The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that a specific, beneficial legislative bill will permanently secure the nation's border, underscoring that border security is fundamentally equivalent to national security.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • A "one big beautiful bill" exists.
  • This bill permanently secures the border.
  • Border security is national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Congressman Jason Smith affirms that a "One, Big, Beautiful Bill" will be passed to the former President, designed to benefit working-class Americans, including farmers, welders, waitresses, nurses, and truck drivers. This bill aims to restore sanity, cut waste, rein in reckless spending, implement work requirements, deliver the largest tax cut in history, and relieve working families of financial burdens from Washington's decisions. Congressman Smith expresses profound appreciation for the former President's vision, leadership, and determination.
Sentiment:Campaigning/Advocating
Key Claims:
  • A "One, Big, Beautiful Bill" will be passed.
  • The bill is intended for working-class Americans who lack lobbyists.
  • The bill will restore sanity in Washington.
  • The bill will cut waste.
  • The bill will rein in reckless spending.
  • The bill will demand work from those who are able.
  • The bill will deliver the largest tax cut in history.
  • The bill will stop working families from paying for Washington's bad decisions.
  • The former President's vision, leadership, and determination are praised.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:A major economic deal, if enacted, is expected to bring unprecedented economic growth and an economic renaissance to America, a process that is already unfolding in anticipation of the deal. This deal is presented as leading to a halved deficit, record investment, and an influx of cash, factories, and jobs into the USA.
Sentiment:Prosperity-focused
Key Claims:
  • The 'One Big Beautiful Deal' is entirely focused on growth.
  • If passed, America will experience an unprecedented economic renaissance.
  • This economic renaissance is already beginning due to anticipation of the 'Beautiful Bill'.
  • The deal will result in the deficit being cut in half.
  • The deal will bring about record investment.
  • Cash, factories, and jobs are currently pouring into the USA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A trade deal has been made with the Socialist Republic of Vietnam, brokered with General Secretary To Lam, establishing new tariff structures and market access.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A trade deal has been made with Vietnam.
  • The trade deal was negotiated with General Secretary To Lam.
  • Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on all goods sent into United States territory.
  • Vietnam will pay a 40% tariff on transshipping.
  • The United States will receive total access to Vietnam's markets for trade.
  • United States products will be sold into Vietnam at zero tariff.
  • SUVs and Large Engine Vehicles from the United States are expected to be a wonderful addition to Vietnam's product lines.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:Announcement of a recently concluded trade deal with Vietnam, with further details pending.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A trade deal has been made with Vietnam
  • Further details about the deal will be provided
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:An anticipated economic renaissance in America will result from the 'One Big Beautiful Deal,' bringing about a significant reduction in the deficit, record investments, new factories, and abundant job opportunities.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The One Big Beautiful Deal is entirely focused on growth.
  • If passed, America will experience an economic renaissance unprecedented in history.
  • An economic renaissance is already manifesting in anticipation of the Beautiful Bill.
  • The Deal will result in the deficit being cut in half.
  • The Deal will lead to record investment, including cash, factories, and jobs, pouring into the USA.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post quotes EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin commending the President's consistent efforts to achieve American energy dominance, establish the U.S. as the global AI capital, advance permitting reform, and promote cooperative federalism.
Sentiment:Laudatory
Key Claims:
  • The President is committed to achieving American energy dominance
  • The President aims to establish the United States as the global AI capital
  • The President seeks to advance permitting reform
  • The President intends to promote cooperative federalism
  • The President demonstrates consistency in pursuing these goals
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Reports indicate gas prices are falling, reaching multi-year lows in various locations ahead of the July 4 holiday.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Gas prices are decreasing.
  • Gas prices in the First Coast region have dropped below $2.70.
  • Holiday gas prices are at their lowest point since 2021.
  • Overall gas prices have reached a four-year low leading up to the July 4 holiday weekend.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump's past positions and statements were entirely correct, emphasizing his overall correctness.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump was correct in all his past positions and statements.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The FBI obstructed an investigation into an alleged 2020 election plot involving China, a decision reportedly made to avoid contradicting Director Wray's testimony to Congress, as indicated by documents.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • The FBI blocked a probe into an alleged 2020 election plot by China.
  • The reason for blocking the probe was to prevent contradiction of Director Wray's testimony to Congress.
  • Documents substantiate these claims.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10