The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Filtering by entity: Japan | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A tsunami warning is in effect for Hawaii, and a tsunami watch is in effect for Alaska and the Pacific Coast of the United States, following a massive earthquake in the Pacific Ocean, with Japan also being in the path of the event.
Sentiment:Informational
Key Claims:
  • A massive earthquake occurred in the Pacific Ocean.
  • A Tsunami Warning is in effect for Hawaii.
  • A Tsunami Watch is in effect for Alaska and the Pacific Coast of the United States.
  • Japan is also in the path of the potential tsunami.
  • Individuals are advised to visit tsunami.gov for the latest information.
  • A message of encouragement to stay strong and safe is extended.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump is depicted as having successfully negotiated significant trade deals with Indonesia, Japan, and the Philippines, resulting in widespread investor enthusiasm, increased market confidence, and a surge in shares for automakers across Japan, South Korea, and Europe.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump reveals details of a "huge win" trade deal with Indonesia.
  • American businesses achieve a "huge win" through a landmark Indonesia trade deal that eliminates barriers.
  • Investors are cheering Donald Trump's "massive" trade deal with Japan.
  • Donald Trump announces a trade deal with the Philippines that includes a 19% tariff.
  • Markets gain more confidence as Donald Trump secures more trade deals.
  • Shares in Japanese, South Korean, and European automakers surge following a Tokyo trade deal.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The author outlines a policy of conditional tariff reduction based on market openness, stating that Japan's markets are now open, which will lead to a boom for US businesses.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Tariffs will only be lowered if a country agrees to open its market.
  • If a country does not open its market, much higher tariffs will be imposed.
  • Japan’s markets are now open.
  • Japan's markets are open for the first time ever.
  • USA businesses will boom as a result of Japan's market openness.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Indonesia and Japan have fully opened their markets to the USA, which is expected to result in significant profits for American businesses.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Indonesia has agreed to completely open its market to the USA for the first time.
  • This market opening represents a significant economic opportunity.
  • US businesses are expected to make a fortune from this development.
  • Japan has also similarly opened its market to the USA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Japan is opening its market to American products, including vehicles and agriculture, and is acquiring billions in military and other equipment, along with providing a significant portion of a large sum of money, all achieved through the application of tariff power.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Japan has opened its market to the USA across various sectors including vehicles and agriculture, a new development.
  • The market opening is a substantial economic benefit, comparable to tariffs.
  • This market access was secured through the application of tariff power.
  • Japan has committed to purchasing billions of dollars in military and other equipment.
  • Japan has committed to providing 90% of 550 billion dollars.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ retruth-with-comment
Summary:Donald Trump announces that he signed the largest trade deal in history with Japan, asserting it is a great deal for everyone. The deal is described as a massive agreement involving a $550 billion investment by Japan into the United States, with the U.S. receiving 90% of the profits. This agreement is stated to create hundreds of thousands of jobs and will open Japan's market to U.S. trade, including cars, trucks, rice, and other agricultural products, with Japan also paying reciprocal 15% tariffs to the United States. The post emphasizes a continued great relationship between the two countries.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A trade deal, characterized as the largest in history/ever made, was signed/completed with Japan.
  • Japan will invest $550 billion into the United States.
  • The United States will receive 90% of the profits from Japan's investment.
  • The deal will create hundreds of thousands of jobs in the United States.
  • Japan will open its country to trade with the United States, including cars, trucks, rice, and other agricultural products.
  • Japan will pay reciprocal tariffs of 15% to the United States.
  • The deal is beneficial for everyone and ensures a continued great relationship between the United States and Japan.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A massive deal has been completed with Japan, involving a $550 billion investment into the United States at the speaker's direction, with the U.S. receiving 90% of the profits. This deal is stated to create hundreds of thousands of jobs and includes Japan opening its markets to U.S. trade, such as cars, trucks, rice, and other agricultural products, along with Japan paying 15% reciprocal tariffs to the United States. The post emphasizes a very exciting time for the United States and a continued great relationship with Japan.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A massive deal has been completed with Japan, described as potentially the largest ever made.
  • Japan will invest $550 billion into the United States at the speaker's direction.
  • The United States will receive 90% of the profits from this investment.
  • The deal will create hundreds of thousands of jobs.
  • Japan will open its country to trade, including cars, trucks, rice, and certain other agricultural products.
  • Japan will pay reciprocal tariffs of 15% to the United States.
  • This is a very exciting time for the United States of America.
  • The United States and Japan will continue to always have a great relationship.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The White House has informed Japan's Prime Minister that due to an unsustainable and persistent trade deficit caused by Japan's trade policies, the United States will impose a 25% tariff on all Japanese products entering the U.S. starting August 1, 2025. The letter states that this tariff can be avoided if Japanese companies establish manufacturing within the United States, and warns that any retaliatory tariffs from Japan will be matched by an additional increase to the U.S. tariff.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Japan.
  • Japan's tariffs, non-tariff policies, and trade barriers are causing this unsustainable trade deficit.
  • The trade deficit is a major threat to the U.S. Economy and National Security.
  • Effective August 1, 2025, the U.S. will charge a 25% tariff on all Japanese products.
  • Goods transshipped to evade tariffs will be subject to a higher tariff.
  • The 25% tariff is less than what is needed to eliminate the trade deficit disparity.
  • There will be no tariff if Japan or Japanese companies build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • The U.S. will facilitate approvals for manufacturing in a matter of weeks.
  • If Japan raises its own tariffs, that increase will be added to the U.S.'s 25% tariff.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that Japan, despite an alleged massive rice shortage, refuses to accept U.S. rice, which is presented as an example of countries becoming 'spoiled' in their trade relationship with the United States. It indicates a diplomatic response will be sent to Japan, while affirming a desire for a continued long-term trading partnership.
Sentiment:Assertive Trade Stance
Key Claims:
  • Countries have become spoiled with respect to the United States of America.
  • Japan has a massive rice shortage.
  • Japan refuses to take U.S. rice.
  • The U.S. will send Japan a letter in response to this issue.
  • The U.S. desires to maintain Japan as a trading partner for many years.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10