is 'The Scam of the Century.'
  • Future approval for wind or 'farmer destroying Solar' will not occur.
  • The 'days of stupidity are over in the USA.'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10

The post outlines a strong future policy stance against renewable energy sources (wind and solar). This could significantly impact companies within the renewable energy sector listed on the S&P 500, potentially leading to a re-evaluation of their future growth prospects and valuations. Conversely, it could signal potential support for traditional energy sectors, affecting their stock performance.

Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10

The post focuses exclusively on domestic energy policy and costs within the USA. It contains no explicit threats, ultimatums, or references to military action that would suggest a likelihood of international conflict escalation.

Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
  • Commodities: A policy shift away from renewables could lead to increased demand for traditional fossil fuels (oil, natural gas) within the USA, potentially influencing global energy commodity prices like WTI. Conversely, demand for metals used in renewable infrastructure could see reduced growth.
  • Currencies (Forex): A significant shift in US energy policy could have a marginal impact on the US Dollar Index (DXY) by influencing investor sentiment towards the US economy's long-term energy independence and industrial competitiveness, but it is unlikely to be a primary driver.
  • Global Equities: Shares of renewable energy companies globally, particularly those with exposure to the US market, are likely to face negative pressure. Traditional energy sector stocks could see a positive re-rating. Overall S&P 500 performance would depend on the relative weighting of these sectors and broader market reaction to policy certainty.
  • Fixed Income (Bonds): Direct impact on US Treasury yields is likely to be limited. However, perceived changes in inflation outlook due to energy costs or broader economic policy shifts could indirectly influence bond market sentiment. Corporate bond spreads in the energy sector could widen for renewables and tighten for traditional energy.
  • Volatility / Derivatives: Sector-specific volatility for renewable energy stocks is likely to increase. Broader market volatility (VIX) may see a slight uptick due to policy uncertainty, but unlikely to spike significantly unless it is part of a larger policy shift or economic package.
  • Crypto / Digital Assets: No direct or immediate impact is foreseen on Bitcoin (BTC) or other digital assets. Crypto markets typically react more to macro liquidity, risk-on/risk-off sentiment, or specific regulatory developments within the crypto space.
  • Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: The post is unlikely to trigger systemic market risk or a breakdown in major cross-asset correlations. Its impact is more likely to be sector-specific reallocation of capital rather than a broad market event.
  • Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: The rhetoric could influence retail investor sentiment, potentially leading to shifts in investment focus from renewable energy exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and stocks towards traditional energy companies. It could also reinforce existing ideological divides among retail investors regarding energy policy.
Key Entities:
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