The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Filtering by entity: Indonesia | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Allies in the Middle East and surrounding areas have offered to deploy a significant force into Gaza to address Hamas if the group continues its negative actions and violates agreements. This offer has been acknowledged and placed on hold for now, with a strong warning issued to Hamas regarding severe consequences if it fails to act appropriately. The post also extends gratitude to the countries that offered assistance and specifically thanks Indonesia and its leader for their help to the Middle East and the U.S.A.
Sentiment:Warning
Key Claims:
  • Numerous allies in and around the Middle East have enthusiastically offered to send a heavy force into Gaza to 'straighten our Hamas' if Hamas continues to 'act badly' and violates agreements.
  • The 'love and spirit for the Middle East has not been seen like this in a thousand years.'
  • Trump has informed these countries and Israel that intervention is 'NOT YET!' needed, indicating a pause.
  • There is still hope that Hamas will 'do what is right.'
  • If Hamas does not comply, its end will be 'FAST, FURIOUS, & BRUTAL!'
  • Trump expresses gratitude to all countries that called to offer help.
  • Trump thanks Indonesia and its leader for their help to the Middle East and the U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump is depicted as having successfully negotiated significant trade deals with Indonesia, Japan, and the Philippines, resulting in widespread investor enthusiasm, increased market confidence, and a surge in shares for automakers across Japan, South Korea, and Europe.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump reveals details of a "huge win" trade deal with Indonesia.
  • American businesses achieve a "huge win" through a landmark Indonesia trade deal that eliminates barriers.
  • Investors are cheering Donald Trump's "massive" trade deal with Japan.
  • Donald Trump announces a trade deal with the Philippines that includes a 19% tariff.
  • Markets gain more confidence as Donald Trump secures more trade deals.
  • Shares in Japanese, South Korean, and European automakers surge following a Tokyo trade deal.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Indonesia and Japan have fully opened their markets to the USA, which is expected to result in significant profits for American businesses.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Indonesia has agreed to completely open its market to the USA for the first time.
  • This market opening represents a significant economic opportunity.
  • US businesses are expected to make a fortune from this development.
  • Japan has also similarly opened its market to the USA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A deal beneficial to all parties was concluded with Indonesia, following direct negotiations with their highly respected President, with further details to be disclosed.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A great deal was made with Indonesia.
  • The deal is beneficial for everybody.
  • The deal was recently concluded.
  • The author of the post dealt directly with Indonesia's President.
  • Indonesia's President is highly respected.
  • Further details regarding the deal will be provided.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The White House communicates to the President of Indonesia the United States' decision to impose a 32% tariff on all Indonesian products starting August 1, 2025, citing persistent trade deficits caused by Indonesian tariffs and trade barriers, and warns of increased tariffs if Indonesia retaliates.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Indonesia, caused by Indonesia's tariffs, policies, and trade barriers.
  • The United States will implement a 32% tariff on all Indonesian products starting August 1, 2025.
  • Goods transshipped to evade higher tariffs will be subject to higher tariffs.
  • The 32% tariff is less than what is needed to eliminate the trade deficit.
  • No tariffs will be applied if Indonesian companies build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • Should Indonesia raise its tariffs, an additional tariff equivalent to Indonesia's increase will be added to the U.S.'s 32% tariff.
  • Unsustainable trade deficits are a major threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10