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Filtering by entity: Republican primary voters | Clear Filter
Summary:A survey report indicates that Thomas Massie's standing among likely Republican primary voters in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District has significantly declined, making him vulnerable to a Republican challenger endorsed by President Trump, whose policies Massie is perceived to have opposed.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
- A "MAGA Kentucky" advertising campaign has caused Thomas Massie's polling numbers to decline.
- Thomas Massie is now extremely vulnerable in a Republican primary election for Congress.
- Republican primary voters are rejecting Thomas Massie's record of standing with Democrats against President Trump's tax cuts and policies.
- Massie's favorable image rating has shifted from a net +14 to a net -11, a 25-point net negative swing.
- Massie's job approval rating has shifted from a net +11 to a net -16, a 27-point net negative shift.
- The perception of Massie's ideology becoming more liberal has increased from 13% to 27%, while his conservative rating decreased from 62% to 45%.
- Thomas Massie's re-elect score decreased from 41% in June to 30%.
- An incumbent with a re-elect score under 40% is considered vulnerable in a primary.
- A Republican candidate endorsed and backed by President Trump would be in a strong position to win.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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