The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Filtering by entity: Russia | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post describes Joe Biden's presidency as the worst in American history, alleging a corrupt election, unprecedented disasters, highest inflation, a weakening dollar, and the surrender of energy dominance. It claims Biden abolished the Southern Border, leading to a massive influx of people, and that his foreign policy weakness prompted international conflicts. The post asserts that Biden, suffering from mental decline, withdrew from his re-election campaign after a humiliating debate loss to President Trump in June 2024, having weaponized law enforcement and issued blanket pardons. It concludes by stating President Trump would be re-elected to save America.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Joe Biden was the worst President in American History.
  • Biden's election was the most corrupt ever seen in the United States.
  • Biden's policies caused the highest Inflation ever recorded, leading the U.S. Dollar to lose more than 20% of its value in 4 years.
  • The 'Green New Scam' surrendered American Energy Dominance.
  • Biden abolished the Southern Border, allowing 21 million people from all over the World, including from prisons, jails, mental institutions, and insane asylums, to pour into the United States.
  • Biden's surrender in Afghanistan was among the most humiliating events in American History and resulted in the murder of 13 brave American Servicemembers.
  • Biden's devastating weakness led to Russia invading Ukraine and Hamas launching the October 7th attack on Israel.
  • Biden was dominated by his radical handlers, and the Fake News Media attempted to cover up his severe mental decline and unprecedented use of the Autopen.
  • Biden withdrew from his campaign for re-election in disgrace after a humiliating debate loss to President Trump in the big June 2024 debate.
  • Biden weaponized Law Enforcement against his political opponent and persecuted many other innocent people.
  • Biden left office issuing blanket pardons to Radical Democrat criminals and thugs, as well as members of the Biden Crime Family.
  • President Trump would get Re-Elected and SAVE AMERICA!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The United States possesses the largest nuclear arsenal, which was updated and renovated during the first term, with Russia ranking second and China projected to achieve parity within five years. Due to other nations' testing programs, the Department of War has been instructed to commence immediate nuclear weapons testing on an equal basis.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has more nuclear weapons than any other country.
  • The U.S. nuclear arsenal underwent a complete update and renovation during the first term.
  • Russia holds the second-largest nuclear arsenal.
  • China is a distant third in nuclear weapons but is projected to achieve parity with Russia within 5 years.
  • Other countries are conducting nuclear testing programs.
  • The Department of War has been instructed to start testing U.S. nuclear weapons immediately, on an equal basis with other countries.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:US Treasury sanctions major Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil and calls on Moscow to agree to an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, citing President Putin's refusal to end the war and aiming to degrade Russia's war-funding ability.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The U.S. Treasury, through OFAC, is imposing sanctions on major Russian oil companies.
  • These sanctions are in response to Russia's lack of commitment to a peace process to end the war in Ukraine.
  • The actions aim to increase pressure on Russia's energy sector and weaken the Kremlin's ability to fund its war and support its economy.
  • The United States advocates for a peaceful resolution, with peace dependent on Russia's willingness to negotiate in good faith.
  • Secretary Scott Bessent states the sanctions are necessary due to President Putin's refusal to end the war and calls for an immediate ceasefire.
  • Treasury is prepared to take further action to support President Trump's effort to end the war.
  • Allies are encouraged to join and adhere to these sanctions.
  • Rosneft and Lukoil are identified as Russia's two largest oil companies funding the Kremlin's war machine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The Wall Street Journal's report regarding U.S. approval for Ukraine's use of long-range missiles deep into Russia is inaccurate, and the U.S. has no connection to these missiles or their deployment by Ukraine.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The Wall Street Journal's story about U.S. approval for Ukraine to use long-range missiles deep into Russia is false.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with long-range missiles used by Ukraine.
  • The U.S. has no involvement with what Ukraine does with any missiles it may possess.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A summary of a productive telephone conversation between Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin, during which Putin congratulated the United States on achieving peace in the Middle East. Discussions also focused on future trade, Melania's involvement with children, and a diplomatic pathway for negotiations to end the Russia/Ukraine War, including planned meetings involving high-level advisors led by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, President Zelenskyy, and ultimately Trump and Putin.
Sentiment:Diplomatic Progress
Key Claims:
  • A telephone conversation between Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin was productive.
  • President Putin congratulated Trump and the United States on achieving peace in the Middle East.
  • The success in the Middle East will aid in negotiating an end to the Russia/Ukraine War.
  • President Putin expressed appreciation for First Lady Melania's involvement with children.
  • Discussions included future trade between Russia and the United States after the Ukraine War concludes.
  • Agreement was reached for a meeting of High Level Advisors next week, led by Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
  • Donald Trump and President Putin will meet in Budapest, Hungary, to discuss ending the Russia/Ukraine War.
  • Donald Trump and President Zelenskyy will meet tomorrow in the Oval Office to discuss the conversation with President Putin.
  • Great progress was made during the telephone conversation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Ukraine, with European Union and NATO support, is in a strong position to reclaim its original territory and potentially expand beyond, as Russia is experiencing significant economic difficulties and has demonstrated military ineptitude in a prolonged conflict. The United States will continue to supply weapons to NATO. Donald Trump, as President of the United States of America, wishes both countries well.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Ukraine, with EU and NATO support, is positioned to fight and win back all its original territory.
  • Russia has been fighting aimlessly for three and a half years in a war that a 'Real Military Power' could have won in less than a week.
  • Russia is made to look like 'a paper tiger.'
  • Russia is experiencing significant economic trouble, including difficulties in obtaining gasoline, with most of its money spent on the war.
  • Ukraine possesses 'Great Spirit' and is improving.
  • Ukraine might be able to 'go further' than just taking back its original country.
  • Putin and Russia are in 'BIG Economic trouble,' presenting an opportune time for Ukraine to act.
  • The United States will continue to supply weapons to NATO for their discretion.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A very productive call was completed with President Xi of China, where progress was made on trade, fentanyl issues, the need to end the Russia-Ukraine War, and the approval of the TikTok Deal. Agreements were also made for future meetings at the APEC Summit in South Korea, a visit to China early next year, and President Xi's visit to the United States at an appropriate time. The TikTok approval is appreciated, and both leaders look forward to the APEC meeting.
Sentiment:Productive Diplomacy
Key Claims:
  • A very productive call was completed with President Xi.
  • Progress was made on trade.
  • Progress was made on fentanyl issues.
  • The need to bring the War between Russia and Ukraine to an end was discussed.
  • The approval of the TikTok Deal was discussed.
  • An agreement was made to meet with President Xi at the APEC Summit in South Korea.
  • An agreement was made for a visit to China in the early part of next year.
  • An agreement was made for President Xi to come to the United States at an appropriate time.
  • The TikTok approval is appreciated.
  • Both leaders look forward to meeting at APEC.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump conveyed that he had a phone call with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, extended birthday wishes, praised Modi's job performance, and thanked him for his support on ending the War between Russia and Ukraine.
Sentiment:Affirmative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump had a phone call with Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
  • Donald Trump wished Narendra Modi a happy birthday.
  • Narendra Modi is doing a tremendous job.
  • Donald Trump thanked Narendra Modi for his support on ending the War between Russia and Ukraine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump outlines a strategy to end the war between Russia and Ukraine, proposing that he is ready to implement major sanctions on Russia if all NATO nations agree to do the same and cease buying Russian oil. He also suggests that NATO collectively imposes 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be removed after the war concludes, believing China's influence over Russia can be broken. Trump states the war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's, not his, and asserts that following his plan will quickly end the conflict and save lives.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations agree and stop buying Russian oil.
  • NATO's commitment to winning the war has been significantly less than 100%.
  • NATO nations purchasing Russian oil weakens their negotiating and bargaining power over Russia.
  • Placing 50% to 100% tariffs on China, to be withdrawn after the war, will help end the deadly war with Russia and Ukraine.
  • China has strong control and a grip over Russia.
  • Powerful tariffs on China will break its grip over Russia.
  • The war is Biden's and Zelenskyy's war, and would not have started if Donald Trump was President.
  • Donald Trump is offering to help stop the war and save thousands of Russian and Ukrainian lives.
  • 7,118 lives were lost last week alone in the conflict.
  • If NATO follows Trump's proposed actions, the war will end quickly and all those lives will be saved.
  • If NATO does not comply, they are wasting Donald Trump's time, and the time, energy, and money of the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post questions Russia's violation of Poland's airspace with drones, indicating a significant development.
Sentiment:Foreboding
Key Claims:
  • Russia is violating Poland’s airspace with drones
  • This event signifies an escalation or significant development
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Key Entities: