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Summary:California and Colorado are identified as top outbound states for 2025, with their significant resident outflow attributed to the actions of "bad governors," despite the states' natural advantages.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • California and Colorado are projected to be among the top states for residents leaving in 2025.
  • This outflow of people is a direct result of poor governance by the states' governors.
  • The negative impact of "bad governors" can undermine the attractiveness of even geographically blessed areas.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10

The post discusses state-level population trends and criticism of state governance, which typically have localized or long-term economic effects rather than immediate broad market S&P 500 impacts. It does not mention federal policy, specific industries, or major corporate actions.

Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10

The post focuses on internal U.S. domestic issues regarding state governance and population movement, with no references to international relations, foreign policy, military actions, or threats that would impact geopolitical stability.

Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
  • Commodities: The post contains no information relevant to global commodity markets. Gold (XAU) will not be impacted by fear or inflation from this content. Oil (WTI) price action will not be affected by state-level U.S. migration data.
  • Currencies (Forex): The post has no bearing on central bank expectations, risk appetite, or safe-haven flows, and therefore will not impact the US Dollar Index (DXY) or major currency pairs like USDJPY, EURUSD, or USDCNH.
  • Global Equities: The commentary on U.S. state migration trends is unlikely to influence global equity markets such as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, STOXX 600, Nikkei 225, or Hang Seng, as it lacks macro-economic, policy, or corporate drivers.
  • Fixed Income (Bonds): There is no content in the post that would prompt a flight to safety or impact interest rate expectations, thus US 10Y and 2Y yields are not expected to move, nor are credit spreads likely to widen or tighten.
  • Volatility / Derivatives: The domestic, state-focused nature of the post, without any mention of systemic risks, economic shocks, or major policy changes, makes a VIX spike or significant options positioning shifts highly unlikely.
  • Crypto / Digital Assets: The post's content is unrelated to the drivers of Bitcoin (BTC) or other digital assets, such as regulatory news, liquidity cycles, or macro hedges. No impact is expected.
  • Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: The post does not introduce any information that would lead to a breakdown in normal cross-asset correlations or signal systemic liquidity stress in global markets.
  • Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: The post is political commentary on state governance and population trends, not the type of content that typically triggers retail speculation in specific assets like meme stocks or altcoins.
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