The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post claims that Paul Krugman of the New York Times has consistently made incorrect market predictions since 2016, a period during which all markets have achieved new highs. It asserts that Krugman's influence caused people to miss out on what is described as the "BEST MARKET IN HISTOY," and suggests pursuing legal action against those responsible for such advice.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Paul Krugman has been consistently wrong in his market predictions since 2016.
  • During this period, all markets have reached new, unprecedented highs.
  • People were dissuaded from investing in the "BEST MARKET IN HISTOY" due to Paul Krugman's influence.
  • Legal action should be taken against individuals like Krugman who allegedly caused others to miss out on market gains.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Democrats are obstructing the confirmation of presidential nominees, leading to historically low approval rates for current and future administrations, including a depicted 0% confirmation rate for a future Trump administration.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Democrats are harming the Nation by obstructing presidential nominee approvals.
  • Democrats are refusing to approve highly qualified nominees.
  • Democrats would delay and disapprove nominees even if they were historically revered figures like George Washington and Abraham Lincoln.
  • The current level of nominee obstruction by Democrats is unprecedented.
  • The graphic shows a trend of declining civilian nominee confirmation rates by voice vote or unanimous consent in the first term, specifically 65% for Trump I, 57% for Biden, and 0% for Trump II.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post quotes a headline highlighting a narrative that Donald Trump addresses significant challenges facing America, specifically citing issues related to Iran and the U.S. border.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump addresses major challenges facing America.
  • These challenges include issues related to Iran.
  • These challenges include issues related to the U.S. border.
  • The referenced article presents Trump as someone who "takes on America's toughest fights."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A quote is presented asserting that Trump merits the Nobel Peace Prize, simultaneously claiming that 'the left' will not acknowledge this recognition.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize
  • The left will never admit Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Republicans must ensure the Senate clears a backlog of 135 nominee confirmations before recessing, or allow for genuine recess appointments without pro forma sessions, as the Senate cannot both maintain a nominee backlog and prevent recess appointments. This action is stated as very important and badly needed.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Republicans must strategically act to win.
  • There is a backlog of 135 nominee confirmations in the Senate.
  • The Senate should clear this 135-nominee backlog before recessing.
  • If the Senate recesses, it should be a genuine recess, not 'pro forma sessions'.
  • Pro forma sessions are implemented to prevent Trump from making recess appointments.
  • The Senate cannot simultaneously maintain a nominee backlog and prevent recess appointments.
  • Clearing the 135 nominees is critically important and necessary.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post instructs the body responsible for confirming nominees to either confirm all nominees or remain on vacation, thereby allowing Donald Trump to make recess appointments.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Nominees should be confirmed
  • If nominees are not confirmed, Trump should be allowed to make recess appointments
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A border crackdown implemented by Trump led to a positive transformation in Arizona communities, evidenced by a significant reduction in illegal crossings and crime.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Trump's border crackdown initiated a positive shift in Arizona communities.
  • Arizona communities experienced years of upheaval prior to the crackdown.
  • Local residents observed a sharp drop in illegal crossings in Arizona.
  • Local residents observed decreased crime rates in Arizona.
  • These positive changes occurred since Trump took office.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A once-secret report confirms that U.S. intelligence agencies utilized the Steele Dossier to promote a narrative claiming Russian President Putin assisted Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • A formerly secret report verifies specific information.
  • U.S. intelligence agencies employed the Steele Dossier.
  • The Steele Dossier was used to push a particular narrative.
  • The narrative asserted that Putin provided assistance to Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post expresses gratitude to USA TODAY for an opinion piece asserting that Donald Trump merits the Nobel Peace Prize, citing that his achievements exceed those of previous recipients.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Gratitude is expressed towards USA Today.
  • A claim is presented that Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • A claim is presented that Trump's achievements are greater than those of past Nobel Peace Prize winners.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump was framed by a conspiracy involving high-ranking officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, who are depicted as manipulating intelligence and legal processes to undermine his presidency, ultimately failing in their efforts.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Trump was framed.
  • The collusion narrative was a conspiracy itself.
  • Collaborators knew the narrative was a lie but manipulated the Dossier and the CIA.
  • Brennan and Comey manipulated the system and the Dossier.
  • Brennan and Comey abused their power.
  • Comey launched a case against Trump in violation of FBI Regulations.
  • Comey deceived the FISA Court with the Dossier to gain a Spy Warrant.
  • John Brennan used the Dossier knowing it was 'GARBAGE' and insisted it be included in the Intelligence Committee Assessment to elevate its credibility and drive Trump from office.
  • Brennan told Congress the Dossier was not in the Assessment, but it was.
  • Brennan can be charged.
  • Brennan and Comey single-handedly eroded confidence and trust in the American Government, particularly the FBI, CIA, and other agencies, setting back America considerably.
  • James Comey is obsessed with his hatred of Trump, which drove the 'Russia Hoax' and 'Witch Hunt'.
  • Comey, more than anybody else, drove the 'Witch Hunt'.
  • Comey failed and got fired, which he hates.
  • Comey purloined FBI Documents and leaked them to the Media to trigger a Special Counsel (Bob Mueller) and drive Trump from office.
  • Comey's scheme ultimately failed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10