The Stable Genius Report

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Summary:A RealClear Politics article dated October 2025 asserts that Donald Trump's tariffs have successfully transformed the U.S. economy from a state of decline to a boom, leading to strong markets, substantial revenue generation, and direct financial support for military families and service members.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump's tariffs are powering the U.S. economy, contrary to critics' warnings.
  • The U.S. economy, by late 2025, exhibits strong growth, robust markets (DJI at 46,067.58), and emerging strategic onshore opportunities.
  • Tariffs are a colossal source of revenue, expected to eclipse $300 billion by the end of fiscal 2025.
  • The revenue generated from tariffs directly supports military families and ensures service members receive paychecks during government shutdowns.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The Trump administration, through its State Department led by Secretary Marco Rubio, revoked and continues to revoke visas of foreigners who celebrated the assassination of Charlie Kirk, founder of Turning Point USA. This action extends to foreigners engaged in anti-American activity, including individuals with ties to terror groups, the Chinese Communist Party, and Mexican drug cartels.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Trump administration revoked visas of foreigners celebrating Charlie Kirk's assassination.
  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio pledged and is acting to revoke and deny visas to foreigners celebrating Kirk's killing.
  • The United States has no obligation to host foreigners who wish death on Americans.
  • President Trump and Secretary Rubio will defend borders, culture, and citizens by enforcing immigration laws.
  • Aliens who take advantage of America's hospitality while celebrating the assassination of American citizens will be removed.
  • Rubio's State Department seeks to review and revoke visas for foreigners engaged in anti-American activity, including those supporting terror groups or with ties to the Chinese Communist Party.
  • Rubio also revoked the visas of at least 50 Mexican politicians over possible ties to drug cartels.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Senator Lindsey Graham states that the "Schumer Shutdown" is causing hardship for Americans and calls for Senate Democrats to immediately reopen the government.
Sentiment:Critical and Urgent
Key Claims:
  • A "Schumer Shutdown" is inflicting real pain on hardworking Americans.
  • Senate Democrats are playing political games.
  • Senate Democrats need to stop playing political games.
  • Senate Democrats should reopen the Government now.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The post asserts significant economic progress, including a reduction in food stamp recipients and an increase in employment for American-born workers, resulting in the highest employment numbers in the nation's history.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Over 600,000 Americans were lifted off food stamps in 9 months.
  • 1.9 million more American-born workers are employed today than when the author took office.
  • More people are working now than at any time in the history of the country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Donald Trump endorses Congressman Bruce Westerman for re-election, praising him as a champion for Arkansas's 4th Congressional District who advances pro-growth policies, American energy dominance, environmental protection, economic growth, tax cuts, border security, support for military/veterans, and the Second Amendment.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Bruce Westerman is a Tremendous Champion for Arkansas’ 4th Congressional District.
  • Bruce Westerman knows how to WIN.
  • Bruce Westerman is working hard to Advance Pro Growth Policies.
  • Bruce Westerman is working hard to Champion American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Bruce Westerman is working hard to Prioritize CLEAN AIR, CLEAN WATER, CLEAN SOIL, AND CLEAN, BEAUTIFUL COAL FOR ALL AMERICANS.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Grow the Economy.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Cut Taxes and Regulations.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Stop Migrant Crime.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Support our Great Military/Veterans.
  • In Congress, Bruce Westerman is fighting tirelessly to Protect our always under siege Second Amendment.
  • Bruce Westerman has Donald Trump's Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election.
  • Bruce Westerman will not let constituents down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post provides a full endorsement for Congressman Blake Moore's re-election, highlighting his work as Vice Chairman of the House Republican Conference and his efforts in advancing the America First Agenda through various policy initiatives.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Blake Moore is a Tremendous Champion for Utah’s 1st Congressional District.
  • As Vice Chairman of the House Republican Conference, Blake Moore is doing an incredible job advancing the America First Agenda.
  • He is working hard to Grow our Economy.
  • He is working hard to Cut Taxes and Regulations.
  • He is working hard to Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A.
  • He is working hard to Ensure American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • He is working hard to Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE.
