The Stable Genius Report

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Summary:Donald Trump shares a statement attributed to Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, praising Trump for orchestrating a "Miracle." The accompanying image, an alleged email from Huang, states that an NVIDIA colleague, Avinatan Or, was released from Hamas captivity as a result of "President Trump's peace agreement and the cease-fire take effect," leading to the return of all hostages and the beginning of healing for the region.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Jensen Huang states that President Trump "did the Miracle."
  • Jensen Huang expresses pride and gratitude towards President Trump.
  • An NVIDIA colleague, Avinatan Or, was released from Hamas captivity after two years.
  • Avinatan Or's release occurred through the Red Cross in Gaza.
  • The release of Avinatan Or and all hostages is attributed to "President Trump's peace agreement and the cease-fire take effect."
  • The return of hostages signifies the close of a painful chapter and the start of healing for the region.
  • Thousands of NVIDIA employees have faced immense pain, loss, and uncertainty during a war.
  • NVIDIA lost a colleague, Amit Chayut, and another colleague, Eyal, suffered the loss of his daughter and partner.
  • Jewish, Druze, and Arab families have experienced immense losses.
  • The NVIDIA community has remained steadfast and supportive.
  • The moment of release marks a step toward recovery, renewal, and lasting peace for all affected by the war.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10

The post features Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, a major technology company that significantly influences the S&P 500. While the primary narrative focuses on a peace agreement and hostage release rather than direct company performance or economic policy, the public political endorsement from a prominent CEO can subtly influence investor sentiment regarding leadership and stability. However, the direct impact on the S&P 500's fundamental economic drivers or corporate earnings from this specific content is likely to be negligible.

Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10

The post describes a "peace agreement" and "cease-fire" leading to the release of a hostage and the return of "all hostages," explicitly attributing these developments to "President Trump's actions." This narrative suggests a de-escalation and resolution of conflict, thereby indicating a reduction in immediate geopolitical risk. It does not contain threats, ultimatums, or military references for escalation.

Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
  • Commodities: Gold (XAU) and Oil (WTI) are unlikely to experience significant movement. The described event is a localized peace development, not a broad geopolitical shift impacting global supply or demand fundamentals for commodities.
  • Currencies (Forex): The US Dollar Index (DXY) and major currency pairs would likely see negligible impact. The post does not contain information related to monetary policy, interest rates, or broad economic outlooks that would typically drive significant currency fluctuations.
  • Global Equities: S&P 500, Nasdaq, STOXX 600, Nikkei 225, and Hang Seng would likely show no direct material impact. The event is a specific geopolitical development, not a widespread economic or corporate news item affecting global earnings or risk premiums, despite the mention of NVIDIA's CEO.
  • Fixed Income (Bonds): US 10Y and 2Y yields would likely remain unaffected. The narrative does not provide catalysts for shifts in inflation expectations, central bank policy, or broad flight-to-safety dynamics.
  • Volatility / Derivatives: The VIX is expected to remain stable. The post describes a de-escalation of a specific conflict rather than an event that introduces broad market uncertainty or systemic risk.
  • Crypto / Digital Assets: Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets would likely see no significant impact. The post does not relate to macro liquidity, regulatory news, or broad shifts in risk-on/risk-off sentiment that typically drive crypto markets.
  • Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: No indicators of systemic risk or breakdown in correlations are present. The event is too specific and localized to trigger such broad market effects.
  • Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: While a prominent CEO is mentioned, the content is political and related to a specific geopolitical event, not a call to action for specific stocks or an event likely to spark broad retail speculation in meme stocks or altcoins.
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