The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post shows a news article reporting that the Supreme Court has permitted the Trump administration to resume the rapid deportation of migrants to countries other than their homelands.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • The Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration to restart swift deportation of migrants.
  • Deportations are permitted to countries other than migrants' home countries.
  • The ruling lifts a previous restriction on these removals.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A letter from the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) congratulates "President Trump" on the successful bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities, praising it as a "spectacular military success" and expressing full support for the action as a defense of the United States and Israel.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump made a 'bold and courageous decision to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities'.
  • The strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities were a 'spectacular military success'.
  • The International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) fully supports this military action against an 'enemy of the United States'.
  • The military action also serves to 'defend Israel'.
  • The ILA stands '100 percent behind' the President and this military action.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:The post, a retweet by Donald Trump from Charlie Kirk, praises 'President Trump's historic masterclass' in foreign policy, outlining principles such as no nuclear weapons for Iran, no US troops on the ground, no US military deaths, no regime change, no nation building, and no war.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • No nukes for Iran is a key policy goal.
  • US foreign policy should avoid putting troops on the ground.
  • US foreign policy should prevent US military casualties.
  • US foreign policy should not pursue regime change.
  • US foreign policy should not engage in nation building.
  • US foreign policy should avoid war.
  • These principles represent 'President Trump's historic masterclass' in foreign policy.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:A tweet from Charlie Kirk stating that former President Trump should receive the Nobel Peace Prize.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • President Trump is deserving of the Nobel Peace Prize.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump thanks Jeb Bush for praising a hypothetical future decision by Trump to launch military strikes on Iran's nuclear program, framing it as a decisive act that reasserts U.S. strength and ends the era of impunity for rogue regimes.
Sentiment:Assertive Leadership
Key Claims:
  • President Trump made/will make a decision to neutralize Iran's nuclear program.
  • This decision is a watershed moment.
  • It reasserts U.S. strength.
  • It restores deterrence.
  • It sends an unmistakable message to rogue regimes that the era of impunity is over.
  • UANI (United Against Nuclear Iran) applauds these military strikes.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:A social media post praising the President of the United States for an unprecedented military victory that led to an immediate cessation of hostilities, resulting in a safer world due to his flawless courage, intellect, and instincts.
Sentiment:Laudatory
Key Claims:
  • No one in history has engineered such an overwhelming military victory followed by an immediate cessation of hostilities.
  • POTUS's courage, intellect, and instincts are flawless.
  • The world is a far safer place because of POTUS.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:The post criticizes the current administration, stating that its actions should be remembered.
Sentiment:Critical
Key Claims:
  • Biden's actions have been detrimental to the country.
  • The negative impact of Biden's actions should not be forgotten.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post shares a Fox News opinion piece arguing that a hypothetical 'preemptive strike' by Donald Trump on Iran's nuclear facilities would be legal and beneficial, citing the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) as justification.
Sentiment:Advocating Military Action
Key Claims:
  • A preemptive strike by Trump on Iran's nuclear facilities would be legal.
  • Such a strike would likely save lives.
  • The 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) grants power to target nations linked to 9/11 terrorist attacks.
  • Iran could potentially be targeted under the interpretation of the 2001 AUMF.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post highlights the United States' defense expenditure of almost $1 trillion and Trump's demand for NATO allies to increase their defense spending to 5% of GDP, threatening to cease protection for those who don't comply. It notes Spain's resistance to this demand and proposes a discussion with NATO members.
Sentiment:Demanding
Key Claims:
  • The United States spends almost $1 trillion on defense annually.
  • The U.S. defense expenditure is 3.38% of its GDP.
  • Trump demands NATO allies boost their defense spending to 5% of GDP.
  • Trump threatens to stop protecting allies who do not commit to spending 5% of GDP on defense.
  • NATO's current agreed target for defense spending is 2% of GDP.
  • Mark Rutte, NATO chief, proposes raising spending to 3.5% of GDP and an additional 1.5% for wider security.
  • Spain threatens to derail the NATO summit due to resistance to Trump's 5% demand.
  • Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez states a 5% defense spending goal would be incompatible with Spain's welfare state.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Claims both Israel and Iran desired peace, and that Donald Trump destroyed nuclear facilities and capabilities, thereby stopping a war.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Israel and Iran equally wanted to stop the war.
  • Donald Trump destroyed all nuclear facilities and capability.
  • Donald Trump stopped the war.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities: