The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:An intention to impose substantial tariffs on any country that does not manufacture its furniture in the United States, with the stated goal of revitalizing North Carolina's furniture business.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • North Carolina's furniture business has been completely lost to China and other countries.
  • Substantial tariffs will be imposed on any country that does not make its furniture in the United States.
  • The imposition of these tariffs is intended to make North Carolina great again.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Announcement of upcoming tariffs on kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities, and upholstered furniture, citing unfair practices by other countries and the need to protect national manufacturing for national security.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • A 50% Tariff will be imposed on all Kitchen Cabinets, Bathroom Vanities, and associated products, starting October 1st, 2025.
  • A 30% Tariff will be charged on Upholstered Furniture.
  • These tariffs are a response to a 'large scale “FLOODING”' of these products into the United States by other outside Countries.
  • The flooding of these products is described as a 'very unfair practice'.
  • The tariffs are necessary to protect the manufacturing process for 'National Security and other reasons'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces his refusal to meet with Congressional Democratic Leaders, citing their "unserious and ridiculous demands" for new spending and radical policies, which he claims threaten a government shutdown. He frames his past electoral victory as a mandate against these policies and calls for Democrats to adopt "common sense" and "put America First" to enable a productive meeting.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has decided against meeting with Congressional Democratic Leaders due to their "unserious and ridiculous demands."
  • Democrats are threatening to shut down the Government of the United States.
  • Democrats demand over $1 Trillion Dollars in new spending.
  • Democrats seek to continue free healthcare for Illegal Aliens, which is a "monumental cost."
  • Democrats want to force Taxpayers to fund Transgender surgery for minors.
  • Democrats aim to have dead people on the Medicaid roles.
  • Democrats allow Illegal Alien Criminals to steal Billions of Dollars in American Taxpayer Benefits.
  • Democrats try to force the Country to again open its Borders to Criminals and to the World.
  • Democrats allow men to play in women’s sports.
  • Democrats essentially want to create Transgender operations for everybody.
  • "Radical Left Views and Policies" allowed Trump to win the Presidential Election, including all seven Swing States and the Popular Vote, in a "HISTORIC LANDSLIDE."
  • Democrats have not recognized the consequences of losing Elections.
  • Democrats are trying to eliminate the popular $50 Billion Dollar Rural and Vulnerable Hospital Fund, which was passed with only Republican Votes and signed into Law by Trump.
  • Congressional Democrats have "totally lost their way" and do not understand "what it means to put America First or to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!"
  • Congressional Democrats want to enact "Radical Left Policies that nobody voted for," including High Taxes, Open Borders, No Consequences for Violent Criminals, Men in Women’s Sports, and Taxpayer funded “TRANSGENDER” surgery.
  • Few people voted for what Democrats represent, which would lead to the destruction of America.
  • People voted for "COMMON SENSE," which Republicans and President Donald J. Trump stand for.
  • Trump is willing to meet with Democrats if they "get serious about the future of our Nation" and agree to the "Principles in this Letter."
  • The Government must be kept open, and legislation should occur like "true Patriots" rather than holding American Citizens hostage.
  • Democrats must "DO THE RIGHT THING!"
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:Donald Trump, as President, declares the United States as the world's leading nation, stating no other country is comparable, during a speech at the United Nations General Assembly designated for 2025.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United States is globally superior, described as the 'hottest country anywhere in the world'.
  • No other country rivals the United States' current standing.
  • President Donald J. Trump delivers this declaration at the UN General Assembly in 2025 (UNGA2025).
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces and congratulates Uzbekistan's President Shavkat Mirziyoyev on a significant $8 billion deal with Boeing for Uzbekistan Airways to purchase 22,787 Dreamliners, highlighting the creation of 35,000 jobs in the United States and committing to continued future cooperation.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump spoke with President Shavkat Mirziyoyev earlier this month.
  • President Mirziyoyev has signed a deal with Boeing.
  • The deal is valued at over $8 Billion Dollars.
