The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Filtering by entity: United States | Clear Filter
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Donald Trump expresses strong support for Jair Bolsonaro, criticizing the "terrible treatment" he receives from an "unjust system" and advocating for the immediate cessation of his trial. The letter raises concerns about attacks on free speech and a "ridiculous censorship regime" in Brazil and the United States, explicitly stating Trump's disapproval through public statements and tariff policy, and urging the Government of Brazil to cease attacking political opponents.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Jair Bolsonaro is receiving terrible treatment from an unjust system.
  • Bolsonaro's trial should end immediately.
  • Bolsonaro is a highly respected and strong leader.
  • There are attacks on free speech in Brazil and the United States, originating from the current government.
  • Donald Trump has publicly voiced disapproval and utilized tariff policy regarding these issues.
  • The Government of Brazil should change its course, stop attacking political opponents, and end its censorship regime.
  • Donald Trump will be watching the situation closely.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:A landmark deal has been finalized with the Republic of Indonesia, opening its entire market to the United States for the first time in history. As part of this agreement, Indonesia will purchase $15 billion in U.S. energy, $4.5 billion in American agricultural products, and 50 Boeing jets, while U.S. exports to Indonesia will be tariff-free and Indonesia will pay a 19% tariff on its exports to the U.S.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A landmark deal was finalized with the Republic of Indonesia.
  • The deal opens Indonesia’s entire market to the United States for the first time in history.
  • Indonesia committed to purchasing $15 billion in U.S. Energy.
  • Indonesia committed to purchasing $4.5 billion in American Agricultural Products.
  • Indonesia committed to purchasing 50 Boeing Jets, many of them 777s.
  • U.S. ranchers, farmers, and fishermen will have complete and total access to the Indonesian market of over 280 million people.
  • Indonesia will pay the United States a 19% Tariff on all Goods they export to the U.S.
  • U.S. Exports to Indonesia are to be Tariff and Non Tariff Barrier FREE.
  • If there is any Transshipment from a higher Tariff Country, then that Tariff will be added on to the Tariff Indonesia is paying.
  • The deal represents friendship and commitment to balancing the trade deficit.
  • The deal will keep DELIVERING for the American People, and the People of Indonesia.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post declares the United States as the preeminent nation globally.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The United States is currently the 'hottest Country anywhere in the world'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The United States is escalating trade measures against Canada, planning to impose a 35% tariff on all Canadian products starting August 1, 2025. This action is attributed to Canada's alleged financial retaliation, its failure to stop fentanyl from entering the U.S. contributing to the fentanyl crisis, and Canada's 'extraordinary Tariffs' on U.S. Dairy Farmers, which contribute to an unsustainable trade deficit that is a threat to U.S. economy and national security. The U.S. also states that if Canada increases its tariffs, an additional 35% will be added to the U.S. tariff.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Canada financially retaliated against the United States.
  • Canada's failure to stop drugs from entering the U.S. contributed to the U.S. fentanyl crisis.
  • The United States will impose a 35% tariff on all Canadian products starting August 1, 2025.
  • Goods transshipped to evade the U.S. tariff will also be subject to that tariff.
  • The United States will quickly approve Canadian companies building or manufacturing products within the U.S.
  • If Canada raises its tariffs, an additional 35% will be added to the U.S. tariff.
  • Canada charges extraordinary Tariffs (up to 400%) on U.S. Dairy Farmers.
  • The trade deficit with Canada is a major threat to the U.S. Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Announcement of Nick Adams' nomination as the next United States Ambassador to Malaysia, highlighting his qualities and past achievements as a patriot, entrepreneur, author, speaker, and commentator.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Nick Adams will be nominated as the next United States Ambassador to Malaysia.
  • Nick Adams is an incredible Patriot.
  • Nick Adams is a very successful entrepreneur.
  • Nick Adams' love of and devotion to the Great Country is an inspiration.
  • Nick Adams is a bestselling author.
  • Nick Adams is a speaker and commentator.
  • Nick Adams graduated from the University of Sydney.
  • Nick Adams has made it his life’s mission to extol the Virtues of American Greatness.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The United States informs Sri Lanka via a letter dated July 9, 2025, that it will impose a 30% tariff on all Sri Lankan products entering the US starting August 1, 2025. This action is stated as a response to a significant and persistent trade deficit caused by Sri Lanka's tariffs and trade barriers, which are deemed a major threat to the US economy and national security. The letter indicates that tariffs can be avoided if Sri Lankan companies manufacture products within the United States, and warns that any future Sri Lankan tariff increases will be added to the 30% US tariff.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Sri Lanka.
  • Sri Lanka's tariffs and non-tariff policies are responsible for these trade deficits.
  • These trade deficits pose a major threat to the US Economy and National Security.
  • Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will implement a 30% tariff on all Sri Lankan products.
  • Goods transshipped to avoid tariffs will also be subject to higher tariffs.
  • Sri Lanka or Sri Lankan companies can avoid these tariffs by manufacturing products within the United States.
  • Any tariffs raised by Sri Lanka will be added on top of the 30% US tariff.
  • The United States seeks a balanced and fair trade relationship.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A letter from the White House to the President of Brazil addresses Brazil's treatment of former President Jair Bolsonaro as an "international disgrace" and a "Witch Hunt." It accuses Brazil of attacking free elections and free speech through unlawful censorship orders against U.S. social media platforms, including threats of fines and eviction from the Brazilian social media market. The letter announces a 50% tariff on all Brazilian products, effective August 1, 2025, due to these actions and long-standing unfair trade practices. It also offers the alternative of no tariffs if Brazil or Brazilian companies choose to build or manufacture products within the United States.
Sentiment:Directive and Punitive
Key Claims:
  • Brazil's treatment of former President Jair Bolsonaro is an international disgrace and a "Witch Hunt" that should end immediately.
  • Brazil has engaged in "insidious attacks on Free Elections" and "fundamental Free Speech Rights of Americans."
  • The Brazilian Supreme Court has issued "SECRET and UNLAWFUL Censorship Orders to U.S. Social Media platforms."
  • These censorship orders threaten U.S. social media platforms with "Millions of Dollars in Fines and Eviction from the Brazilian Social Media market."
  • The United States will charge Brazil a Tariff of 50% on all Brazilian products starting August 1, 2025.
  • Goods transshipped to evade the 50% Tariff will be subject to a higher Tariff.
  • The trade relationship with Brazil has been unfair due to Brazil's Tariff, and Non-Tariff, Policies and Trade Barriers.
  • The 50% tariff is less than what is needed for a "Level Playing Field" in trade.
  • Tariffs can be avoided if Brazil or companies within Brazil choose to build or manufacture products within the United States, with approvals expedited in a matter of weeks.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A letter from the White House, dated July 9, 2025, to the Prime Minister of Iraq, Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani, outlines a new U.S. trade policy imposing a 30% tariff on all Iraqi products starting August 1, 2025. The letter states this measure is due to persistent trade deficits, warns against retaliatory tariffs, and asserts that the deficit poses a threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Iraq.
  • The U.S. will impose a 30% tariff on all Iraqi products starting August 1, 2025.
  • The 30% tariff is separate from all sectoral tariffs.
  • Goods transshipped to evade a higher tariff will be subject to the 30% tariff.
  • The 30% tariff is far less than what is needed to eliminate the trade deficit.
  • If Iraq raises its tariffs, the U.S. will add that amount to the 30% charge.
  • Iraq's tariffs, non-tariff policies, and trade barriers have caused unsustainable trade deficits against the United States.
  • The trade deficit is a major threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The White House informs Bosnia and Herzegovina that due to a persistent trade deficit, the United States will impose a 30% tariff on all Bosnian products entering the U.S. starting August 1, 2025. The letter states that if Bosnia and Herzegovina raises its tariffs, that increase will be added to the U.S.'s 30% charge, and that the trade deficit is a threat to U.S. economy and national security. It offers an exemption from the tariff if Bosnian companies manufacture products within the United States.
Sentiment:Ultimatum
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant, long-term, and persistent Trade Deficit with Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  • The United States seeks a more balanced and fair trading relationship.
  • Starting August 1, 2025, the U.S. will charge Bosnia and Herzegovina a Tariff of 30% on all products sent into the United States.
  • Goods transshipped to evade higher tariffs will be subject to higher tariffs.
  • The 30% tariff is less than what is needed to eliminate the Trade Deficit disparity.
  • There will be no Tariff if Bosnia and Herzegovina, or companies within Bosnia and Herzegovina, decide to build or manufacture products within the United States.
  • If Bosnia and Herzegovina decides to raise its Tariffs, that amount will be added onto the 30% tariff charged by the U.S.
  • The unsustainable Trade Deficits against the United States are a major threat to the U.S. Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:A letter from The White House to the King of Thailand announces the United States' intention to impose a 36% tariff on all Thai products starting August 1, 2025, due to persistent and unreciprocal trade deficits. The letter states that goods transshipped to evade this tariff will face higher tariffs, and indicates that no tariffs will apply if manufacturing occurs within the United States. It also warns that any retaliatory tariffs from Thailand will be added to the US tariff, characterizing the existing trade deficit as a threat to the US economy and national security.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Thailand.
  • The trade relationship between the US and Thailand has been unreciprocal due to Thailand's tariffs, non-tariff policies, and trade barriers.
  • Starting August 1, 2025, the United States will charge Thailand a 36% tariff on all Thai products.
  • Goods transshipped to evade the 36% tariff will be subject to a higher tariff.
  • There will be no tariff if Thailand, or companies within Thailand, decide to build or manufacture product within the United States.
  • If Thailand raises its tariffs, that amount will be added to the 36% US tariff.
  • The unsustainable trade deficits with Thailand are a major threat to the US Economy and National Security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10