The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

Buy Me A Coffee
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post claims that Paul Krugman of the New York Times has consistently made incorrect market predictions since 2016, a period during which all markets have achieved new highs. It asserts that Krugman's influence caused people to miss out on what is described as the "BEST MARKET IN HISTOY," and suggests pursuing legal action against those responsible for such advice.
Sentiment:Vindicative
Key Claims:
  • Paul Krugman has been consistently wrong in his market predictions since 2016.
  • During this period, all markets have reached new, unprecedented highs.
  • People were dissuaded from investing in the "BEST MARKET IN HISTOY" due to Paul Krugman's influence.
  • Legal action should be taken against individuals like Krugman who allegedly caused others to miss out on market gains.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10

The post references the S&P 500 implicitly by discussing "ALL markets" hitting new highs and being "higher than ever before," promoting a narrative of strong historical market performance. It critiques those who allegedly discouraged investment during a period described as "the best market in history," which could subtly reinforce a positive view of the market's past performance, though it does not introduce new policy or directly mention specific companies that would cause an immediate, measurable S&P 500 movement.

Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10

The post focuses on domestic economic commentary and criticism of a public figure's market predictions, with no direct references to international conflict, foreign policy, or military actions.

Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
  • Commodities: Minimal impact. The post does not discuss supply, demand, trade policy, or geopolitical events that typically move commodity prices. Gold (XAU) or Oil (WTI) are unlikely to see direct or indirect movement from this post. Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Currencies (Forex): Minimal impact. The post's focus on historical U.S. market performance and criticism of a pundit does not directly influence interest rate expectations, trade balances, or risk appetite that typically drive currency movements. Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Global Equities: Very minor, indirect impact. The post's assertion of "ALL markets" hitting new highs promotes a retrospective positive view of market conditions under a specific administration, potentially reinforcing a bullish sentiment for those who attribute past gains to that period. This is more of a historical commentary than a forward-looking market driver. Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Fixed Income (Bonds): Minimal impact. The post does not address monetary policy, inflation expectations, government debt, or fiscal policy that would directly influence bond yields or credit spreads. Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Volatility / Derivatives: Minimal impact. The post is a retrospective claim of market success and criticism of a pundit, not an event that would directly trigger volatility spikes or significant options positioning changes. Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Crypto / Digital Assets: Minimal impact. The post does not mention digital assets or blockchain technology, and its content is not directly relevant to the factors that typically drive crypto market movements (e.g., regulation, technological developments, broader risk-on/off sentiment). Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Cross-Asset Correlations and Systemic Risk: No discernible impact. The post does not contain information or rhetoric that would suggest systemic financial stress or a breakdown in typical asset correlations. Short-Term Watchlist: N/A. Medium-Term Focus: N/A.
  • Retail Sentiment / Market Psychology: Minor impact. The post directly criticizes a public figure for allegedly causing people to miss out on market gains and encourages a "sue them" mentality, which could resonate with and reinforce existing biases or frustration among certain segments of retail investors regarding market commentary and investment decisions. Short-Term Watchlist: Social media sentiment around market pundits. Medium-Term Focus: Influence of political commentary on retail investment behavior.
Show Original PostBy clicking, you agree to load content from Truth Social and share data (e.g. IP address) with them. See their privacy policy.

Note: On mobile devices, the embedded post may appear truncated. Use the scrollbar within the embed or click its "Show More" button to see the full content.