The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that a 'Trump Effect' leads to higher wages for American workers, linking to a White House article supporting this claim.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The 'Trump Effect' results in increased pay for American workers.
  • Higher pay for American workers is a positive economic outcome attributable to Trump's influence/policies.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post proposes a future 'One Big Beautiful Bill' intended to eliminate taxpayer-funded healthcare for undocumented immigrants.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A new bill will be enacted to end taxpayer-funded healthcare for undocumented immigrants.
  • This policy is described as 'beautiful'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that a specific tax cut, linked via a White House URL, represents the largest in history for working and middle-class Americans.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A tax cut, presented as 'The Largest Tax Cut in History', benefits working and middle-class Americans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post claims Donald Trump's decision not to deploy troops prevented Los Angeles from burning and criticizes the Governor and Mayor for their incompetence regarding slow City and State permitting processes for rebuilding fire-damaged homes, contrasting it with completed federal permitting.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Not sending troops to Los Angeles prevented the city from burning.
  • Los Angeles would have burned without Trump's specific action (or inaction).
  • The Governor and Mayor are incompetent regarding fire-related permitting.
  • Federal permitting for fire-damaged houses is virtually complete.
  • City and State permitting for fire-damaged houses is disastrously bungled and behind schedule.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announced his visit to Fort Bragg to deliver a speech to an anticipated large audience.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Visiting Fort Bragg today
  • Delivering a big speech
  • Expecting an amazing crowd
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:This post promotes a new book by Salena Zito, 'BUTLER: The Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump and the Fight for America’s Heartland,' emphasizing a call to action for the political movement.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Salena Zito has written a powerful new book titled 'BUTLER'.
  • The book details the 'Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump'.
  • The book also covers the 'Fight for America’s Heartland'.
  • Salena Zito was an eyewitness to a 'terrible day'.
  • The 'Movement' has an 'unbreakable Spirit' to 'FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT'.
  • The future of the nation resides in the 'Hearts and Souls of the People of this Country'.
  • The Movement will 'not rest until we, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A retweet from Donald Trump's account quoting 'StephenM' who praises an unnamed '100 days in presidential history' as the 'single most successful'.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • A specific 100-day period (implicitly Trump's presidency) was the most successful in presidential history.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post displays a document listing four individuals, their mugshots, and details of their serious criminal convictions, including homicide, armed robbery, attempted murder, and drug trafficking.
Sentiment:Exposing
Key Claims:
  • Enrique ARIAS-Hierro was convicted of homicide, armed robbery, false impersonation of official, kidnapping, and robbery strong arm.
  • Jose Manuel RODRIGUEZ-QUINONES was convicted of attempted first-degree murder with a weapon, battery, larceny, cocaine possession, and cocaine trafficking.
  • Thongxay NILAKOUT was convicted of first-degree murder and robbery, and murdered a German tourist in Los Angeles, California.
  • Jesus MUNOZ-Gutierrez was convicted of second-degree murder.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post promotes a proposed bill as a 'one, big, beautiful' investment, described as the largest in history, aimed at boosting Border Patrol and ICE agents on the frontlines of border security.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • A 'beautiful bill' exists or is being proposed.
  • This bill provides the 'largest border security investment in history'.
  • The bill will boost Border Patrol and ICE agents on the frontlines.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post asserts that a future Trump administration would respond with extreme force to individuals involved in riots, especially those disrespecting National Guard members, contrasting this approach with what is perceived as current tolerance for such actions in Los Angeles, which are blamed on Gavin Newsom.
Sentiment:Authoritarian
Key Claims:
  • Riots in Los Angeles are catastrophic and inspired by Gavin Newsom.
  • Individuals involved in riots are disrespecting National Guard members by spitting.
  • The current approach is to tolerate such disrespect.
  • A Trump Administration would not tolerate disrespect and would respond with severe force.
  • Those showing disrespect will be 'hit harder than they have ever been hit before'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10