The Stable Genius Report

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Summary:The post asserts the author's decisive victory in the 2024 Presidential Election, including all seven swing states, the popular vote, and the Electoral College. It highlights accomplishments such as settling 8 wars, achieving 48 new stock market highs, a great economy, and restored global respect, alongside having brought down inflation. The post strongly criticizes the New York Times and reporter Katie Rogers for publishing what is described as a biased "hit piece" falsely suggesting a loss of energy, despite recent perfect physical and cognitive test results and high poll numbers.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The New York Times is a "Failing" and "soon to fold" organization.
  • The New York Times produces "hit pieces" and almost everything it writes about the author is purposely negative, including election results.
  • The New York Times is an "ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE."
  • Katie Rogers is a "third rate reporter" who is "ugly, both inside and out" and is assigned to write only bad things about the author.
  • The author won the 2024 Presidential Election in a landslide, securing all seven swing states, the popular vote, and the Electoral College by a significant margin.
  • The author won the Nation’s Districts by 2750 to 550, a complete wipeout.
  • The author settled 8 wars.
  • The author presided over 48 new stock market highs.
  • The economy is great under the author's leadership.
  • The country is respected again all over the world, "like never before."
  • The last administration had the highest inflation in history.
  • The author has already brought inflation down to normal, and prices, including groceries, are coming down.
  • The author has never worked so hard in his life, which is required to achieve these results.
  • Claims about the author losing energy are false, contradicted by a recent perfect physical exam and an aced comprehensive cognitive test.
  • The author currently has the highest poll numbers ever.
  • Record-setting investment is being made in America, which should lead to further increases in poll numbers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10

The post includes claims of a "great economy," "48 New Stock Market Highs," and inflation coming down, alongside "record setting investment being made in America." While these statements could be interpreted as generally positive for market sentiment by reinforcing an optimistic economic outlook, they are retrospective claims of success and political rhetoric rather than new policy directives or specific corporate announcements. The primary focus of the post is a defense against media criticism. Therefore, the direct, immediate impact on the S&P 500 is likely to be minimal, mostly influencing general sentiment rather than driving specific market moves.

Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10

The post primarily focuses on domestic political disputes, past economic achievements, and personal attacks against media organizations and individuals. It does not contain direct threats, ultimatums, or military references that would suggest an escalation of international conflict. The mention of "settled 8 wars" is a retrospective claim of achievement, not a current geopolitical action or threat.

Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
  • Commodities: The post claims inflation is "down to normal" and prices are "coming down," which could theoretically lessen demand for inflation hedges like Gold (XAU). However, the general political friction and criticism of media could create mild uncertainty, potentially offering slight support to safe-haven assets. No direct mentions of supply shocks or industrial demand. Short-Term Watchlist: XAU/USD price action. Medium-Term Focus: Inflation trends.
  • Currencies (Forex): Claims of a great economy and decreasing inflation could be seen as moderately supportive of the US Dollar (DXY) in the long term, implying a stable economic outlook. However, the post lacks specific monetary policy or trade policy details that would drive significant currency movements. Short-Term Watchlist: Global risk sentiment. Medium-Term Focus: Central bank divergence.
  • Global Equities: Claims of "48 New Stock Market Highs" and an "Economy is Great" could reinforce existing positive sentiment for US equities, particularly the S&P 500, by bolstering confidence in the economic narrative. However, the contentious tone and focus on political criticism might introduce some minor, background level of uncertainty. No direct implications for non-US equities. Short-Term Watchlist: Futures open, S&P 500. Medium-Term Focus: Earnings revisions, macro data.
  • Fixed Income (Bonds): The narrative of inflation being "down to normal" could imply less pressure for aggressive Federal Reserve action, potentially supporting bond prices and leading to stable or slightly falling yields. The political rhetoric might generate minor safe-haven demand due to uncertainty, but no strong drivers are present. Short-Term Watchlist: UST 10Y yield levels. Medium-Term Focus: Fed dot plots, economic surprise indices.
  • Volatility / Derivatives: The post's critical and combative tone, while not directly threatening market stability, could contribute to a background level of political uncertainty. However, it does not contain specific market-moving news likely to cause a significant spike in the VIX or other volatility indices. Short-Term Watchlist: VIX levels. Medium-Term Focus: Macro policy uncertainty.
  • Crypto / Digital Assets: The post is highly political and does not directly reference crypto or digital assets. The claims of a strong economy and declining inflation might be seen as broadly positive for risk assets if Bitcoin (BTC) is viewed as such, but the impact would be indirect and minimal, with no direct catalyst for specific crypto moves. Short-Term Watchlist: BTC/USD. Medium-Term Focus: Regulatory news, macro liquidity backdrop.
  • Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: The post does not contain information that would suggest a breakdown in normal cross-asset correlations or trigger systemic risk. Its focus is on a domestic political narrative and economic claims rather than financial system stability or systemic vulnerabilities. Short-Term Watchlist: Gold/USD co-movement. Medium-Term Focus: Central bank intervention.
  • Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: The post's strong claims of success, particularly regarding the economy and stock market, combined with the aggressive criticism of media, could resonate with a segment of retail investors, reinforcing their confidence in the described economic conditions. However, it's unlikely to trigger specific retail speculation in meme stocks or altcoins. Short-Term Watchlist: Twitter/X trends. Medium-Term Focus: Social media influence on market structure.
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