The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The United States faces potential liabilities of hundreds of billions, possibly trillions of dollars, if the Supreme Court rules against the nation regarding tariffs, a situation described as a national security bonanza and a complete mess that the country would find almost impossible to manage.
Sentiment:Warning
Key Claims:
  • A Supreme Court ruling against the United States on tariffs would result in hundreds of billions of dollars in payback.
  • Including investments by countries and companies made to avoid tariffs, the total liability could reach trillions of dollars.
  • This financial obligation would be a complete mess and almost impossible for the United States to pay.
  • Anyone claiming an easy or quick resolution to this issue is providing a false, inaccurate, or misunderstood answer.
  • If such a payment were possible, determining the amount, recipients, and timing would take many years.
  • A ruling against the United States on this 'National Security bonanza' would lead to severe negative consequences for the country.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post asserts that tariffs are generating trillions of dollars in revenue and investment, and have been successfully used to prevent 5 out of 8 wars. It claims current inflation is minimal while inflation under "Sleepy Joe Biden" is historically high, simultaneously noting the stock market's record performance. The author promises to prevent entities like Leonard Leo, Koch, and various countries from exploiting the United States through their own tariffs, stating that the USA is currently at its richest, strongest, and most respected state, attributing this to tariffs and the upcoming November 5th election.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Tariffs are generating trillions of dollars in revenue and investment from foreign lands.
  • The speaker has directly stopped 5 of 8 wars using the threat of tariffs.
  • There is almost no inflation currently.
  • Inflation under "Sleepy Joe Biden" is the worst in USA history.
  • The stock market has hit an all-time high 48 times in 9 months.
  • Leonard Leo, Koch, countries, and "slimeballs" have exploited the United States for years through their own tariffs.
  • The US court system will no longer permit the destruction of the country by these entities.
  • The USA is currently the richest, strongest, and most respected it has ever been.
  • November 5th and tariffs are the reasons for the USA's current strength and standing.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:Donald Trump is withdrawing his support and endorsement of Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, citing her constant complaining and perceived shift to the 'Far Left.' He attributes numerous 'Record Achievements' to himself, including a complete victory on the shutdown, closed borders, low taxes, ending DEI, stopping inflation, significant regulation cuts, stopping eight wars, rebuilding the military, and making the U.S. respected and economically 'hottest.' He indicates that conservative individuals are considering primarying Greene in her Georgia district and that he would offer complete support to a suitable challenger.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is withdrawing support and endorsement of Marjorie Taylor Greene.
  • Donald Trump created 'Record Achievements' for the country.
  • These achievements include a total and complete victory on the shutdown, closed borders, low taxes, no men in women’s sports or transgender for everyone, ending DEI, stopping Biden’s record-setting inflation, the biggest regulation cuts in history, stopping eight wars, rebuilding the military, being respected by every country in the world, having trillions of dollars invested in the U.S.A., and creating the 'hottest' country in the world.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene constantly complains.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene polled at 12% for Senator or Governor and had no chance without Trump's endorsement.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene is upset that Trump does not return her phone calls.
  • Donald Trump cannot take a 'ranting Lunatic’s' call every day due to his responsibilities.
  • Conservative people are considering primarying Marjorie Taylor Greene in her Georgia district.
  • Donald Trump will give complete and unyielding support to the 'right person' who runs against Marjorie Taylor Greene.
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene has 'gone Far Left.'
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared on 'The View' with 'Low IQ Republican hating Anchors.'
  • The overarching goal is to 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A positive update following a meeting with President Xi of China, highlighting agreements on agricultural purchases, continued rare earth supply, cooperation on fentanyl, and American energy acquisition, alongside expressions of gratitude to various Asian nations for contributing to US prosperity and security.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A truly great meeting occurred with President Xi of China, enhancing respect between the two countries.
  • Many agreements were reached, with other important matters very close to being resolved.
  • President Xi authorized China to begin massive purchases of Soybeans, Sorghum, and other Farm products from the US.
  • US farmers should immediately buy more land and larger tractors.
  • China agreed to continue the open and free flow of Rare Earth, Critical Minerals, and Magnets.
  • China strongly stated it will diligently work with the US to stop the flow of Fentanyl and end the crisis.
  • China agreed to begin purchasing American Energy, with a very large-scale transaction concerning Oil and Gas from Alaska possible.
  • Agreements reached will deliver Prosperity and Security to millions of Americans.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars are being brought into the US due to relations with Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.
  • The US Nation is strong, respected, and admired again, and the best is yet to come.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:Prices are 'WAY DOWN' in the USA with virtually no inflation, attributed to falling energy prices and 'magnificent Tariffs' that are bringing in 'Trillions of Dollars,' making America strong and respected. The post criticizes 'Windmills' as corrupt and harmful.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Prices are 'WAY DOWN' in the USA.
  • Virtually no inflation.
  • Energy prices are falling, 'big time.'
  • Gasoline is at many year lows.
  • Tariffs are magnificent.
  • Tariffs are bringing in 'Trillions of Dollars' from Countries that took total advantage of us.
  • Tariffs are making America STRONG and RESPECTED AGAIN!!!
  • Corrupt politician approved 'Windmills' are killing every State and Country that uses them.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post marks the six-month anniversary of the second term, asserting it is a highly consequential period during which numerous significant achievements were made, including the ending of multiple wars, and declaring the country has been revived from a prior state of decline to become the world's "hottest" and most respected nation.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • It is the six-month anniversary of the second term.
  • This period is hailed as one of the most consequential of any President.
  • Many good and great things were accomplished, including ending numerous wars involving countries not primarily related to the U.S.
  • One year prior, the country was "DEAD" with almost no hope of revival.
  • The USA is now the "hottest" and most respected country anywhere in the world.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The United States has been exploited through decades of unfair trade and military arrangements, resulting in trillions of dollars in losses, a situation deemed unsustainable. The narrative suggests other nations should acknowledge this historical 'free ride' and the necessity for the U.S. to prioritize its own interests.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has been 'ripped off' on trade for decades.
  • The United States has been 'ripped off' on military arrangements for decades.
  • These arrangements have cost the U.S. 'trillions of dollars'.
  • The current situation is unsustainable and never was sustainable.
  • Other countries should recognize they have had a 'free ride' from the U.S.
  • The U.S. must now act to do what is 'right for America', and other countries should understand this.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post asserts that a nation cannot achieve economic survival unless it is permitted to swiftly and effectively counter other countries' tariffs with its own.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Other countries are allowed to use tariffs against 'us'.
  • 'We' are not allowed to quickly and nimbly counter them with tariffs.
  • Without the ability to impose reciprocal tariffs, 'our Country' has no chance of economic survival.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10