The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post contrasts past economic achievements, characterized by historical tax cuts and a booming economy, with current or anticipated economic conditions, described as the largest tax increase and a failed economy. It expresses strong dissatisfaction with Republicans, implying their inaction or misguided efforts are alienating the MAGA base and negatively impacting their electoral prospects.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • A past period was characterized by the largest tax cuts in history and a booming economy.
  • A current or future period is characterized by the biggest tax increase in history and a failed economy.
  • Republicans are perceived as inactive or misguided in their political actions.
  • The MAGA base is dissatisfied with the actions or perceived inaction of Republicans.
  • This dissatisfaction among the MAGA base is resulting in lost votes for Republicans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The United States is positioned to achieve unprecedented economic growth through pro-growth tax cuts, urging Republicans to win against Democrats.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The United States is projected to achieve record-breaking growth.
  • Pro-growth tax cuts are an unfailingly successful economic policy.
  • Republicans should defeat the Democrats.
  • The objective is to make America great again.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Representative Jamie Raskin lacks comprehension of a tax cut bill, claims his consistent electoral defeats to Donald Trump, and predicts another such defeat tonight, while categorizing him as a poor politician and a loser.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Rep. Jamie Raskin has no idea what is in the "fantastic Tax Cut Bill" and would not understand it if he did.
  • Rep. Jamie Raskin has consistently been losing to Donald Trump for years.
  • Rep. Jamie Raskin will experience another defeat tonight.
  • Rep. Jamie Raskin is a "bad politician" and a "TOTAL LOSER."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The House is preparing for a vote, and the Republican House Majority is united, positioned to deliver significant tax cuts and foster massive economic growth. The post calls for Republicans and others to support the 'Make America Great Again' agenda.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The House is ready to vote tonight.
  • Great conversations occurred throughout the day.
  • The Republican House Majority is united.
  • The Republican House Majority acts for the good of the country.
  • The Republican House Majority will deliver the biggest tax cuts in history.
  • The Republican House Majority will deliver massive growth.
  • A call to action for Republicans and everyone else to 'Make America Great Again'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:A political message advocating for a legislative initiative, referred to as 'The One Big Beautiful Bill,' which proposes to secure the border, strengthen the military, and provide tax cuts for families. The post urges for the implementation of these stated goals.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A legislative initiative named 'The One Big Beautiful Bill' exists.
  • This bill will secure the border.
  • This bill will strengthen the military.
  • This bill will provide tax cuts for families.
  • There is a directive to achieve these goals.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:June border statistics are described as the lowest recorded in United States history, with zero releases of Illegal Aliens and significantly fewer nationwide encounters compared to the previous administration. The post asserts America's borders are safe and secure, and calls on Republicans to pass "THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL" to maintain border security against attempts by "Radical Left Judges" to open the border and defy the Supreme Court. It emphasizes the need for Republicans to support Border Patrol, ICE, and CBP.
Sentiment:Triumphant and Directive
Key Claims:
  • The June Border Statistics are the lowest recorded numbers in United States history.
  • The U.S. Border Patrol reported ZERO releases of Illegal Aliens into the Country.
  • Customs and Border Protection had only 25,243 "Nationwide Encounters" in June.
  • The Biden Administration was previously "encountering" tens of thousands of people every single day.
  • America’s Borders are Safe and Secure, and the entire World acknowledges this.
  • Republicans need to pass “THE ONE, BIG, BEAUTIFUL BILL” to maintain border security.
  • Radical Left Judges are attempting to open the Border and defy the Supreme Court.
  • Republicans must be smart and strong to prevent these judges from turning the country into a Third World Country.
  • The Men and Women of Border Patrol, ICE, and CBP are performing an amazing job.
  • These agencies require more assistance and are relying on Republicans to complete necessary actions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post demands the immediate resignation of 'Too Late' (referring to the Fed Chair) and highlights a Bloomberg article reporting that the FHFA Head suggests a Congressional investigation into the Fed Chair.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The Fed Chair ('Too Late') should resign immediately.
  • The FHFA Head advocates for a Congressional investigation into the Fed Chair.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:The post announces the nomination of Eric Tung to serve as a Judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, highlighting his legal background, experience with Supreme Court Justices, and character as a "Tough Patriot" who will uphold the Rule of Law in "Radical, Leftist States" like California, Oregon, and Washington, emphasizing the need for "LAW AND ORDER."
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Eric Tung is nominated to serve as Judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit.
  • Eric Tung worked for Supreme Court Justices Antonin Scalia and Neil Gorsuch.
  • Eric Tung worked at the Department of Justice.
  • Eric Tung served as an Assistant U.S. Attorney for the Central District of California.
  • Eric Tung is a Tough Patriot.
  • Eric Tung will uphold the Rule of Law in California, Oregon, and Washington.
  • California, Oregon, and Washington are characterized as "RADICAL, Leftist States."
  • It is critical to have "LAW AND ORDER."
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A nomination has been made for Joshua D. Dunlap of Maine to serve as a Judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, with the nominator emphasizing Dunlap's extensive litigation experience and his expected role in defending the Constitution.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • Joshua D. Dunlap has been nominated to serve as a Judge on the United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit.
  • Dunlap is described as a seasoned litigator with extensive experience appearing before the First Circuit and all levels of the Federal and State Judiciary.
  • Dunlap is a Partner at Pierce Atwood LLP in Portland, Maine, and earned his J.D. from Notre Dame.
  • There is an asserted need for more "tough and smart" Judges on the Federal Bench who will fearlessly defend the Constitution.
  • Joshua Dunlap is expected to fulfill the role of fearlessly defending the Constitution.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that gas prices are at a 4-year low, accompanied by an image of Donald Trump.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Gas prices are at a 4-year low.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities: