The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Emmanuel Macron announces that the Venezuelan people are free from Nicolás Maduro's dictatorship and that a peaceful, democratic transition, respectful of the Venezuelan people's will, is expected under President Edmundo González Urrutia, elected in 2024. France is coordinating with regional partners and ensuring the safety of its nationals during these uncertain times.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • The Venezuelan people are rid of Nicolás Maduro's dictatorship.
  • Nicolás Maduro gravely undermined the dignity of his people by seizing power and trampling on fundamental freedoms.
  • An upcoming transition in Venezuela must be peaceful, democratic, and respectful of the will of the Venezuelan people.
  • President Edmundo González Urrutia, elected in 2024, is expected to swiftly ensure this transition.
  • France is currently exchanging with partners in the region.
  • France is fully mobilized and vigilant to ensure the safety of its nationals during these uncertain times.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:George and Amal Clooney have become citizens of France, a nation described as having a major crime problem due to its handling of immigration. The post draws parallels to U.S. immigration issues under Joe Biden and criticizes Clooney's past political endorsements and acting career, predicting future Democratic defeat.
Sentiment:Vindicative Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • George and Amal Clooney are poor political prognosticators.
  • George and Amal Clooney have officially become citizens of France.
  • France has a major crime problem because of its handling of immigration.
  • The U.S. experienced similar immigration-related problems under Joe Biden.
  • Clooney abandoned Joe Biden during a fundraiser after a debate.
  • Clooney then endorsed Jamala(K!), who is now struggling.
  • Jamala(K!) is vying with Tim Waltz and Gavin Newscum for leadership among Democrats.
  • These Democratic figures are expected to lead the party to future defeat.
  • Clooney received more publicity for politics than for his mediocre movies.
  • Clooney was an average person who constantly complained about common sense in politics.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post announces the United Nations Security Council's endorsement of a newly formed 'BOARD OF PEACE,' to be chaired by Donald Trump and comprising powerful global leaders, predicting it will lead to increased worldwide peace and represents a historic achievement.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United Nations Security Council voted to acknowledge and endorse the 'BOARD OF PEACE' just moments ago.
  • The 'BOARD OF PEACE' will be chaired by Donald Trump.
  • The 'BOARD OF PEACE' will include the most powerful and respected Leaders throughout the World.
  • This vote will go down as one of the biggest approvals in the History of the United Nations.
  • This initiative will lead to further Peace all over the World.
  • This moment is of true Historic proportion.
  • Specific countries on the U.N. Security Council are thanked for their participation.
  • Countries not on the Committee but strongly backing the effort are also thanked.
  • Members of the Board and more exciting announcements will be made in the coming weeks.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Statements from several international entities, including Australia, China, New Zealand, the EU Commission, the European Council, France, and Germany, express support for a Middle East Peace Deal aimed at ending the conflict in Gaza and achieving lasting peace, with a specific mention of Donald Trump's commitment to the deal.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Broad international support exists for a Middle East Peace Deal.
  • The deal aims to end the war in Gaza.
  • Hamas is expected to lay down its arms and release all remaining hostages.
  • Donald Trump's commitment to the peace deal is acknowledged and welcomed by international bodies.
  • A two-state solution is identified as a viable path to lasting peace in the Middle East.
  • The deal represents a unique opportunity to resolve the conflict.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post describes a series of high-level meetings at the White House and Oval Office with European leaders, the Ukrainian President, and the NATO Secretary General to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine. Following these discussions, a call was made to President Putin to arrange a direct meeting with President Zelenskyy, to be followed by a trilateral meeting including the sender. The post indicates that these actions are a significant step towards peace for the Russia/Ukraine conflict, with specific individuals coordinating with Russia and Ukraine.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A meeting occurred at the White House/Oval Office with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, French President Macron, Finnish President Stubb, Italian Prime Minister Meloni, UK Prime Minister Starmer, German Chancellor Merz, European Commission President von der Leyen, and NATO Secretary General Rutte.
  • The meeting discussed security guarantees for Ukraine to be provided by European countries, coordinated with the United States.
  • There is happiness about the possibility of peace for Russia/Ukraine.
  • President Putin was called to arrange a meeting between him and President Zelenskyy.
  • A trilateral meeting involving President Putin, President Zelenskyy, and the sender will occur after the initial two-party meeting.
  • These actions represent a significant early step to end the almost four-year conflict.
  • Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff are coordinating with Russia and Ukraine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The post highlights the United States' defense expenditure of almost $1 trillion and Trump's demand for NATO allies to increase their defense spending to 5% of GDP, threatening to cease protection for those who don't comply. It notes Spain's resistance to this demand and proposes a discussion with NATO members.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • The United States spends almost $1 trillion on defense annually.
  • The U.S. defense expenditure is 3.38% of its GDP.
  • Trump demands NATO allies boost their defense spending to 5% of GDP.
  • Trump threatens to stop protecting allies who do not commit to spending 5% of GDP on defense.
  • NATO's current agreed target for defense spending is 2% of GDP.
  • Mark Rutte, NATO chief, proposes raising spending to 3.5% of GDP and an additional 1.5% for wider security.
  • Spain threatens to derail the NATO summit due to resistance to Trump's 5% demand.
  • Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez states a 5% defense spending goal would be incompatible with Spain's welfare state.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Donald Trump refutes French President Emmanuel Macron's claim that Trump left the G7 Summit to work on an Israel-Iran ceasefire, stating his actual reason for departure is 'much bigger' and that Macron 'always gets it wrong.'
Sentiment:Confident
Key Claims:
  • Emmanuel Macron is publicity seeking.
  • Macron mistakenly claimed Trump left G7 to work on an Israel-Iran 'cease fire'.
  • Trump's reason for leaving the G7 was not for an Israel-Iran ceasefire.
  • Trump's reason for leaving is 'much bigger'.
  • Emmanuel Macron 'always gets it wrong'.
  • Something significant is upcoming ('Stay Tuned!').
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10