The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post describes a highly successful meeting with President Xi of China, which resulted in China pulling back a Rare Earths threat, purchasing billions in agricultural products, and agreeing to pay substantial tariffs. This outcome is presented as a major victory for the U.S.A. and beneficial for China and the world, while simultaneously strongly criticizing The New York Times and its reporters for negatively misrepresenting the event as "Fake News."
Sentiment:Triumphant and Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The meeting with President Xi was a spectacular success.
  • The New York Times and its reporters misrepresented the facts about the meeting.
  • China pulled back its Rare Earths threat.
  • China bought billions of dollars of soybeans and other agricultural products.
  • China agreed to pay substantial tariffs.
  • The meeting was a big victory for the U.S.A. and the World.
  • The outcome was wonderful for China.
  • U.S. and China maintained an excellent relationship with specific plans for future talks and meetings.
  • The New York Times is "Fake News" and a disgrace to journalism for its negative reporting.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:China sent an extremely hostile letter announcing large-scale export controls on virtually all products, effective November 1st, 2025, which affects all countries. In response, the United States will impose a 100% tariff on China, in addition to existing tariffs, and implement export controls on critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025, or sooner.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • China has taken an extraordinarily aggressive position on Trade.
  • China sent an extremely hostile letter to the World.
  • China stated they would impose large-scale Export Controls on virtually every product they make, effective November 1st, 2025.
  • These Chinese export controls affect ALL Countries, without exception.
  • China's plan was devised years ago and is unheard of in International Trade.
  • China's action is a moral disgrace in dealing with other Nations.
  • The United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any current tariffs, starting November 1st, 2025 (or sooner).
  • The United States will impose Export Controls on any and all critical software, also starting November 1st, 2025.
  • It is impossible to believe that China would have taken such an action, but they have.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):10/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:Donald Trump issues a future-dated message, presented as a tweet with a White House logo, congratulating the world and declaring it is 'time for peace'.
Sentiment:Hopeful
Key Claims:
  • The world is to be congratulated.
  • It is time for peace.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post praises a Senate-passed bill concerning digital assets, declaring it will establish the United States as the undisputed leader in this sector, promising massive investment and innovation. It urges the House to quickly pass a clean version of the bill for presidential approval.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • The Senate passed an 'incredible Bill' on Digital Assets.
  • This bill will make America the 'UNDISPUTED Leader in Digital Assets'.
  • The legislation will lead to 'MASSIVE Investment' and 'Big Innovation'.
  • The House should pass a 'clean' version of the 'GENIUS Act' 'LIGHTNING FAST'.
  • The bill should be sent to 'my desk, ASAP — NO DELAYS, NO ADD ONS'.
  • This initiative represents 'American Brilliance' and will demonstrate 'how to WIN with Digital Assets'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10