The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:A social media post asserts that Trump successfully ended the political 'regimes' associated with Bush, Clinton, Obama, and Biden, expressing confidence in his continued ability to handle challenges.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump ended the Bush, Clinton, Obama, and Biden political regimes.
  • Trump is competent and capable of achieving his objectives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Mortgage rates are currently 5.7%, a significant decrease from the approximately 8% rates experienced under Biden, which made homeownership unaffordable for young families. This reduction is attributed to the author's focus on housing affordability and the authorization for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion in Mortgage Bonds. This development is presented as positive news, providing cost relief for American families and prioritizing Americans.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Current mortgage rates are 5.7%.
  • Mortgage costs were approximately 8% under Biden.
  • High mortgage costs under Biden prevented young families from affording homes.
  • The author's focus on Housing Affordability led to lower mortgage rates.
  • The author authorized Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $200 Billion Dollars in Mortgage Bonds.
  • The $200 Billion Mortgage Bond purchase caused mortgage rates to move down to 5.7%.
  • The current mortgage rates are great news for American Families and offer real cost relief.
  • The author is bringing Housing Costs DOWN.
  • The author is putting Americans FIRST!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post claims Biden ignored critical issues and destroyed affordability, while Trump has fixed past problems and is now addressing the housing market. It details a plan to use Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's $200 billion cash to buy mortgage bonds, aiming to lower mortgage rates and monthly payments, thereby restoring home affordability and the American Dream.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Biden ignored the housing market.
  • Biden was immersed in high crime, open borders, runaway inflation, the Afghanistan disaster, and a chaotic military.
  • Trump, as President, has already fixed 'everything that was broken'.
  • Trump is now giving special attention to the housing market.
  • Trump's decision not to sell Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in his first term was a great decision, contrary to experts' advice.
  • Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now worth 'many times that amount' and hold $200 billion in cash.
  • Trump is instructing his representatives to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds.
  • This action will drive mortgage rates down.
  • This action will drive monthly payments down.
  • This action will make home ownership more affordable.
  • The Biden Administration destroyed affordability.
  • Trump is restoring affordability and the American Dream.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post describes Donald Trump's decision to pardon Henry Cuellar and his wife, based on a letter from Cuellar's daughters and Trump's assessment of political weaponization by the Biden Administration. Trump claims Cuellar was targeted for his border policies. Now, despite granting the pardon, Trump is campaigning against Cuellar for a Congressional seat, supporting Judge Tano Tijerina as a superior candidate on issues like border security and tax cuts.
Sentiment:Campaigning and Critical
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump possesses extensive knowledge of Henry Cuellar, his records, and his financing.
  • Henry Cuellar's daughters sent heart-wrenching letters requesting clemency for their parents.
  • Henry and Imelda Cuellar faced potential imprisonment for up to 20 years.
  • Henry Cuellar made 'stupid' mistakes.
  • The Biden Administration engaged in political weaponization against Henry and Imelda Cuellar due to disagreements on Southern Border policies.
  • Henry Cuellar was a 'weak and incompetent version' of Trump regarding border security.
  • Cuellar advocated for closing the border to criminals, drug dealers, individuals from mental institutions, murderers, and heavy-handed criminals.
  • Biden's 'Radical Left Thugs' intended to imprison Cuellar for life.
  • Trump, an 'expert on Political Weaponization,' issued a full and unconditional pardon to Henry and Imelda Cuellar based on his daughters' letter, without having met them.
  • Trump did not anticipate Henry Cuellar would seek public office again, particularly as a Democrat, after receiving the pardon.
  • Trump is currently opposing Henry Cuellar for his Congressional seat, despite having granted him 'the greatest favor of his life.'
  • Judge Tano Tijerina is presented as a more powerful candidate than Henry Cuellar on border issues, tax cuts, and military matters.
  • The letter from Cuellar's daughters, dated November 12, 2025, asks for compassion and clemency, portraying their parents as dedicated public servants who supported veterans, small businesses, Border Patrol, and American energy independence.
  • The letter asserts Henry Cuellar sought legal and ethical counsel before any accusations, obtaining opinions that confirmed his actions were lawful and consistent with his duties as a Member of Congress.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Obama's policies are described as treasonous for allegedly funding Iran's nuclear program, leading to the development of nuclear weapons and ICBMs capable of targeting the US and Israel. The narrative further claims Democrats planned to eliminate fossil fuels, causing widespread suffering, and intended to replace the populace with "uneducated Mexicans" for enslavement. It also warns of a deteriorating US economy, citing rising debt, inflation, and crime, and advises reading a specific novel for survival.
Sentiment:Alarmist and Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Obama's policy to fund Iran's nuclear program was treasonous.
  • Biden and Obama provided over $220 billion to Iran for nuclear research and bomb building.
  • Iran nearly developed 6 nuclear bombs and ICBMs capable of destroying Israel and 5 US cities.
  • Democrats intended to eliminate fossil fuels, causing millions to freeze and starve to death.
  • Democrats planned to replace the populace with "uneducated Mexicans" for enslavement.
  • People who vote for Democrats are "dumb and suicidal."
  • Conditions are deteriorating for average Americans.
  • The US faces a $38 trillion national debt that is increasing.
  • Trade deficit, interest rates, inflation, layoffs, insanity, and crime are all increasing.
  • The US economy could collapse at any time.
  • The novel "Nightrider and the Warrior Queen" offers survival strategies.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:The post reports that the Department of Energy is eliminating $615 million in Biden-era green funding designated for Colorado. This funding includes a $257 million grant for the Colorado state energy office, which concentrates on equity and the connection between climate change, energy, and social justice.
Sentiment:Exposing
Key Claims:
  • The Department of Energy is scrapping $615 million in Biden-era green funding earmarked for Colorado.
  • The scrapped funding includes a $257 million grant for the Colorado state energy office.
  • The Colorado state energy office's focus includes equity and the links between climate change, energy, and social justice.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post criticizes Fox and Friends Weekend for featuring Peter Schiff, described as a "Trump hating loser" who is wrong about prices. It asserts that prices are substantially falling, citing gasoline at $1.99/gallon in some states, and declares that President Biden caused the affordability crisis, which is being fixed, along with the border.
Sentiment:Vindicative and Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Peter Schiff is a 'Trump hating loser' who is wrong about prices.
  • Fox and Friends Weekend made a mistake or is changing direction by featuring Schiff.
  • Prices are substantially coming down.
  • Gasoline hit $1.99 a gallon yesterday in certain states.
  • Gasoline prices are down significantly since Biden.
  • Other prices are almost all down.
  • Biden caused the 'AFFORDABILITY CRISIS'.
  • The author is 'fixing' the affordability crisis and everything else.
  • The Border situation is already fixed.
  • The 'booker' who put Peter Schiff on the show should be investigated.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post presents a bar chart demonstrating that projected Trump policies for 2025 result in a lower cumulative federal deficit compared to projected Biden policies for 2024, with the difference attributed to savings under Trump's approach.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Trump Policies Have Sharply Reduced the Deficit.
  • Projected Trump policies for 2025 result in a lower federal deficit compared to projected Biden policies for 2024.
  • The difference between Trump 2025 and Biden 2024 policies represents significant savings in deficit spending, totaling over $1.2 trillion by September.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:A bar chart compares annualized capital spending rates, showing 3.7% for the Biden administration's 2023-2024 period and a projected 8.4% for a Trump administration's first half of 2025, with the chart titled "Capital Spending is Skyrocketing."
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Capital spending is skyrocketing.
  • Annualized capital spending under the Biden administration (2023-2024) is 3.7%.
  • Annualized capital spending under a Trump administration (1H 2025) is projected at 8.4%.
  • The projected capital spending rate under a Trump administration is significantly higher than under the Biden administration.
  • The data source for Real Private Non-Residential Fixed Investment is the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:Real wages significantly declined under the Biden administration due to inflation, and a projected Trump second term would lead to substantial recovery, partially offsetting the prior losses.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Critical
Key Claims:
  • Real wages experienced a 'massive hit' due to 'Biden's Inflation', resulting in a total change of -$2,909.
  • A projected Trump second term would lead to an annualized real wage increase of $1,151 in private industries.
  • The $1,151 projected increase under a Trump second term would make up 39.6% of the real wage loss attributed to Biden.
  • A remaining real wage loss of $1,758 (60.4%) from the Biden administration would still exist even after a projected Trump second term recovery.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities: