The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:An expanded aluminum plant in Rosemount, Minnesota, is increasing domestic aluminum supply in response to tariffs, demonstrating the positive local impact of such policies.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A Rosemount business, Spectro Alloys, has expanded its operations.
  • The expansion is contributing to an increased domestic supply of aluminum.
  • The growth in domestic aluminum supply is occurring in the face of tariffs.
  • A 50% tariff on aluminum, set by President Donald Trump in June, is a factor in this development.
  • Spectro Alloys has become a significant purchaser of industrial metal scrap.
  • The company supplies aluminum billets to major manufacturers including General Motors, Tesla, Black & Decker, and Caterpillar.
  • The expansion is projected to increase Spectro Alloys' business by 50% and create 50 new jobs.
  • Spectro Alloys is majority-owned by EGA Global Aluminum, based in the United Arab Emirates.
  • The expansion involved a $71 million investment.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A letter from the White House dated July 9, 2025, addresses the President of Moldova, Maia Sandu, stating the United States faces a significant trade deficit with Moldova. To correct this, the letter announces a 25% tariff on all Moldovan products imported into the US, effective August 1, 2025. It further states that if Moldova raises its own tariffs, an equivalent amount will be added to the 25% US tariff. The letter concludes that the unsustainable trade deficits are a major threat to the US economy and national security.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant trade deficit with Moldova due to non-tariff, policies, and trade barriers.
  • Beginning August 1, 2025, the US will implement a 25% tariff on all Moldovan products imported into the United States.
  • Goods transshipped to evade higher tariffs will be subject to higher tariff rates.
  • No tariff will be applied if Moldova or companies within Moldova decide to build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • If Moldova raises its tariffs, the additional amount will be added to the 25% tariff charged by the US.
  • The unsustainable trade deficits are a major threat to the US Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:A post highlights Marco Rubio's endorsement of a defense agreement involving NATO, stating that it represents a significant advantage for the United States.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Marco Rubio asserts that a defense deal involving NATO, associated with Donald Trump, constitutes a major success.
  • The deal is described as a 'big, beautiful win for America'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A post sharing a news article celebrating a series of significant achievements attributed to Donald Trump during the initial six months of a presidency, highlighting successes under the 'MAGA' agenda.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump accumulated numerous significant accomplishments during the first six months of a presidency.
  • These accomplishments are characterized as 'MAGA Wins'.
  • The initial six-month period of the presidency represents a 'Golden Age'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The author claims responsibility for unprecedented cost reduction and asserts that Democrats are knowingly spreading a false counter-narrative about economic costs.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The author brought down costs more than any President in recorded history.
  • Democrats are using a false narrative regarding costs.
  • Democrats are aware their narrative is completely untrue.
  • Democratic soundbites are presented as phony.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Brazil is unjustly persecuting former President Jair Bolsonaro through continuous actions, despite his innocence in fighting for the people and his current lead in polls. It claims these actions are a political attack, similar to what the author has experienced, and calls for Bolsonaro to be left alone, stating that his only trial should be an election by the voters.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • Brazil is treating former President Jair Bolsonaro terribly.
  • Actions against Bolsonaro are continuous and relentless.
  • Bolsonaro is innocent of any wrongdoing, having only fought for 'THE PEOPLE'.
  • Bolsonaro was a strong leader who loved his country and was a tough trade negotiator.
  • Bolsonaro's prior election was very close, and he is currently leading in polls.
  • The actions against Bolsonaro are an attack on a political opponent.
  • The author (Trump) has experienced similar political attacks 'times 10'.
  • The 'Great People of Brazil' will not tolerate what is happening to their former President.
  • The author is closely watching the 'WITCH HUNT' against Bolsonaro, his family, and his supporters.
  • The only legitimate trial for Bolsonaro is an election by the voters of Brazil.
  • Jair Bolsonaro should be left alone.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post celebrates golf legend Gary Player, highlighting his extensive career achievements and remarkable vitality, accompanying a photo of Donald Trump and Gary Player on a golf course.
Sentiment:Celebratory
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is pictured with Gary Player on a golf course, with an American flag visible in the background.
  • Gary Player is a great golf legend.
  • Gary Player has won over 150 golf tournaments and 9 Majors, plus many tournaments and Majors on the Senior Tour.
  • Only Tiger and Jack (Woods and Nicklaus) are considered comparable to Gary Player's incredible record.
  • Gary Player has a significant birthday approaching.
  • Gary Player appears and plays 30 years younger than his age.
  • Gary Player is described as a very special man.
  • Donald Trump is wearing a 'Make America Great Again' hat in the image.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A four-mile stretch of Southern Boulevard in Palm Beach County, Florida, has been renamed "President Donald J. Trump Boulevard," an honor for which gratitude is expressed to Palm Beach County, Governor Ron DeSantis, and Florida's State Lawmakers.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Florida renamed a four-mile stretch of Southern Boulevard in Palm Beach County to "President Donald J. Trump Boulevard."
  • Donald Trump won Florida three times.
  • Donald Trump is a proud resident of Florida.
  • Donald Trump expresses gratitude to Palm Beach County, Governor Ron DeSantis, and Florida State Lawmakers for this honor.
  • Donald Trump loves Florida.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A Major Disaster Declaration was signed for Kerr County, Texas, to provide resources to first responders and assist families affected by a tragedy involving lives lost and missing. The Trump Administration is actively collaborating with State and Local Leaders, with Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem and Governor Greg Abbott on the ground, and the U.S. Coast Guard and state first responders have saved over 850 lives.
Sentiment:Supportive and Action-oriented
Key Claims:
  • A Major Disaster Declaration was signed for Kerr County, Texas.
  • The declaration ensures resources for first responders.
  • Families in Kerr County are enduring an unimaginable tragedy with many lives lost and missing.
  • The Trump Administration is working closely with State and Local Leaders.
  • Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem was on the ground yesterday with Governor Greg Abbott.
  • Governor Greg Abbott is working hard to help the people of his State.
  • The U.S. Coast Guard, together with State First Responders, have saved more than 850 lives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump is depicted as having signed a significant, positive piece of legislation, referred to as "The One, Big, Beautiful Bill," emphasizing his role in its completion and positive impact.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A significant and positive piece of legislation, referred to as "The One, Big, Beautiful Bill," has been enacted.
  • Donald Trump personally signed this legislation.
  • The signing of this bill represents an accomplishment.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities: