The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The post asserts that Donald Trump's involvement significantly improved NATO members' financial contributions, prevented Russia from fully occupying Ukraine, ended multiple wars, rebuilt the U.S. military, and positioned the U.S. as the sole nation respected by Russia and China, despite expressing skepticism about NATO's reciprocal commitment.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • NATO members were at 2% GDP and not paying their bills until Donald Trump's intervention.
  • The USA was foolishly paying for NATO members.
  • Donald Trump got NATO members to 5% GDP and to pay immediately.
  • Everyone believed this financial change for NATO was impossible.
  • Without Donald Trump's involvement, Russia would have all of Ukraine.
  • Donald Trump single-handedly ended 8 wars.
  • Norway foolishly chose not to award Donald Trump the Nobel Peace Prize.
  • Donald Trump saved millions of lives.
  • Russia and China have zero fear of NATO without the United States.
  • NATO is doubted to be there for the U.S. if truly needed.
  • Donald Trump rebuilt the U.S. military in his first term and continues to do so.
  • The U.S. will always support NATO, even if NATO does not reciprocate.
  • The only nation that China and Russia fear and respect is the DJT Rebuilt U.S.A.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:8/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Donald Trump advocates for the immediate hiring of John Harbaugh, stating that both he and his brother are complete winners.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • John Harbaugh should be hired quickly.
  • John Harbaugh and his brother are total winners.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Interim Authorities in Venezuela will turn over 30 to 50 million barrels of sanctioned oil to the United States, with the President controlling the sale proceeds to benefit both Venezuela and the United States. Energy Secretary Chris Wright is instructed to execute this plan immediately, with the oil to be transported by storage ships to U.S. unloading docks.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Interim Authorities in Venezuela will turn over 30 to 50 million barrels of high quality, sanctioned oil to the United States of America.
  • This oil will be sold at its market price.
  • The money from the sale will be controlled by the President of the United States of America.
  • The funds will be used to benefit the people of Venezuela and the United States.
  • Energy Secretary Chris Wright has been asked to execute this plan immediately.
  • The oil will be taken by storage ships and brought directly to unloading docks in the United States.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):6/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announced his nomination of Anna St. John to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Louisiana, detailing her educational background, professional experience, and legal advocacy for free speech, religious liberty, and the exclusion of men from women’s sports.
Sentiment:Nominating
Key Claims:
  • Anna St. John has been nominated to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Louisiana.
  • She is a graduate of Columbia Law School and LSU.
  • She previously clerked for Judge Rhesa Barksdale.
  • She currently serves as President and General Counsel of the Hamilton Lincoln Law Institute and Center for Class Action Fairness.
  • She has a strong record of fighting to protect Free Speech.
  • She has a strong record of championing Religious Liberty.
  • She has a strong record of keeping men out of women’s sports.
  • She will make a fantastic Judge.
  • She will fearlessly defend the Constitution on the Federal Bench.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Announcement of John Shepherd's nomination as a Judge to the United States District Court for the Western District of Arkansas.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • John Shepherd is nominated to serve as Judge for the United States District Court for the Western District of Arkansas.
  • He currently serves as a Judge on the 13th State Judicial District in El Dorado, Arkansas.
  • He previously worked as a Prosecuting Attorney for the District.
  • He is described as 'TOUGH and SMART'.
  • He graduated magna cum laude from the University of Arkansas School of Law.
  • He holds a Bachelor’s Degree from Rice University, where he was a football player.
  • He brings a wealth of experience to his new role.
  • He will be a 'bold Advocate for Law and Order' and a 'tireless Champion of our Great Constitution'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An announcement about the nomination of Chris Wolfe to serve as a Judge on the United States District Court for the Western District of Texas.
Sentiment:Positive
Key Claims:
  • Chris Wolfe has been nominated to serve as a Judge on the United States District Court for the Western District of Texas.
  • Wolfe graduated from Baylor University and Baylor Law School.
  • Wolfe spent nearly 20 years as a Prosecutor before becoming a Judge on the 213th State Judicial Court.
  • Wolfe will continue to be a fearless Champion for the people of Texas.
  • Wolfe will uphold the Constitution, ensure Law and Order, and keep citizens safe.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announced the nomination of Andrew Davis to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Western District of Texas.
Sentiment:Positive Endorsement
Key Claims:
  • Andrew Davis has been nominated to serve as Judge on the United States District Court for the Western District of Texas.
  • Andrew Davis is a proud graduate of Columbia Law School and Rice University.
  • Andrew Davis brings tremendous experience to his new role.
  • Andrew Davis delivered strong results as Chief Counsel to Senator Ted Cruz.
  • Andrew Davis served as Assistant Solicitor General of Texas.
  • Andrew Davis was a former Law Clerk to Judges Reena Raggi and Sidney Fitzwater.
  • As Judge, Andrew Davis will uphold the Rule of Law.
  • As Judge, Andrew Davis will protect the Constitutional Rights of the Great People of Texas.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post endorses Jon Maples for Florida’s 87th State House District, highlighting his background as a businessman and civic leader, and listing policy commitments such as growing the economy, cutting taxes, promoting American manufacturing, stopping migrant crime, safeguarding elections, supporting military and law enforcement, and defending the Second Amendment. It also provides key election dates.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Jon Maples is endorsed as an 'America First Patriot' for Florida HD-87.
  • Jon Maples is a successful businessman and civic leader.
  • Jon Maples is known, loved, and endorsed by Palm Beach County friends and State Representative 'MAGA' Meg Weinberger.
  • Jon Maples will grow the economy.
  • Jon Maples will cut taxes and regulations.
  • Jon Maples will promote 'MADE IN THE U.S.A.'.
  • Jon Maples will stop migrant crime.
  • Jon Maples will safeguard elections.
  • Jon Maples will support the Military, Veterans, and Law Enforcement.
  • Jon Maples will defend the Second Amendment.
  • Early Voting for the election ends January 11th.
  • Primary Election Day is January 13th.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post provides Donald Trump's complete and total endorsement for Sara Baxter's re-election as Palm Beach County Commissioner, praising her performance and alignment with key MAGA principles.
Sentiment:Endorsing
Key Claims:
  • Sara Baxter has done an incredible job as Palm Beach County Commissioner.
  • Sara Baxter has delivered lasting results for Florida families.
  • Sara Baxter is a true MAGA Warrior who has been with 'us' from the very beginning.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Grow the Economy.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Cut Taxes and Regulations.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Advance American Energy DOMINANCE.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Stop Migrant Crime.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Support our Brave Military, Veterans, and Law Enforcement.
  • Sara Baxter is working to Defend our always under siege Second Amendment.
  • Sara Baxter has Donald Trump's complete and total endorsement for re-election.
  • Sara Baxter will never let 'you' down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post describes Donald Trump's decision to pardon Henry Cuellar and his wife, based on a letter from Cuellar's daughters and Trump's assessment of political weaponization by the Biden Administration. Trump claims Cuellar was targeted for his border policies. Now, despite granting the pardon, Trump is campaigning against Cuellar for a Congressional seat, supporting Judge Tano Tijerina as a superior candidate on issues like border security and tax cuts.
Sentiment:Campaigning and Critical
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump possesses extensive knowledge of Henry Cuellar, his records, and his financing.
  • Henry Cuellar's daughters sent heart-wrenching letters requesting clemency for their parents.
  • Henry and Imelda Cuellar faced potential imprisonment for up to 20 years.
  • Henry Cuellar made 'stupid' mistakes.
  • The Biden Administration engaged in political weaponization against Henry and Imelda Cuellar due to disagreements on Southern Border policies.
  • Henry Cuellar was a 'weak and incompetent version' of Trump regarding border security.
  • Cuellar advocated for closing the border to criminals, drug dealers, individuals from mental institutions, murderers, and heavy-handed criminals.
  • Biden's 'Radical Left Thugs' intended to imprison Cuellar for life.
  • Trump, an 'expert on Political Weaponization,' issued a full and unconditional pardon to Henry and Imelda Cuellar based on his daughters' letter, without having met them.
  • Trump did not anticipate Henry Cuellar would seek public office again, particularly as a Democrat, after receiving the pardon.
  • Trump is currently opposing Henry Cuellar for his Congressional seat, despite having granted him 'the greatest favor of his life.'
  • Judge Tano Tijerina is presented as a more powerful candidate than Henry Cuellar on border issues, tax cuts, and military matters.
  • The letter from Cuellar's daughters, dated November 12, 2025, asks for compassion and clemency, portraying their parents as dedicated public servants who supported veterans, small businesses, Border Patrol, and American energy independence.
  • The letter asserts Henry Cuellar sought legal and ethical counsel before any accusations, obtaining opinions that confirmed his actions were lawful and consistent with his duties as a Member of Congress.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10