The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post calls for Jerome Powell's resignation, asserting that his handling of interest rates is incorrect, and draws a parallel to the resignation of Biden appointee Adriana Kugler, who is presented as having recognized Powell's erroneous approach.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • Jerome Powell should resign.
  • Jerome Powell is doing the wrong thing on Interest Rates.
  • Adriana Kugler resigned.
  • Adriana Kugler, a Biden appointee, understood that Jerome Powell was doing the wrong thing on Interest Rates.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post reports significant casualty figures for Russian and Ukrainian soldiers, and Ukrainian civilians, in the ongoing conflict, assigns responsibility for the war to the Biden administration, and states the author's intent to end it.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Almost 20,000 Russian soldiers died this month.
  • Russia has lost 112,500 soldiers since the beginning of the year.
  • Ukraine has lost approximately 8,000 soldiers since January 1, 2025, not including their missing.
  • Ukraine has also lost civilians, in smaller numbers, due to Russian rockets in Kyiv and other Ukrainian locales.
  • The war should have never happened.
  • The war is attributed to Biden, not TRUMP.
  • The author intends to stop the war.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post asserts that Democrats are obstructing the confirmation of presidential nominees, leading to historically low approval rates for current and future administrations, including a depicted 0% confirmation rate for a future Trump administration.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Democrats are harming the Nation by obstructing presidential nominee approvals.
  • Democrats are refusing to approve highly qualified nominees.
  • Democrats would delay and disapprove nominees even if they were historically revered figures like George Washington and Abraham Lincoln.
  • The current level of nominee obstruction by Democrats is unprecedented.
  • The graphic shows a trend of declining civilian nominee confirmation rates by voice vote or unanimous consent in the first term, specifically 65% for Trump I, 57% for Biden, and 0% for Trump II.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A social media post asserts that the White House is introducing a rule to cancel a paper straw mandate attributed to Biden.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The White House introduces a rule.
  • The rule cancels Biden's paper straw mandate.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump honorably pardoned Michael Flynn, portraying Flynn as a patriot unjustly attacked by the 'Biden/Obama Deep State' and 'Radical Left Lunatics' through alleged 'FAKE charges' and 'dirty FBI "tricks"' during the 'Russia, Russia, Russia Hoax.' It claims Flynn was innocent and promotes his new book, 'PARDON OF INNOCENCE: An Inspiring Story of Faith and Freedom,' encouraging citizens to purchase it.
Sentiment:Vindicative and Promotional
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump states he honorably pardoned Michael Flynn.
  • Michael Flynn is characterized as a 'FEARLESS Patriot and Decorated General'.
  • Michael Flynn was 'savagely attacked' by the 'Biden/Obama Deep State'.
  • The 'Deep State' is declared to be 'completely exposed for the FRAUD it is'.
  • 'Radical Left Lunatics' are accused of unleashing 'lies, FAKE charges, and dirty FBI "tricks"' as part of the 'Russia, Russia, Russia Hoax'.
  • The alleged intent of these actions was to 'crush Mike’s Spirit'.
  • Michael Flynn is asserted to be 'INNOCENT'.
  • Michael Flynn has authored a book titled 'PARDON OF INNOCENCE: An Inspiring Story of Faith and Freedom'.
  • The book is presented as an encouragement for 'Citizens across our Nation to NEVER GIVE UP'.
  • The post directs readers to purchase the book.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that current border policies under the Biden administration are severely flawed, claiming that although no new individuals entered last month, 21 million people have already been allowed in and require vetting.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Biden's actions regarding the border were 'SO BAD'.
  • Last month, no people were coming in.
  • Biden let in 21 million people.
  • The 21 million people who were let in need to be checked.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post displays a message from Ralph Reed praising a decisive action taken by the recipient to strike Iran's nuclear sites, asserting that previous administrations enabled Iran's terror and nuclear ambitions, and characterizing the action as a historic and courageous moment for America, Israel, and the world.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A bold decision was made to strike nuclear sites in Iran.
  • Obama and Biden allowed Iran, described as the bloodiest regime, to terrorize with impunity.
  • Obama and Biden subsidized Iran's terror and nuclear ambitions.
  • The recipient demonstrated unique courage in making this decision, acting as no other president would.
  • God intervened to spare the recipient's life in Butler, PA and at Trump International, enabling this historic decision.
  • The decision is compared to actions by Reagan and Churchill.
  • America, Israel, and the world are grateful for this action.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post criticizes the current administration, stating that its actions should be remembered.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Biden's actions have been detrimental to the country.
  • The negative impact of Biden's actions should not be forgotten.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post criticizes Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for high interest rates, arguing that rates should be 1-2% to save the U.S. up to $1 trillion annually. It claims there is no inflation, the economy is strong, and Powell is a 'dumb guy' and 'Trump Hater' who should be replaced or overridden, with the U.S. currently having a relatively high central bank rate compared to other countries.
Sentiment:Aggressive
Key Claims:
  • Jerome Powell should lower interest rates to 1-2%.
  • Lowering interest rates would save the U.S. up to $1 trillion per year.
  • The U.S. currently has virtually no inflation and a strong economy.
  • The U.S. economy will improve further with tariff income and new factories.
  • Jerome Powell is incompetent ('dumb guy', 'numbskull', 'total and complete moron') and biased ('Trump Hater').
  • Biden should not have reappointed Powell.
  • The Federal Reserve Board should override Powell's decisions.
  • The U.S. central bank rate is too high compared to other countries, as illustrated by its position on the attached list.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post cites an opinion piece from The New York Post claiming FBI emails reveal the Biden Department of Justice is focused on bringing charges against Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • FBI emails expose the Biden DOJ's obsession with piling on charges against Trump.
  • The Biden DOJ is politically motivated in its legal actions against Donald Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10