The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post praises Mike Huckabee's performance as Ambassador to Israel.
Sentiment:Commendatory
Key Claims:
  • Mike Huckabee was a great Ambassador to Israel.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post calls for Congress to immediately pass a significant domestic bill, described as 'The Great, Big, Beautiful Bill,' to usher in a 'Golden Age' of prosperity and security for Americans, coinciding with the nation's 250th birthday, following an assertion that 'peace abroad' has been achieved.
Sentiment:Directive & Optimistic
Key Claims:
  • Peace has been made abroad.
  • Congress must pass 'THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL' immediately.
  • The bill will be a 'Historic Present' for the American people, coinciding with the country’s 250th Birthday.
  • Passing the bill will usher in a 'Golden Age' of 'unprecedented Safety, Security, and Prosperity for ALL of our Citizens'.
  • Senators and Representatives should not go on vacation until the bill is passed.
  • The collective work will make the American People much better off.
  • MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump criticizes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other Democratic figures, dismissing her call for impeachment as politically motivated, questioning her intelligence and qualifications, and highlighting what he perceives as his administration's successes versus their failures and low approval.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is one of the “dumbest” people in Congress and not qualified for office.
  • Democrats are calling for impeachment because they are not used to winning and resent Trump's perceived successes.
  • Trump 'aced' a cognitive test at Walter Reed Medical Center.
  • Crockett is a 'seriously Low IQ individual'.
  • Ilhan Omar's home country is a 'Failed Country' with no government, drenched in crime and poverty.
  • The current administration (Biden/Harris) has been a 'disaster'.
  • AOC should be forced to take a cognitive test.
  • AOC should focus on improving her district in Queens.
  • Democrats have hit the 'Lowest Poll Numbers in Congressional History'.
  • Chuck Schumer's career is 'on very thin ice'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post displays a fabricated text message from Mark Rutte praising Donald Trump for decisive action in Iran that made everyone safer, for a successful agreement in The Hague for European nations to commit 5% defense spending, and for achieving unprecedented success for America and Europe, stating Europe will pay more, which will be Trump's win.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump took decisive action in Iran that made everyone safer.
  • Trump successfully negotiated with European nations in The Hague to commit to '5 percent' (implied defense spending/GDP).
  • Trump's achievements surpass those of any American president in decades.
  • Europe will contribute significantly more financially, which is presented as a 'win' for Trump.
  • The post frames these actions and outcomes as successes attributable to Trump's leadership.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Donald Trump criticizes Congressman Thomas Massie, calling him a "Third Rate Congressman" and a "loser" for allegedly opposing a proposed bill. Trump claims this "GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" would deliver the "Biggest Tax Cuts in History," secure the Southern Border, fund the military and veterans, protect the Second Amendment, and eliminate taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security. He further asserts that Massie's opposition would effectively lead to a 68% tax increase.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Derogatory
Key Claims:
  • Thomas Massie is a "Third Rate Congressman" and "very bad for the Constitution."
  • Thomas Massie will probably vote against "THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL."
  • The proposed bill grants the "Biggest Tax Cuts in History."
  • The proposed bill secures the Southern Border from "Criminal Invasion."
  • The proposed bill funds the "Golden Dome, our Great Military and Veterans."
  • The proposed bill protects the Second Amendment.
  • The proposed bill grants NO TAX ON TIPS, NO TAX ON OVERTIME, and NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY for seniors.
  • Thomas Massie is against all the benefits of the proposed bill.
  • Thomas Massie is a "RINO" and a "LOSER."
  • If "THE GREAT, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" doesn't pass, taxes will be raised by 68%.
  • Thomas Massie votes "NO!" on everything because he thinks it makes him cool.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The post asserts that China is now able to continue purchasing oil from Iran and expresses a desire for China to also significantly increase its oil purchases from the U.S., with the author taking credit for this development.
Sentiment:Self-congratulatory / Advocating
Key Claims:
  • China can now continue to purchase oil from Iran.
  • The author hopes China will also purchase significant amounts of oil from the U.S.
  • The author claims responsibility for enabling these oil trade dynamics.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Donald Trump is traveling to a NATO meeting, expecting it to be a less stressful period compared to recent tensions between Israel and Iran. He anticipates positive interactions with European allies and hopes for significant achievements.
Sentiment:Anticipatory
Key Claims:
  • Heading to NATO.
  • The NATO period will be calmer than the recent Israel-Iran situation.
  • Looks forward to seeing European friends and others.
  • Hopes much will be accomplished at NATO.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump declares that Iran will never be permitted to rebuild its nuclear facilities.
Sentiment:Threatening
Key Claims:
  • Iran will never rebuild its nuclear facilities.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post asserts that Israel will not attack Iran, that planes will return home, and a ceasefire is in effect, ensuring no one will be hurt.
Sentiment:Reassuring
Key Claims:
  • Israel is not going to attack Iran.
  • All planes will turn around and head home.
  • Nobody will be hurt.
  • The Ceasefire is in effect.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump issues a direct warning to Israel, instructing them not to drop bombs and to bring their pilots home immediately, stating that such an action would be a 'major violation'.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Israel should not drop bombs.
  • Dropping bombs would constitute a "major violation".
  • Israeli pilots should be brought home immediately.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10