The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Obama's policies are described as treasonous for allegedly funding Iran's nuclear program, leading to the development of nuclear weapons and ICBMs capable of targeting the US and Israel. The narrative further claims Democrats planned to eliminate fossil fuels, causing widespread suffering, and intended to replace the populace with "uneducated Mexicans" for enslavement. It also warns of a deteriorating US economy, citing rising debt, inflation, and crime, and advises reading a specific novel for survival.
Sentiment:Alarmist and Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Obama's policy to fund Iran's nuclear program was treasonous.
  • Biden and Obama provided over $220 billion to Iran for nuclear research and bomb building.
  • Iran nearly developed 6 nuclear bombs and ICBMs capable of destroying Israel and 5 US cities.
  • Democrats intended to eliminate fossil fuels, causing millions to freeze and starve to death.
  • Democrats planned to replace the populace with "uneducated Mexicans" for enslavement.
  • People who vote for Democrats are "dumb and suicidal."
  • Conditions are deteriorating for average Americans.
  • The US faces a $38 trillion national debt that is increasing.
  • Trade deficit, interest rates, inflation, layoffs, insanity, and crime are all increasing.
  • The US economy could collapse at any time.
  • The novel "Nightrider and the Warrior Queen" offers survival strategies.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:The US trade deficit has shrunk to its smallest level since 2020, or a five-year low, with some reports attributing this reduction to Trump's tariffs, indicating the deficit is lower than expected.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The US trade deficit unexpectedly shrunk to its smallest level since 2020.
  • The US trade deficit fell to a five-year low.
  • Trump's tariffs caused the US trade deficit to shrink in September.
  • The trade deficit is lower than expected.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post advocates for a new, restrictive immigration act, citing the 1924 Immigration Act as a historical precedent that led to American societal prosperity, assimilation, and a booming economy. It claims that current levels of foreign-born population and the diversity of cultures necessitate a national policy shift, arguing for a bipartisan effort to enact another immigration act.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • President Calvin Coolidge signed The Immigration Act of 1924, which restricted immigration.
  • Coolidge stated that new arrivals should be limited by America's capacity to absorb them, to keep America 'American', requiring restricted immigration.
  • The 1924 Act received overwhelming bipartisan support from Democrats and Republicans.
  • The 1924 Act introduced tight immigration quotas, new visa requirements, established the Border Patrol, and banned immigrants from cultures deemed incompatible.
  • The 1924 Act significantly reduced immigration, allowing a prior 'great wave' of immigrants to assimilate.
  • American society thrived in the 1940s and 1950s, characterized by a booming economy, rising middle class, common culture, and limited immigration due to the 1924 Act.
  • Since the 1924 Act's repeal in 1965, the US has experienced decades of extensive legal and illegal immigration.
  • The current foreign-born population in the US is higher in both raw number and percentage than in the early 1900s.
  • Current 'mass immigration' involves 'vastly different cultures' compared to the predominantly European immigration accepted historically.
  • A national policy shift towards restricted immigration is needed again and should be bipartisan.
  • It is time to enact another Immigration Act.
  • The accompanying image visually represents a large number of people attempting to enter the US through a restrictive 'GATE' set at '3%', overseen by Uncle Sam.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A positive update following a meeting with President Xi of China, highlighting agreements on agricultural purchases, continued rare earth supply, cooperation on fentanyl, and American energy acquisition, alongside expressions of gratitude to various Asian nations for contributing to US prosperity and security.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A truly great meeting occurred with President Xi of China, enhancing respect between the two countries.
  • Many agreements were reached, with other important matters very close to being resolved.
  • President Xi authorized China to begin massive purchases of Soybeans, Sorghum, and other Farm products from the US.
  • US farmers should immediately buy more land and larger tractors.
  • China agreed to continue the open and free flow of Rare Earth, Critical Minerals, and Magnets.
  • China strongly stated it will diligently work with the US to stop the flow of Fentanyl and end the crisis.
  • China agreed to begin purchasing American Energy, with a very large-scale transaction concerning Oil and Gas from Alaska possible.
  • Agreements reached will deliver Prosperity and Security to millions of Americans.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars are being brought into the US due to relations with Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.
  • The US Nation is strong, respected, and admired again, and the best is yet to come.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:Speaker Mike Johnson announced that the House GOP will introduce a bill requiring voters to prove US citizenship, and the post asks for public support for this legislative initiative.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Speaker Mike Johnson announces the House GOP will introduce a bill.
  • The bill requires voters to prove US citizenship.
  • The post includes a poll asking if the reader supports this bill.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:India and the US share a close friendship and natural partnership, with ongoing trade negotiations aimed at maximizing the potential of their bilateral relationship. Teams are working to swiftly conclude these discussions, and a future meeting between Narendra Modi and President Trump is expected to further secure a brighter and more prosperous future for both nations.
Sentiment:Cooperative
Key Claims:
  • India and the US are close friends and natural partners.
  • Trade negotiations will unlock the limitless potential of the India-US partnership.
  • Teams are working to conclude trade discussions at the earliest.
  • Narendra Modi is looking forward to speaking with President Trump.
  • India and the US will work together for a brighter, more prosperous future for both their people.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A CBS News/YouGov poll indicates significant approval among Republicans and MAGA Republicans for US airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
Sentiment:Hawkish
Key Claims:
  • A CBS News/YouGov poll asked about approval or disapproval of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 85% of Republicans approve of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 15% of Republicans disapprove of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 94% of MAGA Republicans approve of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • 6% of MAGA Republicans disapprove of US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • The poll was conducted from June 22-24, 2025.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post depicts Donald Trump walking amidst several news headlines from various media outlets that portray his administration and actions in a highly positive and successful light, highlighting policy achievements, economic benefits, and overall political momentum.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The Senate has passed $9 billion in cuts to global aid and public broadcasting.
  • Trump's 'Make America Beautiful Again' executive order will revitalize national parks, including the Great Smoky Mountains.
  • The US is significantly ahead of China in AI and experiencing an energy boom, which Trump hails from Carnegie Mellon.
  • Bahrain's Prime Minister has pledged a $17 billion US investment during a meeting with Trump.
  • The Trump Administration celebrates restoring accountability by ending grants that funded far-left organizations.
  • The President is achieving so many successes that even CNN acknowledges his winning streak.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10