The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post presents several positive economic indicators and forecasts, attributing job growth and wage increases to red states and states won by Trump, contrasting this with job losses in blue states, and predicting stronger economic growth despite a prior shutdown.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • States won by Trump have added 11 times more jobs than 'left-wing, red-tape-ridden states.'
  • A 'Golden Age' is in motion.
  • A focus on housing is timely as residential construction jobs are slightly down over the year.
  • All construction job gains are in red states.
  • All manufacturing job losses are in blue states.
  • Private sector annual wages are on track to rise $2,700 for a full-time worker since January.
  • Manufacturing wages are even higher, on track to rise $3,000.
  • The Atlanta Fed forecasts the U.S. will grow even faster in Q4 than Q2 and Q3, despite a shutdown.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:A poll displays Latin American countries' net approval concerning the detention of Nicolas Maduro by the U.S.
Sentiment:Informational
Key Claims:
  • Latin American countries show varying net approval for the U.S. detention of Nicolas Maduro.
  • Costa Rica exhibits the highest net approval (+80) for the U.S. detention of Nicolas Maduro.
  • Mexico registers the lowest net approval (+1) for the U.S. detention of Nicolas Maduro.
  • The presented data originates from an Altica Survey poll conducted on January 3-4.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post presents data indicating substantial declines in various crime categories across the U.S. between 2024 and 2025, including a record single-year decline in murders. The caption asserts that Donald Trump is responsible for these positive outcomes, celebrating his performance.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The U.S. is experiencing its biggest single-year decline in murders on record in 2025 compared to 2024.
  • There are significant percentage declines across various crime types (motor vehicle theft, murder, robbery, burglary, property crime, violent crime, theft, rape, aggravated assault) between 2024 and 2025.
  • These positive crime reductions are attributed to Donald Trump's performance.
  • Donald Trump is doing an amazing job.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post expresses mourning for three American Patriots lost in Syria, two soldiers and one civilian interpreter, and relief for three injured soldiers who are recovering. It states that an ISIS attack against the U.S. and Syria was responsible for the casualties, and notes that the Syrian President, Ahmed al-Sharaa, is extremely angry. The post concludes by stating that very serious retaliation will occur.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Three American Patriots (two soldiers, one civilian interpreter) were lost in Syria.
  • Three injured soldiers are confirmed to be doing well.
  • The attack was an ISIS attack against the U.S. and Syria.
  • The attack occurred in a dangerous part of Syria not fully controlled by ISIS.
  • The President of Syria, Ahmed al-Sharaa, is extremely angry and disturbed by the attack.
  • Very serious retaliation will occur.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Mexico is violating a comprehensive Water Treaty, causing significant harm to Texas agriculture, and the U.S. has authorized a 5% tariff on Mexico if the owed water is not immediately released.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • Mexico continues to violate a comprehensive Water Treaty.
  • This violation is seriously hurting Texas crops and livestock.
  • Mexico owes the U.S. over 800,000 acre-feet of water for non-compliance over the past five years.
  • The U.S. needs Mexico to release 200,000 acre-feet of water before December 31st, with the remainder soon after.
  • Mexico is currently not responding to U.S. requests.
  • The situation is unfair to U.S. Farmers who need this water.
  • Documentation has been authorized to impose a 5% tariff on Mexico if the water is not released immediately.
  • The longer Mexico delays, the more U.S. Farmers are hurt.
  • Mexico has an obligation to fix this situation now.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:Outlines a comprehensive plan to overhaul U.S. immigration policy, detailing intentions to permanently pause migration from all Third World Countries, terminate previous admissions, remove individuals deemed not beneficial or loyal, end Federal benefits for non-citizens, and denaturalize certain migrants. The post concludes with a warning to those perceived as hostile to America.
Sentiment:Determined and Threatening
Key Claims:
  • Immigration Policy has eroded technological gains and living conditions for many.
  • A permanent pause on migration from all Third World Countries is proposed to allow the U.S. system to recover.
  • All Biden illegal admissions, including those signed by Autopen, will be terminated.
  • Anyone not a net asset to the United States or incapable of loving the Country will be removed.
  • All Federal benefits and subsidies to noncitizens will end.
  • Migrants who undermine domestic tranquility will be denaturalized.
  • Any Foreign National who is a public charge, security risk, or non-compatible with Western Civilization will be deported.
  • These goals aim for a major reduction in illegal and disruptive populations.
  • Only 'REVERSE MIGRATION' can fully cure the situation.
  • A warning is issued to those who hate, steal, murder, and destroy everything America stands for, stating they 'won't be here for long'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The war between Russia and Ukraine is a terrible conflict that began during the Biden administration and escalated due to perceived weak leadership and a rigged 2020 election, a war that would not have occurred during the speaker's first term. The post claims Ukraine has shown no gratitude, Europe continues to buy Russian oil, and the U.S. supplies weapons to NATO for Ukraine, with 'Crooked Joe' giving aid freely.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The Russia-Ukraine war would have never happened with strong and proper U.S. and Ukrainian leadership.
  • The war began during the Sleepy Joe Biden Administration and has only gotten worse.
  • If the 2020 Presidential Election was not rigged and stolen, there would be no Ukraine/Russia War.
  • Putin would never have attacked during the speaker's first Term in Office, as there was no mention of such a war then.
  • Putin attacked when he saw 'Sleepy Joe' in action.
  • The speaker inherited a war that should have never happened and is a loser for everyone, especially the millions of needlessly dead.
  • Ukraine 'leadership' has expressed zero gratitude for U.S. efforts.
  • Europe continues to buy oil from Russia.
  • The USA continues to sell massive amounts of weapons to NATO for distribution to Ukraine.
  • 'Crooked Joe' gave everything, including 'big' money, free to Ukraine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:Jensen Huang states that advanced AI chips are now being manufactured in the U.S. within a year, attributing this development to President Trump's initiative to re-industrialize the U.S. and the effectiveness of his tariffs as an enabling factor.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Advanced AI chips are currently being manufactured in the U.S.
  • This manufacturing commenced in less than a year.
  • The re-industrialization efforts spearheaded by President Trump initiated this domestic chip production.
  • President Trump's tariffs were a crucial catalyst for this achievement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Zero illegal aliens have been released into the U.S. in the last six months, according to information attributed to The White House.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Zero illegal aliens have been released into the U.S. in the last six months.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Canada engaged in fraudulent activity by publishing an advertisement misrepresenting Ronald Reagan's views on tariffs, with the intention of illegally influencing a U.S. Supreme Court ruling. Canada has a history of imposing high tariffs on U.S. farmers, but the U.S. will no longer tolerate being exploited. The Ronald Reagan Foundation exposed this deception.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Canada fraudulently published an advertisement claiming Ronald Reagan disliked tariffs.
  • Ronald Reagan supported tariffs for U.S. national security.
  • Canada is attempting to illegally influence the U.S. Supreme Court regarding an important ruling.
  • Canada has historically charged U.S. farmers tariffs as high as 400%.
  • The U.S. will no longer be exploited by Canada and other countries through unfair tariffs.
  • The Ronald Reagan Foundation exposed Canada's fraudulent advertisement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10