  • Uzbekistan Airways is purchasing 22,787 Dreamliners.
  • The deal will create over 35,000 jobs in the United States.
  • President Mirziyoyev is a man of his word.
  • Donald Trump and President Mirziyoyev will continue to work together on many more items.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:A positive call with Kazakhstan's President Kassym-Jomart Kemeluly Tokayev led to a historic $4 billion purchase of United States locomotives and rail equipment, highlighting support for the U.S. Rail Industry against 'Fake Environmentalists' and celebrating the return of railroads.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A wonderful call was concluded with the President of Kazakhstan, Kassym-Jomart Kemeluly Tokayev.
  • Kazakhstan signed the largest railroad equipment purchase in history.
  • The purchase amounts to $4 billion dollars worth of United States Locomotives and Rail Equipment.
  • The U.S. Rail Industry needs support.
  • The U.S. Rail Industry has been attacked by Fake Environmentalists for years.
  • President Tokayev is congratulated on his great purchase.
  • Railroads were foundational for the development of countries and the world.
  • Railroads are returning quickly.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A very productive call was completed with President Xi of China, where progress was made on trade, fentanyl issues, the need to end the Russia-Ukraine War, and the approval of the TikTok Deal. Agreements were also made for future meetings at the APEC Summit in South Korea, a visit to China early next year, and President Xi's visit to the United States at an appropriate time. The TikTok approval is appreciated, and both leaders look forward to the APEC meeting.
Sentiment:Productive Diplomacy
Key Claims:
  • A very productive call was completed with President Xi.
  • Progress was made on trade.
  • Progress was made on fentanyl issues.
  • The need to bring the War between Russia and Ukraine to an end was discussed.
  • The approval of the TikTok Deal was discussed.
  • An agreement was made to meet with President Xi at the APEC Summit in South Korea.
  • An agreement was made for a visit to China in the early part of next year.
  • An agreement was made for President Xi to come to the United States at an appropriate time.
  • The TikTok approval is appreciated.
  • Both leaders look forward to meeting at APEC.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:A message from Republican Congressman Juan Ciscomani is presented, celebrating his 19-year journey from immigrant to US citizen and then to US Congressman. He expresses that such a story is uniquely American, proclaims his love for the country, and conveys his pride in serving alongside the President, while also commending the President's actions overseas.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Juan Ciscomani, representing AZ-06, expresses his gratitude and patriotism.
  • Ciscomani became a US citizen 19 years ago.
  • Ciscomani is currently a US Congressman.
  • Ciscomani states his journey from immigrant to Congressman is exclusively possible in the United States.
  • Ciscomani loves his country.
  • Ciscomani is proud to be serving with the President.
  • Ciscomani appreciates the President's work overseas.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump is depicted standing on a red carpet outside the White House, flanked by saluting Marines and the flags of the United States, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, expressing a positive sentiment about the location.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump associates himself with the White House and its inherent symbolism of power and prestige.
  • The White House holds a uniquely significant and esteemed position.
  • Donald Trump is presented in a presidential context, flanked by military personnel and national flags, including those of foreign nations.
  • The image suggests a diplomatic or official engagement involving Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post advocates for a policy where foreign companies investing in the United States must bring their expert personnel to train American workers. This approach aims to enable the US to learn to produce complex products like chips, semiconductors, and ships independently, ensuring the long-term benefit of foreign investment and restoring domestic manufacturing capabilities.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Foreign companies making massive investments in the US should bring their expert personnel to train American workers.
  • This training will enable the US to learn how to make complex products such as 'Chips, Semiconductors, Computers, Ships, Trains'.
  • Without this knowledge transfer, massive foreign investment may not occur in the first place.
  • The US previously excelled at making these products but has declined (e.g., shipbuilding capacity has significantly decreased).
  • The intention is not to deter or disincentivize foreign investment into America.
  • The US welcomes foreign companies and their employees.
  • The US intends to learn from foreign experts and eventually surpass their capabilities.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10