The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post aggregates several social media messages and poll results to assert strong public support for increased deportations and restrictive immigration policies in the U.S., claiming that even legal immigrants are shifting towards supporting Trump's approach, and advocating for a drastic reduction in all forms of immigration.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • Public sentiment, especially influenced by protests, is increasingly favoring mass deportations.
  • All illegal immigrants should be deported for breaking U.S. laws.
  • Importing populations from 'Third World' countries leads to negative societal consequences.
  • Polls indicate that Americans broadly approve of mass deportations and Trump's immigration programs, which are seen as making the U.S. safer.
  • There is a need to ban all 'third-world immigration' and drastically reduce all forms of immigration.
  • Mass deportations are crucial for the country's future, and 'foreign invaders' must be expelled.
  • Legal immigrants are increasingly supporting Trump's immigration policies, contrary to mainstream media narratives.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post shares a New York Post opinion article from a hypothetical future date (June 15, 2025) claiming that a 'self-deportation' program under Donald Trump resulted in nearly 1 million illegal immigrants leaving voluntarily, which led to higher wages, and asserting the program's success.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Nearly 1 million illegal immigrants 'self-deported' under Trump.
  • This self-deportation led to higher wages.
  • Trump ran a 'mass deportation' program encouraging voluntary departure of undocumented aliens.
  • This program was 'more successful than anyone could have imagined'.
  • The voluntary departure program is separate but complementary to ICE arrests and deportations.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post features a Fox News article reporting Donald Trump's nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize by Rep. Buddy Carter, citing his role in brokering an Iran-Israel ceasefire deal and preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, supported by a nomination letter dated June 24, 2025.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • The nomination is formally submitted by Rep. Buddy Carter in a letter dated June 24, 2025.
  • The nomination is for Trump's role in brokering an Iran-Israel ceasefire deal.
  • Trump prevented Iran from obtaining the 'most lethal weapon on the planet' (nuclear weapons).
  • Trump's actions resulted in a 'complete and total ceasefire agreement' between Israel and Iran and brought hostilities to a halt.
  • Trump's leadership exemplifies the ideals of the Nobel Peace Prize.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post analyzes polling data on the foreign policy views of MAGA Republicans versus non-MAGA Republicans, specifically regarding support for U.S. military intervention if a NATO ally is attacked and if China attacks or blockades Taiwan.
Sentiment:Analytical
Key Claims:
  • MAGA Republicans show higher support than non-MAGA Republicans for U.S. military response if a NATO ally is attacked (69-71% vs. 61-63%).
  • A majority of MAGA Republicans (53% last year) held a favorable view of NATO.
  • If Trump decided to withdraw from NATO, 57% of MAGA Republicans would back the move, while 51% of non-MAGA Republicans would oppose it.
  • 56% of MAGA Republicans support increasing U.S. military presence in Eastern Europe to counter Russian aggression.
  • MAGA Republicans are more hawkish about China and Taiwan than non-MAGA Republicans.
  • 81% of MAGA supporters are concerned about a potential war between China and Taiwan (compared to 73% of non-MAGA Republicans).
  • 73% of MAGA Republicans support U.S. military action to defend Taiwan if China attacks or blockades it (compared to 62% of non-MAGA Republicans).
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post praises Mike Huckabee's performance as Ambassador to Israel.
Sentiment:Commendatory
Key Claims:
  • Mike Huckabee was a great Ambassador to Israel.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post calls for Congress to immediately pass a significant domestic bill, described as 'The Great, Big, Beautiful Bill,' to usher in a 'Golden Age' of prosperity and security for Americans, coinciding with the nation's 250th birthday, following an assertion that 'peace abroad' has been achieved.
Sentiment:Directive & Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • Peace has been made abroad.
  • Congress must pass 'THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL' immediately.
  • The bill will be a 'Historic Present' for the American people, coinciding with the country’s 250th Birthday.
  • Passing the bill will usher in a 'Golden Age' of 'unprecedented Safety, Security, and Prosperity for ALL of our Citizens'.
  • Senators and Representatives should not go on vacation until the bill is passed.
  • The collective work will make the American People much better off.
  • MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump criticizes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other Democratic figures, dismissing her call for impeachment as politically motivated, questioning her intelligence and qualifications, and highlighting what he perceives as his administration's successes versus their failures and low approval.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is one of the “dumbest” people in Congress and not qualified for office.
  • Democrats are calling for impeachment because they are not used to winning and resent Trump's perceived successes.
  • Trump 'aced' a cognitive test at Walter Reed Medical Center.
  • Crockett is a 'seriously Low IQ individual'.
  • Ilhan Omar's home country is a 'Failed Country' with no government, drenched in crime and poverty.
  • The current administration (Biden/Harris) has been a 'disaster'.
  • AOC should be forced to take a cognitive test.
  • AOC should focus on improving her district in Queens.
  • Democrats have hit the 'Lowest Poll Numbers in Congressional History'.
  • Chuck Schumer's career is 'on very thin ice'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post displays a fabricated text message from Mark Rutte praising Donald Trump for decisive action in Iran that made everyone safer, for a successful agreement in The Hague for European nations to commit 5% defense spending, and for achieving unprecedented success for America and Europe, stating Europe will pay more, which will be Trump's win.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump took decisive action in Iran that made everyone safer.
  • Trump successfully negotiated with European nations in The Hague to commit to '5 percent' (implied defense spending/GDP).
  • Trump's achievements surpass those of any American president in decades.
  • Europe will contribute significantly more financially, which is presented as a 'win' for Trump.
  • The post frames these actions and outcomes as successes attributable to Trump's leadership.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Donald Trump criticizes Congressman Thomas Massie, calling him a "Third Rate Congressman" and a "loser" for allegedly opposing a proposed bill. Trump claims this "GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" would deliver the "Biggest Tax Cuts in History," secure the Southern Border, fund the military and veterans, protect the Second Amendment, and eliminate taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security. He further asserts that Massie's opposition would effectively lead to a 68% tax increase.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Derogatory
Key Claims:
  • Thomas Massie is a "Third Rate Congressman" and "very bad for the Constitution."
  • Thomas Massie will probably vote against "THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL."
  • The proposed bill grants the "Biggest Tax Cuts in History."
  • The proposed bill secures the Southern Border from "Criminal Invasion."
  • The proposed bill funds the "Golden Dome, our Great Military and Veterans."
  • The proposed bill protects the Second Amendment.
  • The proposed bill grants NO TAX ON TIPS, NO TAX ON OVERTIME, and NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY for seniors.
  • Thomas Massie is against all the benefits of the proposed bill.
  • Thomas Massie is a "RINO" and a "LOSER."
  • If "THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" doesn't pass, taxes will be raised by 68%.
  • Thomas Massie votes "NO!" on everything because he thinks it makes him cool.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The post asserts that China is now able to continue purchasing oil from Iran and expresses a desire for China to also significantly increase its oil purchases from the U.S., with the author taking credit for this development.
Sentiment:Self-congratulatory / Advocating
Key Claims:
  • China can now continue to purchase oil from Iran.
  • The author hopes China will also purchase significant amounts of oil from the U.S.
  • The author claims responsibility for enabling these oil trade dynamics.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Key Entities: