The Stable Genius Report

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Summary:The post advocates for Jack Ciattarelli for New Jersey Governor, presenting a poll showing him tied with or "essentially beating" Mike Sherrill, while contrasting Ciattarelli's platforms on crime and taxes with Sherrill's alleged stances on open borders, gender issues, and association with a "Communist Mayor of New York City."
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A poll shows Jack Ciattarelli is essentially beating Mike Sherrill in the race for Governor of New Jersey.
  • Jack Ciattarelli is tough on crime and supports cutting taxes.
  • Jack Ciattarelli will be a great Governor.
  • Mike Sherrill is close to incompetent.
  • Mike Sherrill supports open borders.
  • Mike Sherrill supports men playing in women’s sports.
  • Mike Sherrill supports "Transgender for everyone."
  • Mike Sherrill's policies are identified as things that almost destroyed America.
  • Mike Sherrill is a big supporter of a perhaps future Communist Mayor of New York City.
  • Jack Ciattarelli is needed in New Jersey.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A CBS News/YouGov poll indicates significant approval among Republicans and MAGA Republicans for US airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
Sentiment:Hawkish
Key Claims:
  • A CBS News/YouGov poll asked about approval or disapproval of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 85% of Republicans approve of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 15% of Republicans disapprove of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 94% of MAGA Republicans approve of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 6% of MAGA Republicans disapprove of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • The poll was conducted from June 22-24, 2025.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10