The Stable Genius Report

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Filtering by entity: Thailand | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ retruth-with-comment
Summary:The post announces a historic peace summit at the White House between Armenia and Azerbaijan, marking an end to their 35-year conflict, and highlights previous peace accomplishments involving India and Pakistan, Congo and Rwanda, and Thailand and Cambodia, attributing these achievements to the President's aspiration to bring global peace and stability.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A historic peace summit is being held at the White House between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
  • Armenia and Azerbaijan have become friends after 35 years of conflict.
  • The President's highest aspiration is to bring peace and stability to the world.
  • The President achieved success in bringing peace between India and Pakistan.
  • The President achieved success in bringing peace between Congo and Rwanda.
  • The President achieved success in bringing peace between Thailand and Cambodia.
  • These peace efforts have saved many lives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The speaker, identifying as President, states his highest aspiration is to bring peace and stability globally, referencing past successes in brokering agreements between India and Pakistan, Congo and Rwanda, and Thailand and Cambodia, which he attributes to saving many lives, following a signing event today.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The speaker's highest aspiration as President is to bring peace and stability to the world.
  • A signing event occurred today.
  • Previous successes include brokering agreements between India and Pakistan.
  • Previous successes include brokering agreements between Congo and Rwanda.
  • Previous successes include brokering agreements between Thailand and Cambodia.
  • These interventions resulted in saving many lives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump announces that his involvement led to a ceasefire and peace agreement between Thailand and Cambodia, saving thousands of lives, and he has instructed his Trade Team to restart trade negotiations, positioning himself as a "President of PEACE" who has ended many wars.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • He spoke to the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand and Prime Minister of Cambodia.
  • His involvement led to a ceasefire and peace between Thailand and Cambodia.
  • The ceasefire and peace saved thousands of lives.
  • He instructed his Trade Team to restart trade negotiations.
  • He has ended many wars in six months.
  • He is the 'President of PEACE'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The speaker successfully facilitated an agreement between Cambodia and Thailand for an immediate ceasefire and peace, following discussions with both nations' leaders, and anticipates future trade agreements with the United States once peace is established.
Sentiment:Peacemaking
Key Claims:
  • The speaker had a very good call with the Prime Minister of Cambodia.
  • The speaker informed Cambodia's Prime Minister of discussions with Thailand and its Acting Prime Minister.
  • Both Cambodia and Thailand are seeking an immediate ceasefire and peace.
  • Both Cambodia and Thailand are also looking to resume trade discussions with the United States.
  • The speaker considers it inappropriate to engage in trade talks until fighting ceases.
  • Cambodia and Thailand have agreed to immediately meet and work out a ceasefire and ultimate peace.
  • The speaker found it an honor to deal with both countries.
  • Cambodia and Thailand possess a long and storied history and culture.
  • The speaker hopes Cambodia and Thailand will get along for many years.
  • The speaker looks forward to concluding trading agreements with both countries once peace is achieved.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post details a conversation with the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand, who, like Cambodia, expressed a desire for an immediate ceasefire and peace. This message will be relayed to the Prime Minister of Cambodia, with the expectation that ceasefire, peace, and prosperity are a natural outcome of discussions between both parties.
Sentiment:Peacemaking
Key Claims:
  • A very good conversation occurred with the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand.
  • Thailand desires an immediate Ceasefire and Peace.
  • Cambodia desires an immediate Ceasefire and Peace.
  • The message of ceasefire and peace will be relayed to the Prime Minister of Cambodia.
  • Ceasefire, Peace, and Prosperity appear to be a natural outcome after speaking to both parties.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The speaker engaged with the Prime Minister of Cambodia and is contacting the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand to facilitate a ceasefire and end an ongoing war between the two nations, stating that trade deals are contingent upon the cessation of hostilities, drawing a parallel to the successful resolution of the conflict between Pakistan and India.
Sentiment:Intervening
Key Claims:
  • The speaker spoke with the Prime Minister of Cambodia about stopping the war with Thailand.
  • The speaker is calling the Acting Prime Minister of Thailand to request a ceasefire and end the war.
  • A war is currently raging between Cambodia and Thailand, causing many deaths.
  • Trade deals with Cambodia and Thailand are conditional on the cessation of hostilities.
  • The speaker has informed both countries that no trade deal will be made if they are fighting.
  • The situation is complex, but similar to the successfully halted conflict between Pakistan and India.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:10/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A letter from The White House to the King of Thailand announces the United States' intention to impose a 36% tariff on all Thai products starting August 1, 2025, due to persistent and unreciprocal trade deficits. The letter states that goods transshipped to evade this tariff will face higher tariffs, and indicates that no tariffs will apply if manufacturing occurs within the United States. It also warns that any retaliatory tariffs from Thailand will be added to the US tariff, characterizing the existing trade deficit as a threat to the US economy and national security.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Thailand.
  • The trade relationship between the US and Thailand has been unreciprocal due to Thailand's tariffs, non-tariff policies, and trade barriers.
  • Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will charge Thailand a 36% tariff on all Thai products.
  • Goods transshipped to evade the 36% tariff will be subject to a higher tariff.
  • There will be no tariff if Thailand, or companies within Thailand, decide to build or manufacture product within the United States.
  • If Thailand raises its tariffs, that amount will be added to the 36% US tariff.
  • The unsustainable trade deficits with Thailand are a major threat to the US Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10