The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump congratulates Senators Ted Cruz, Roger Wicker, and Tom Cotton for a spectrum deal, touting its importance for American leadership in 6G and national security, while criticizing the Biden administration's inaction on the matter and crediting his own future administration for anticipated success.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Senators Cruz, Wicker, and Cotton achieved an 'amazing deal on Spectrum'.
  • This deal grants 'serious power for American Leadership on 6G'.
  • It will lead to 'the World’s Greatest Networks' and ensure the 'Highest Level of National Security for future Generations of Americans'.
  • Biden 'did nothing on Spectrum in four years'.
  • Trump's (future) Administration, through 'THE GREAT BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL', will 'beat all expectations' and 'show the World the path forward' on Spectrum/6G.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post highlights strong employment figures, a significant rise in the stock market, and substantial revenue generated from tariffs.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Job numbers are great.
  • The stock market is significantly up.
  • Billions of dollars are being generated from tariffs.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
N/A
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump advocates for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to reduce borrowing costs on debt, claiming there is virtually no inflation, and criticizes President Biden for his debt management.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The Federal Reserve should cut interest rates
  • Lower interest rates would significantly reduce debt costs
  • President Biden's debt strategy focused on short-term borrowing
  • Inflation is currently non-existent or very low
  • Interest rates should be raised if inflation returns
  • President Biden's policies are excessively costly to the nation
  • Borrowing costs should be substantially lower
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy is a failure, contrasting it with the actions of European central banks, while maintaining that the country's economy is strong despite the Fed's stance, and advocates for an aggressive interest rate cut.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The Federal Reserve's 'Too Late' policy is a disaster.
  • European central banks have implemented 10 rate cuts, while the Federal Reserve has implemented none.
  • The country is performing well economically despite the Federal Reserve's actions.
  • The Federal Reserve should implement a full percentage point interest rate cut.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts that America's current economic and border conditions are positive, claiming that the border is closed, prices are down, and wages are up, contrasting it with a 'cold as ice' period six months prior.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • America is currently 'hot' compared to six months ago when it was 'cold as ice'.
  • The border is closed.
  • Prices are down.
  • Wages are up.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
N/A
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump claims the U.S. economy is strong, citing lower prices, higher incomes, closed borders, cheap gasoline, and dead inflation, asserting the country is booming with companies entering.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Prices are down
  • Income is up
  • The border is closed
  • Gasoline is cheap
  • Inflation is dead
  • The country is booming
  • Companies are pouring into America
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
N/A
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Donald Trump criticizes The New York Times and The Washington Post for publishing "rigged" polls that oversample Democrats, claiming these outlets are "corrupt." He asserts that "real polls" show him performing better and reiterates his unsubstantiated claim that he won the 2020 election in a landslide, accusing the "Fake News Media" of failing the nation.
Sentiment:Accusatory
Key Claims:
  • The New York Times and Washington Post polls are "RIGGED" due to oversampling Democrats.
  • It is not possible for a Republican to do well in polls conducted by these media outlets.
  • The New York Times and Washington Post are "corrupt as hell."
  • "Real Polls" show him doing better than ever before.
  • He won the 2020 election ("Election Day, 2024" as a reference to past claims) in a landslide, including seven out of seven Swing States, the Popular Vote, and specific districts.
  • The Fake News Media is failing the nation at unprecedented levels.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:The post promotes the official website for America250, which celebrates the 250th anniversary of the United States.
Sentiment:Informational
Key Claims:
  • Directs users to the official website for the USA's 250th anniversary celebration.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post expresses gratitude and links to a Newsmax article reporting on Donald Trump's national poll and approval ratings.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump's poll numbers and approval ratings are positive or favorable.
  • The article provides details on these poll numbers.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities:
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post asserts a proposed 'Bill' is one of the greatest legislative efforts, featuring record expense cuts of $1.6 trillion and the largest ever tax cut. It warns of a 68% tax increase and worse consequences if the bill fails, disavows responsibility for current problems, positions the author as a 'fixer,' and aims to set the country on a path to greatness. It also mentions Elon Musk's opposition.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Elon Musk has turned against the author.
  • The presented 'Bill' is one of the greatest ever presented to Congress.
  • The 'Bill' includes a record $1.6 Trillion cut in expenses.
  • The 'Bill' delivers the biggest tax cut ever.
  • Failure to pass the 'Bill' will result in a 68% tax increase.
  • Failure to pass the 'Bill' will lead to 'things far worse'.
  • The author did not create the current 'mess'.
  • The author is present to 'FIX IT'.
  • The 'Bill' puts the country on a path of greatness.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10