The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The House is preparing for a vote, and the Republican House Majority is united, positioned to deliver significant tax cuts and foster massive economic growth. The post calls for Republicans and others to support the 'Make America Great Again' agenda.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The House is ready to vote tonight.
  • Great conversations occurred throughout the day.
  • The Republican House Majority is united.
  • The Republican House Majority acts for the good of the country.
  • The Republican House Majority will deliver the biggest tax cuts in history.
  • The Republican House Majority will deliver massive growth.
  • A call to action for Republicans and everyone else to 'Make America Great Again'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:June border statistics are described as the lowest recorded in United States history, with zero releases of Illegal Aliens and significantly fewer nationwide encounters compared to the previous administration. The post asserts America's borders are safe and secure, and calls on Republicans to pass "THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" to maintain border security against attempts by "Radical Left Judges" to open the border and defy the Supreme Court. It emphasizes the need for Republicans to support Border Patrol, ICE, and CBP.
Sentiment:Triumphant and Directive
Key Claims:
  • The June Border Statistics are the lowest recorded numbers in United States history.
  • The U.S. Border Patrol reported ZERO releases of Illegal Aliens into the Country.
  • Customs and Border Protection had only 25,243 "Nationwide Encounters" in June.
  • The Biden Administration was previously "encountering" tens of thousands of people every single day.
  • America’s Borders are Safe and Secure, and the entire World acknowledges this.
  • Republicans need to pass “THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL” to maintain border security.
  • Radical Left Judges are attempting to open the Border and defy the Supreme Court.
  • Republicans must be smart and strong to prevent these judges from turning the country into a Third World Country.
  • The Men and Women of Border Patrol, ICE, and CBP are performing an amazing job.
  • These agencies require more assistance and are relying on Republicans to complete necessary actions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post asserts that significant economic growth has already begun and will be further amplified by the passage of a 'Big, Beautiful Bill,' which is expected to lead to unprecedented investments and record tariff revenues, contrasting this success with a previous 'mess' and urging Republicans to ensure the bill's passage.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Growth will be the primary reason for the success of the 'Big, Beautiful Bill'.
  • Growth has already begun at unprecedented levels.
  • Trillions of dollars are being invested into the USA.
  • Hundreds of billions of dollars in tariffs are filling Treasury coffers and setting new records.
  • America is growing out of a 'Sleepy Joe Biden MESS'.
  • America will make a fortune this year, surpassing competitors, if the 'Big, Beautiful Bill' is passed.
  • The author's past predictions have been accurate, making this prediction easy.
  • Republicans should not let 'Radical Left Democrats' push them around.
  • America has transformed from a 'DEAD' nation to the 'HOTTEST NATION IN THE WORLD'.
  • Republicans hold all the cards and intend to use them.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:A major bill, described as historically significant, is presented as offering significant benefits including the largest tax cuts, comprehensive border security, millions of jobs, and increased support for the military and veterans, with its failure leading to a large, historically significant tax increase.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • The 'One Big Beautiful Bill' is the greatest and most important of its kind in history.
  • The bill includes the largest tax cuts.
  • The bill provides the largest border security ever.
  • The bill will create millions of jobs.
  • The bill will increase support for the military and veterans.
  • Failure to pass the bill will result in a 68% tax increase.
  • The 68% tax increase would be the largest in history.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post advises Republican politicians focused on cost-cutting to balance their fiscal efforts with the necessity of winning reelection, asserting that future economic growth will generate tenfold the savings achieved.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Cost-cutting Republicans must consider their reelection prospects.
  • Cost-cutting measures should not be excessively extreme.
  • Future economic growth will yield significantly more than any current cost savings.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post expresses strong agreement with Congressman Greg Steube, asserting that an unelected Senate Parliamentarian should not be permitted to negatively alter a Republican bill by removing components, declaring this action unacceptable.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Greg Steube is 100% correct.
  • An unelected Senate Parliamentarian should not be allowed to harm a Republican bill.
  • The Parliamentarian intends to remove many fantastic things from the bill.
  • This action is unacceptable.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post quotes Sen. Jim Banks stating that Democrats intend to harm the working class through higher taxes, while President Trump and Republicans are committed to reducing taxes for those who need it most.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Democrats are focused on harming the working class.
  • Democrats intend to implement higher taxes.
  • President Trump and Republicans are committed to cutting taxes.
  • Tax cuts by President Trump and Republicans will benefit those who need it most.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Republicans are engaged in a battle against a malevolent, corrupt, and policy-wise incompetent group of Democrats who prioritize the nation's decline over beneficial actions. It claims Democrats favor a significant tax increase, open borders, and a weakened military, citing a past debt extension granted by Republicans as an unreciprocated act. The post highlights the Democrats' unity and powerful congressional rules, urging Republicans to adopt similar cohesion and rule advantages, while emphasizing their own superior people and policies as sufficient for electoral success.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Republicans are fighting against an evil, corrupt, and policy-wise incompetent group of Democrats.
  • Democrats prefer to see the Country 'go down in flames' rather than do the right thing.
  • Democrats desire a 'Biggest Tax Hike in History' (68%).
  • Democrats want 'No Border Spending' (Open Borders!).
  • Democrats advocate for a weak, underfunded Military.
  • Republicans gave the Democrats a Debt Extension, but Democrats will not reciprocate.
  • Democrats possess an ability to stick together and vote as one group, lacking 'GRANDSTANDERS'.
  • Democrats benefit from House and Senate Rules that give great power to their leaders (e.g., Committee Chairmanships).
  • Republicans do not have similar powerful rules or unity but should acquire them.
  • Republicans possess wonderful people and phenomenal Policy.
  • Republicans' qualities should consistently win Elections.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post strongly criticizes Senator Thom Tillis, alleging his support for a significant tax increase, his failure to comprehend the necessity of a debt extension, and his detrimental stance on the North Carolina Tobacco Industry and support for costly, China-made windmills. It contrasts these points with the author's prior actions in North Carolina and outlines policy preferences for tax reductions, border security, a strong military, and economic benefits for farmers and manufacturers.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Senator Thom Tillis supports a 68% tax increase.
  • Tillis does not understand the importance of a debt extension.
  • Republicans previously granted a debt extension to Democrats.
  • Democrat politicians will likely not reciprocate on a debt extension.
  • Tillis is willing to harm the North Carolina Tobacco Industry.
  • Tillis supports China-made windmills that are expensive and ruin the landscape.
  • These windmills produce the most expensive energy.
  • Joe Biden allowed North Carolina to 'DROWN' during floods.
  • The author brought North Carolina back from tragic floods and received an A+ rating.
  • Tillis was 'MISSING IN ACTION' during flood recovery efforts.
  • North Carolina will not allow Tillis to grandstand for re-election.
  • America desires reduced taxes, including no tax on tips, overtime, or social security.
  • America wants interest deductions on cars, border security, a strong military, and beneficial legislation for farmers, manufacturers, and employment.
  • Thom Tillis is making a significant mistake for America and North Carolina.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Voice of America is a 'Democrat mouthpiece' and a 'TOTAL, LEFTWING DISASTER,' arguing that no Republican should support its continued existence and that it should be terminated.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Voice of America is characterized as a 'Democrat mouthpiece.'
  • Voice of America is described as a 'TOTAL, LEFTWING DISASTER.'
  • Republicans should not vote for Voice of America's survival.
  • Voice of America should be terminated.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10