  • He is working hard to Stop Migrant Crime.
  • He is working hard to Strengthen our Military/Veterans.
  • He is working hard to Protect our always under siege Second Amendment.
  • Blake Moore has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election.
  • Blake Moore will never let you down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Republicans are urged to fight against Democrats, terminate the filibuster, and pass their agenda, with warnings that inaction will lead to dire consequences and that the situation represents the survival of the country.
Sentiment:Aggressive
Key Claims:
  • Democrats will terminate the Filibuster the first chance they get.
  • Democrats will Pack the Supreme Court.
  • Democrats will pick up two States and add at least 8 Electoral Votes.
  • The two objectors to these Democratic actions are gone.
  • Republicans must not be weak and stupid.
  • Republicans must fight and win.
  • The 'Extortionist Shutdown' will be immediately ended.
  • The Republican agenda will be entirely passed.
  • Life will be made good for Americans, preventing 'deranged Democrat politicians' from 'destroying America' again.
  • Republicans will regret not terminating the filibuster.
  • The current situation is about the survival of the Country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The author's government lawyers are uncertain about the legal authority to pay SNAP benefits due to conflicting court opinions. The author has instructed lawyers to seek clarification from the Court on how to legally fund SNAP, attributing current delays to "Radical Democrats" who are refusing to reopen the government. The author calls on Americans using SNAP benefits to contact Senate Democrats to demand the government be reopened, providing a phone number for Senator Chuck Schumer's office.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Government lawyers do not believe there is legal authority to pay SNAP with available monies.
  • Two Courts have issued conflicting opinions on the legality of SNAP funding.
  • Americans are at risk of going hungry because "Radical Democrats" refuse to reopen the government.
  • Lawyers have been instructed to ask the Court for clarification on how to legally fund SNAP.
  • SNAP benefit distribution is delayed due to Democrats keeping the Government closed.
  • The author has previously provided funding for Military and Law Enforcement Pay.
  • Democrats are engaged in a "charade" that hurts people for political reasons.
  • SNAP users are urged to call Senate Democrats to demand the reopening of the Government.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A strong and potentially everlasting peace exists in the Middle East, but Hamas must quickly return the bodies of deceased hostages, including two Americans, or other countries involved in the peace will take action. The post notes that some bodies are currently retrievable but are not being returned, possibly due to Hamas's disarming, and emphasizes that fairness applies only if obligations are met. The situation is being closely monitored, with a 48-hour period specified for Hamas's compliance.
Sentiment:Warning
Key Claims:
  • A very strong peace exists in the Middle East, with a good chance of being everlasting.
  • Hamas must promptly return the bodies of deceased hostages, including two Americans.
  • Other countries involved in the peace will take action if Hamas does not comply.
  • Some deceased hostages' bodies are currently reachable by Hamas but are not being returned.
  • Hamas's failure to return bodies might be related to their disarming.
  • The principle of 'fair treatment' applies only if obligations are fulfilled.
  • The next 48 hours will be critical in determining subsequent actions.
  • The author is closely watching the situation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post provides a complete and total endorsement for Congressman Jake Ellzey's re-election, highlighting his America First patriotism, military service, and policy positions on border security, migrant crime, taxes, regulations, American energy, manufacturing, economic growth, and the Second Amendment.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Jake Ellzey is an America First Patriot.
  • Congressman Jake Ellzey is doing an incredible job representing Texas’ 6th Congressional District.
  • Congressman Jake Ellzey is a former Navy fighter pilot and Combat Veteran.
  • Congressman Jake Ellzey understands the wisdom and courage required to defend the country, support the military/veterans, and ensure peace through strength.
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working hard to keep the border secure.
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working to stop migrant crime.
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working to cut taxes and regulations.
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working to unleash American energy dominance.
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working to promote 'Made in the U.S.A.'
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working to grow the economy.
  • In Congress, Jake Ellzey is working to protect the Second Amendment.
  • Jake Ellzey has Donald Trump's complete and total endorsement for re-election.
  • Jake Ellzey will never let voters down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10