The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post displays a message from Ralph Reed praising a decisive action taken by the recipient to strike Iran's nuclear sites, asserting that previous administrations enabled Iran's terror and nuclear ambitions, and characterizing the action as a historic and courageous moment for America, Israel, and the world.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A bold decision was made to strike nuclear sites in Iran.
  • Obama and Biden allowed Iran, described as the bloodiest regime, to terrorize with impunity.
  • Obama and Biden subsidized Iran's terror and nuclear ambitions.
  • The recipient demonstrated unique courage in making this decision, acting as no other president would.
  • God intervened to spare the recipient's life in Butler, PA and at Trump International, enabling this historic decision.
  • The decision is compared to actions by Reagan and Churchill.
  • America, Israel, and the world are grateful for this action.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post criticizes the current administration, stating that its actions should be remembered.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Biden's actions have been detrimental to the country.
  • The negative impact of Biden's actions should not be forgotten.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post criticizes Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for high interest rates, arguing that rates should be 1-2% to save the U.S. up to $1 trillion annually. It claims there is no inflation, the economy is strong, and Powell is a 'dumb guy' and 'Trump Hater' who should be replaced or overridden, with the U.S. currently having a relatively high central bank rate compared to other countries.
Sentiment:Aggressive
Key Claims:
  • Jerome Powell should lower interest rates to 1-2%.
  • Lowering interest rates would save the U.S. up to $1 trillion per year.
  • The U.S. currently has virtually no inflation and a strong economy.
  • The U.S. economy will improve further with tariff income and new factories.
  • Jerome Powell is incompetent ('dumb guy', 'numbskull', 'total and complete moron') and biased ('Trump Hater').
  • Biden should not have reappointed Powell.
  • The Federal Reserve Board should override Powell's decisions.
  • The U.S. central bank rate is too high compared to other countries, as illustrated by its position on the attached list.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post cites an opinion piece from The New York Post claiming FBI emails reveal the Biden Department of Justice is focused on bringing charges against Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • FBI emails expose the Biden DOJ's obsession with piling on charges against Trump.
  • The Biden DOJ is politically motivated in its legal actions against Donald Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post criticizes Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve for their current interest rate policy, claiming it is costing the country hundreds of billions of dollars and that rates should be significantly lower given low inflation.
Sentiment:Angry
Key Claims:
  • Jerome Powell is costing the Country hundreds of billions of dollars.
  • Jerome Powell is one of the dumbest and most destructive people in Government.
  • The Fed Board is complicit.
  • Europe has had 10 interest rate cuts, while the US has had none.
  • US interest rates should be 2.5 points lower.
  • Lower interest rates would save billions on Biden’s short-term debt.
  • The US has low inflation.
  • The current Fed policy is an 'American Disgrace'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post quotes U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks stating that border numbers are improving, specifically noting '0 releases in May' by CBP, contrasting this with '62,000 under Biden'.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • U.S. Border Patrol is achieving record numbers 'in the right direction'.
  • CBP had '0 releases' of migrants in May.
  • This contrasts sharply with '62,000 releases' under the Biden administration.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump claims he can achieve peace between Iran and Israel, citing past successful interventions he facilitated between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia, often using US trade as leverage. He criticizes President Biden's foreign policy decisions and asserts his own unique ability to resolve long-standing conflicts, promising to bring peace to the Middle East.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Iran and Israel should and will make a deal.
  • He facilitated peace deals between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia during his first term.
  • He used US trade as a tool to bring reason and cohesion to talks.
  • Biden has made 'very stupid decisions' that have hurt longer-term prospects.
  • He will 'fix' the Serbia-Kosovo situation again.
  • Peace between Israel and Iran will happen soon due to his intervention.
  • He does not receive sufficient credit for his actions but 'the PEOPLE understand'.
  • His goal is to 'MAKE THE MIDDLE EAST GREAT AGAIN!'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that the Biden administration has allowed 21 million unvetted illegal immigrants, including dangerous individuals, to enter the U.S., leading to the destruction of public services and communities, theft of jobs, and consumption of welfare. It claims overwhelming public support for a mass deportation program, which the author, if in office, would implement, while also vowing to protect ICE and Border Patrol agents and ensure illegal immigrants self-deport or are removed.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Biden allowed 21 million unvetted, illegal aliens to flood into the country.
  • Many illegal aliens are rapists, murderers, and terrorists.
  • Illegal immigration has destroyed American public schools, hospitals, parks, community resources, and living conditions.
  • Illegal immigrants have stolen American jobs and consumed billions of dollars in free welfare.
  • Communities like Springfield, Ohio, have turned into 'Third World Nightmares' due to illegal immigration.
  • There is a historic mandate for the largest mass deportation program in American history.
  • Polling shows overwhelming public support for removing illegal immigrants.
  • The author will protect and defend ICE and Border Patrol.
  • Assaulting an ICE or Border Agent will result in hard jail time.
  • Illegal immigrants should self-deport via the CBP Home App or be removed by ICE.
  • The author achieved the 'Most Secure Border in American History' during their previous term.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post states that current immigration policy is negatively impacting farmers and the hospitality industry by removing workers, and claims that criminals allowed in by Biden's "Open Borders Policy" are seeking these jobs, calling for the protection of farmers and the removal of criminals.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Our very aggressive policy on immigration is taking very good, long time workers away from Farmers and people in the Hotel and Leisure business.
  • Those jobs are almost impossible to replace.
  • Criminals allowed into our Country by the VERY Stupid Biden Open Borders Policy are applying for those jobs.
  • We must protect our Farmers.
  • Get the CRIMINALS OUT OF THE USA.
  • Changes are coming!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump congratulates Senators Ted Cruz, Roger Wicker, and Tom Cotton for a spectrum deal, touting its importance for American leadership in 6G and national security, while criticizing the Biden administration's inaction on the matter and crediting his own future administration for anticipated success.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Senators Cruz, Wicker, and Cotton achieved an 'amazing deal on Spectrum'.
  • This deal grants 'serious power for American Leadership on 6G'.
  • It will lead to 'the World’s Greatest Networks' and ensure the 'Highest Level of National Security for future Generations of Americans'.
  • Biden 'did nothing on Spectrum in four years'.
  • Trump's (future) Administration, through 'THE GREAT BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL', will 'beat all expectations' and 'show the World the path forward' on Spectrum/6G.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10