The Stable Genius Report

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Summary:The post urges voters to support Republican gubernatorial candidates over Democrats, asserting that Republicans will deliver massive energy cost reductions, large-scale tax cuts, and a more affordable life, while Democrats are associated with high crime, expensive energy, and specific social policies.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Mikie Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger support 'transgender for everybody'.
  • Mikie Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger support men playing in women’s sports.
  • Democrats are responsible for high crime.
  • Democrats are responsible for the most expensive energy prices.
  • Voting Republican will lead to massive energy cost reductions.
  • Voting Republican will lead to large scale tax cuts.
  • Voting Republican represents basic common sense.
  • Under President Trump, gasoline will come down to approximately $2 a gallon very soon.
  • With Democrats, gasoline will be $4, $5, and $6 a gallon.
  • With Democrats, electric and other energy costs will soar.
  • Voting Republican leads to a great and very affordable life.
  • Voting Democrat leads to unrelentingly high crime.
  • Voting Democrat leads to energy prices through the roof.
  • Voting Democrat leads to men playing in women’s sports.
  • Voting Democrat leads to heartache.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post asserts that the 2020 Presidential Election was rigged and stolen by Democrats, representing the biggest scandal in American history, which led to a "Crooked Moron" becoming "President" and harming the country. It contrasts this with NBA players cheating at cards, suggesting the election scandal is far worse. The post urges the DOJ to pursue this matter with vigor to prevent recurrence, including in upcoming Midterms, and advocates for election reforms such as no mail-in or "Early" Voting and implementing Voter ID. It also claims the California Prop Vote is dishonest due to millions of ballots being shipped, advising Republicans to act before it is too late.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • NBA Players cheat at cards and likely much else.
  • Democrats cheat on elections.
  • The 2020 Presidential Election was 'Rigged and Stolen'.
  • The 2020 Presidential Election is the 'biggest SCANDAL in American history'.
  • A 'Crooked Moron' became 'President,' causing harm to the country.
  • Everything about this situation is now known.
  • The DOJ should pursue this scandal with significant 'gusto'.
  • If not pursued, election cheating will happen again, including in the 'upcoming Midterms'.
  • Advocates for the elimination of 'mail-in' and 'Early' Voting.
  • Supports implementing Voter ID.
  • The California Prop Vote is 'totally dishonest' due to 'Millions of Ballots being 'shipped.''
  • Republicans need to 'GET SMART, BEFORE IT IS TOO LATE!!!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The Democrats are described as having gone 'totally crazy,' lacking care for the people, and having no leadership. The post asserts they should approve an extension to facilitate the country returning to work and ensuring people are paid.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Democrats have gone totally crazy.
  • Democrats do not care about the people.
  • Democrats have no leadership.
  • Democrats should approve an extension.
  • Approving an extension would get the country back to work.
  • Approving an extension would get the people paid.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post by 'Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent' on October 22, 2025, asserts that the U.S. budget deficit dramatically shrank in the second quarter of 2025. It claims the cumulative deficit from April to September 2025 was $468 billion, the lowest since 2019 and nearly 40% lower than the comparable period in 2024, attributing this reduction to President Trump's leadership and contrasting it with alleged reckless spending by the Biden administration. The post states President Trump is stabilizing the U.S. financial system with soaring revenues and controlled spending, dismissing Democratic attempts to undermine this progress.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The budget deficit began to shrink dramatically in the second quarter of 2025.
  • From April to September 2025, the cumulative deficit totaled $468 billion.
  • The $468 billion deficit in 2025 is the lowest reading since 2019.
  • The 2025 deficit is down nearly 40% from the comparable period in 2024.
  • The reduction in deficit is presented as occurring when there was no overlap with the Biden administration.
  • The deficit reduction contrasts with the Biden administration's alleged 'reckless spending' in 2024.
  • President Trump is putting the U.S. financial system on solid footing.
  • Revenues are soaring and government spending is under control.
  • Democrats' attempts to undo this progress by 'shutting down the government' will not succeed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Jack Ciattarelli is endorsed for New Jersey, with the assertion that he will lower energy costs, contrasting him sharply with Mikie Sherrill, who is portrayed as ineffective and responsible for increasing energy costs.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Jack Ciattarelli is a winner for New Jersey.
  • Mikie Sherrill is a stone cold loser.
  • Mikie Sherrill will drive energy costs through the roof.
  • Democrats are driving energy costs up across the Country.
  • Mikie Sherrill has no understanding of what she is doing regarding energy costs.
  • Jack Ciattarelli will bring energy costs down to a new low.
  • Energy costs under Mikie Sherrill will go up by levels never seen before.
  • Mikie Sherrill has no clue what she is doing.
  • Jack Ciattarelli will never let New Jersey down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Eight highly respected Republican U.S. Attorneys are not being confirmed for their positions in consequential states because Democrats have convinced Chuck Grassley to uphold the "Blue Slip" tradition, which is described as an outdated custom that the Radical Left Democrats exploit for their advantage.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Eight highly respected U.S. Attorneys are not being confirmed for their positions.
  • Their non-confirmation is due to their Republican affiliation.
  • Democrats convinced Chuck Grassley to honor the 'Blue Slip' tradition.
  • The 'Blue Slip' tradition is stupid, outdated, and ridiculous.
  • This tradition precludes talented and dedicated people from attaining High Office.
  • Democrats violate this practice to get their own people in, but Republicans do not.
  • The careers of these eight people have been badly hurt.
  • The Radical Left Democrats are using this old custom strictly to their advantage.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump claims that due to a 'Radical Left Shutdown' led by Chuck Schumer and Democrats, troops are at risk of missing paychecks on October 15th. He states that he is using his authority as Commander in Chief to direct Secretary of War Pete Hegseth to ensure troops are paid using identified funds, asserting that Democrats are holding the military and national security hostage and calling for them to open the government to address other issues.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • Chuck Schumer stated, 'Every day gets better' during their Radical Left Shutdown.
  • Troops will miss rightful paychecks on October 15th if nothing is done, due to 'Leader' Chuck Schumer and the Democrats.
  • Donald Trump, as Commander in Chief, is directing Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, to use all available funds to pay troops on October 15th.
  • Funds have been identified to pay the troops.
  • Democrats are holding the Military and the entire Security of the Nation HOSTAGE with their dangerous Government Shutdown.
  • The Radical Left Democrats should open the government.
  • After opening the government, work can commence on Healthcare and other issues.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A government shutdown is identified as a political weapon wielded by Democrats against American families, implying significant negative impacts.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • A government shutdown is occurring or imminent.
  • Democrats are responsible for the government shutdown.
  • The government shutdown is being used as a political weapon.
  • This political weapon targets American families.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Democrats prioritize illegal immigrants over American citizens, with Chuck Schumer pictured as a representative of this stance.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Democrats prioritize illegal aliens first.
  • Democrats place Americans last.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Democrats caused a United States Government shutdown during a period of economic success and a record stock market, impacting various programs and services. It states a willingness to work with Democrats on policies, but only after the government reopens immediately.
Sentiment:Critical, Demanding
Key Claims:
  • Democrats shut down the United States Government.
  • The shutdown occurred during a period of one of the most successful economies, including a record stock market.
  • The shutdown sadly affected many programs, services, and other elements of society that Americans rely on.
  • The shutdown should not have happened.
  • The author is happy to work with Democrats on their Failed Healthcare Policies, or anything else.
  • Democrats must first allow the government to re-open.
  • Democrats should open the government tonight.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10