The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Steve Witkoff, described as a compassionate individual from humble beginnings, advanced President Trump's global mission for peace and the return of hostages. Concurrently, the White House is confident in its strategy regarding an ongoing government shutdown, asserting that Democrats' support is eroding based on internal and external polling.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Steve Witkoff embodies compassion and a commitment to helping those who suffer.
  • Witkoff started his own business from humble origins without privilege or a financial safety net.
  • Witkoff advanced President Trump's global mission for peace and the return of hostages, including specific Americans.
  • Witkoff personally supported hostage families, spending countless hours with them to restore faith.
  • The White House's political operation advises congressional Republicans to maintain a firm stance on the government shutdown.
  • Internal and external polling indicates that Democrats' public support regarding the shutdown is declining.
  • A senior administration official claims Democrats are 'taking on water' and the White House has 'a higher pain tolerance' for the shutdown.
  • White House internal polling attributes 44% of the blame for the shutdown to President Trump and the GOP-led Congress, and 38% to Democrats.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado dedicates her 2025 award to Donald Trump, crediting his policies with restoring democracy and freedom in the Americas.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Maria Corina Machado won the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
  • Machado dedicated her Nobel Peace Prize to Donald Trump.
  • Trump's policies restored democracy and freedom in the Americas.
  • Machado's Nobel Peace Prize acknowledges her work promoting democratic rights for the people of Venezuela and their struggle to achieve a just and peaceful transition from dictatorship to democracy.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:FBI Director Kash Patel sharply criticizes ESPN personality Stephen A. Smith for alleging that President Trump was responsible for arrests in an NBA gambling scandal, calling the suggestion "the single dumbest thing I've ever heard."
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • FBI Director Kash Patel criticized Stephen A. Smith for suggesting President Trump orchestrated NBA gambling scandal arrests.
  • Stephen A. Smith's suggestion was described by Patel as "the single dumbest thing I've ever heard."
  • Patel asserted that he, as FBI Director, determines arrests.
  • NBA stars and coaches were arrested in an illegal sports betting scheme.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:New York Attorney General Letitia James' grandniece, Nalisha Thompson, a fugitive who assaulted police and absconded on parole, resided in a Virginia property that federal prosecutors allege James falsely listed as a 'second home' rather than a rental.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • New York Attorney General Letitia James' grandniece is a fugitive who assaulted cops and absconded on parole.
  • This grandniece, Nalisha Thompson, lived in a Virginia property.
  • Letitia James falsely listed this Virginia property as a 'second home'.
  • The property was actually being rented by Letitia James to her grandniece, Nalisha Thompson.
  • Federal prosecutors are making these allegations against Letitia James.
  • The situation is characterized as 'HOME TO ROOST'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that the New York Attorney General weaponized her office for a personal vendetta against the President, leading to a $500 million civil fraud judgment that a New York appeals court subsequently overturned. It characterizes this legal action as political theater and advocates for replacing the Attorney General in the next election.
Sentiment:Vindicative Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The New York Attorney General is the 'worst Attorney General in the U.S.'
  • The New York Attorney General claims 'no one is above the law,' but acts hypocritically.
  • The New York Attorney General weaponized her office for a personal vendetta against the President.
  • A New York appeals court overturned a $500 million civil fraud judgment in the AG's case against the President.
  • The actions of the Attorney General constitute 'political theater, not justice.'
  • There is an intention to 'take back the attorney general's office next year' in New York.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump asserts that Chicago's Mayor and Governor should solicit his assistance for the city's rampant crime, stating his capability to resolve the issue within one month, while referencing a news report about a violent Labor Day weekend in Chicago and the current mayor's stance against federal intervention.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The Mayor and Governor should be requesting help for Chicago's crime.
  • Crime in Chicago is out of control.
  • Chicago has the potential to be one of the greatest cities in the World.
  • He possesses the ability to fix Chicago's crime problem in one month.
  • Chicago experienced a significant violent event with 8 killed and 58 shot over Labor Day weekend.
  • The 'left-wing mayor' vows to not use federal troops to stop the violence.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A newspaper front page highlights that Washington D.C. is perceived as safer following the implementation of 'Trump's Law,' which led to a DC woman's viral TikTok video expressing increased safety and the removal of homeless encampments from the capital. The page also notes a lawsuit by the District of Columbia to block a federal takeover.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A DC woman reports feeling 'more safe than ever' in the capital due to 'Trump's Law,' and her experience has gone viral on TikTok.
  • Homeless individuals and their encampments, referred to as 'Capital campers,' are being removed from public spaces in Washington D.C.
  • Areas previously occupied by tents are being cleaned and restored.
  • These actions are part of a broader effort by the Trump administration to address crime and homelessness in the capital.
  • The District of Columbia is pursuing legal action to prevent a federal takeover related to public safety.
  • An individual was rearrested in connection with a 'fed food fight' incident involving a sandwich.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post presents an opinion piece from the New York Post, featuring a political cartoon that strongly criticizes the Democratic Party's alleged actions concerning immigration and crime, characterizing them as 'Jim Crow on steroids.' The accompanying articles discuss the potential for a transformative 'Epic' presidency under Donald Trump, aiming to forge a new political era, and propose reshaping higher education by modeling it after Southern universities.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A new Trump presidency is depicted as 'epic' and capable of forging a new political era.
  • The Democratic Party is accused of attempting to deport its 'undocumented migrant base' and arresting the 'carjacker block,' with these actions labeled as 'Jim Crow on steroids'.
  • Southern universities are presented as a superior model for higher education compared to Northeastern universities, which are described as having issues with 'wokeness,' 'anti-American,' and 'antisemitic violence'.
  • The narrative claims that a Trump administration implemented policies beneficial to the US, such as border policies, tariffs, and reining in government spending.
  • The narrative suggests a Trump second term would be more consequential than Ronald Reagan's presidency.
  • The post implies that Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) policies are linked to problems in government and universities.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post declares that Donald Trump's intervention in Washington D.C.'s policing is a logical and advantageous action benefiting the city's residents, implying it addresses concerns such as high homicide rates.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Trump's takeover of DC policing is entirely sensible.
  • Trump's takeover of DC policing is a win for the people of Washington.
  • The intervention in policing is intended to address issues like capital homicide rates.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post highlights President Trump's focus on crime in Washington D.C., showcasing support for his crackdown from the D.C. Police Union, various media outlets, and the mother of a crime victim, affirming his approach to making D.C. safe.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Washington D.C. needs to be made safe again.
  • President Trump is leading a crime crackdown in D.C.
  • The D.C. Police Union supports President Trump's capital city crime crackdown.
  • President Trump is correct in his efforts to 'liberate' D.C.
  • The mother of a slain congressional intern praises Trump's crime crackdown in D.C., anticipating positive change.
  • President Trump's stance on D.C. crime is affirmed by multiple media outlets.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10