The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump suggests terminating government subsidies and contracts with Elon Musk's entities as a significant budget-saving measure, expressing surprise that President Biden has not taken this action.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Terminating Elon's Governmental Subsidies and Contracts is the easiest way to save money in the budget.
  • This action would save Billions and Billions of Dollars.
  • Biden's failure to take this action is surprising.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post details Donald Trump's past interactions with Elon Musk, claiming he asked Musk to leave and revoked an EV mandate, which he asserts caused Musk to react 'CRAZY!'.
Sentiment:Confrontational
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump asked Elon Musk to leave.
  • Donald Trump revoked an 'EV Mandate' that forced people to buy electric cars.
  • No one wanted the electric cars mandated by the 'EV Mandate'.
  • Elon Musk knew for months that Trump was going to revoke the mandate.
  • Elon Musk reacted 'CRAZY!' after these events.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Announces a phone call between Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping.
Sentiment:Anticipatory
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump had a phone call with President Xi Jinping this morning.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces that he is welcoming Friedrich Merz, identified as the Chancellor of Germany, to the White House.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is welcoming Friedrich Merz to the White House.
  • Friedrich Merz is the Chancellor of Germany.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The Democrat-controlled CBO reported that tariffs will reduce the deficit by at least $2.8 trillion, and this information's delayed release allowed for the dissemination of falsehoods.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • The Democrat-controlled CBO announced tariffs will reduce the deficit by at least $2.8 trillion.
  • The delayed release of this information resulted in people knowingly spreading untruths.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:A phone call between President Trump and President Xi resulted in a positive conclusion regarding a recently agreed trade deal, including resolution of questions on Rare Earth products, upcoming team meetings with specified US representatives, and a reciprocal invitation for a state visit to China.
Sentiment:Diplomatic
Key Claims:
  • A very good phone call occurred with President Xi of China.
  • The call discussed intricacies of a recently made and agreed-to Trade Deal.
  • The call lasted approximately one and a half hours.
  • The call resulted in a very positive conclusion for both Countries.
  • There should no longer be any questions respecting the complexity of Rare Earth products.
  • Respective teams will be meeting shortly at a location to be determined.
  • The US team will be represented by Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and United States Trade Representative, Ambassador Jamieson Greer.
  • President Xi graciously invited the First Lady and President Trump to visit China.
  • President Trump reciprocated the invitation.
  • The conversation was focused almost entirely on TRADE.
  • Nothing was discussed concerning Russia/Ukraine, or Iran.
  • The Media will be informed as to the scheduling and location of the soon to be meeting.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:A position is stated against open migration from any country lacking safe and reliable vetting and screening processes.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • Open migration from countries without safe and reliable vetting processes is unacceptable.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
N/A
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Summary:The post asserts that Congress possesses the capability to provide the US President with specific leverage for future diplomatic engagement with the Russian leader.
Sentiment:Strategic
Key Claims:
  • Congress has the power to grant leverage.
  • This leverage can be provided to the US President.
  • The purpose of this leverage is to coerce the Russian leader.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:4/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Elon Musk states his tenure as a Special Government Employee is concluding, expressing gratitude to President Donald Trump for the opportunity to reduce wasteful spending, and asserts that the DOGE mission will integrate into government operations over time.
Sentiment:Appreciative and Prophetic
Key Claims:
  • Elon Musk's scheduled time as a Special Government Employee is coming to an end.
  • Elon Musk thanks President Donald Trump for the opportunity to reduce wasteful spending.
  • The DOGE mission will strengthen over time.
  • The DOGE mission will become a way of life throughout the government.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post highlights four individuals identified as foreign citizens who have been convicted of serious crimes, including murder, robbery, and drug offenses, and states that they were arrested by ICE. The accompanying text calls these individuals 'Tough guys' and asserts that courts must allow the poster to effectively manage such situations.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Four individuals, identified as citizens of Cuba, Laos, and Mexico, have been convicted of various serious crimes.
  • Crimes include homicide, armed robbery, false impersonation of official, kidnapping, attempted first-degree murder, battery, larceny, cocaine possession, cocaine trafficking, first-degree murder, and second-degree murder.
  • One individual, Thongxay NILAKOUT, murdered a German tourist in Los Angeles, California.
  • All four individuals were arrested by ICE in 2025.
  • The poster implies that courts are hindering efforts to address situations involving such individuals.
  • The poster calls for the courts to allow the poster to effectively address these issues.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10