The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:The Purple Heart medal symbolizes courage, sacrifice, and purpose, representing the price paid for fellow soldiers, the country, and future generations of Americans.
Sentiment:Reverent
Key Claims:
  • The Purple Heart signifies courage, sacrifice, and purpose.
  • The medal represents a price paid for the soldier beside you.
  • The medal represents a price paid for the country behind you.
  • The medal represents a price paid for future generations of Americans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ retruth-with-comment
Summary:The post addresses crime in Washington D.C., proposing federal intervention to ensure safety and advocating for prosecuting young offenders as adults, while also asserting that the Southern Border has experienced zero illegal entries in the past three months and promising that both areas will soon be safe.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Crime in Washington D.C. is out of control.
  • Local youths and gang members are attacking innocent citizens.
  • Offenders are not deterred by law enforcement due to immediate release.
  • D.C. law needs to change to prosecute minors as adults and incarcerate them for extended periods, starting at age 14.
  • Federal control of Washington D.C. will be exerted if the city fails to address crime.
  • The Southern Border has experienced no illegal entries in the last three months.
  • Both Washington D.C. and the Southern Border will soon be safe places.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:Crime in Washington, D.C., is out of control, perpetrated by young individuals and gang members who are released immediately and are not afraid of law enforcement. The law in D.C. must be changed to prosecute minors as adults from age 14 and imprison them for extended periods. If D.C. does not address its crime problem quickly, federal control of the city will be taken to restore safety, cleanliness, and beauty.
Sentiment:Authoritative and Directive
Key Claims:
  • Crime in Washington, D.C., is totally out of control.
  • Local “youths” and gang members (ages 14-16) are randomly attacking, mugging, maiming, and shooting innocent citizens.
  • These perpetrators are almost immediately released and are not afraid of Law Enforcement because nothing happens to them.
  • The Law in D.C. must be changed to prosecute these “minors” as adults, starting at age 14, and lock them up for a long time.
  • Washington, D.C., must be safe, clean, and beautiful for all Americans and the World to see.
  • If D.C. does not improve its situation quickly, Federal control of the City will be taken.
  • Criminals will be put on notice that they will no longer get away with their actions.
  • Federal control should have been implemented earlier, which could have prevented the victim's suffering and that of others.
  • If the crime situation continues, the city will be federalized.
  • MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post presents an image indicating that consumer confidence increased by 2 points in July, reaching 97.2, an outcome described as 'shattering expectations.' The graphic, attributed to The White House and quoting CNN Business, states that Americans are becoming more hopeful about the economy as trade talks advance.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Consumer confidence increased by 2 points in July.
  • Consumer confidence reached 97.2 in July.
  • The increase in consumer confidence 'shattered expectations.'
  • Americans are growing hopeful about the economy.
  • Progress in trade talks is a factor in Americans' growing economic hopefulness.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post consists of a letter from Donald Trump, dated July 31, 2025, addressed to Christopher Boerner of Bristol Myers Squibb, outlining demands for pharmaceutical companies to lower drug prices for American patients. The letter states that an Executive Order was signed on May 12, 2025, to ensure Americans pay the same drug prices as other developed nations, asserting that U.S. prices are currently up to three times higher due to other nations 'freeloading' on American innovation. It demands specific actions within 60 days, including extending Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) pricing to Medicaid and new drugs, repatriating increased revenues from abroad to lower U.S. prices, and providing for direct purchasing at MFN pricing. The letter indicates that if these demands are not met by September 29, 2025, the Administration will use 'every tool' to protect American families from 'abusive drug pricing practices,' with Secretary Kennedy and Administrator Oz prepared for implementation.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • An Executive Order, 'Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients,' was signed on May 12, 2025.
  • The Executive Order aims to stop 'global freeloading' and guarantee Americans pay the same drug prices as other developed nations.
  • Brand name drug prices in the United States are up to three times higher than elsewhere.
  • This situation is an 'unacceptable burden on hardworking American families.'
  • The Administration rejects proposals that result in 'handouts to industry.'
  • Drug manufacturers must provide immediate relief from 'vastly inflated drug prices.'
  • European and other developed nations are 'freeloading' off American innovation.
  • Bristol Myers Squibb and all drug manufacturers are called to take specific actions within 60 days.
  • MFN pricing must be extended to Medicaid for existing drugs.
  • MFN pricing must be guaranteed for newly-launched drugs for Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial payers.
  • Increased revenues from abroad must be returned to American patients and taxpayers.
  • Direct Purchasing at MFN Pricing through DTC and/or DTB models must be provided.
  • Secretary Kennedy and Administrator Oz are ready to implement these terms.
  • If manufacturers refuse to comply, the Administration will deploy 'every tool' to protect American families from 'abusive drug pricing practices.'
  • Americans are demanding lower drug prices.
  • Binding commitments are expected by September 29, 2025.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The post is a letter from the White House, dated July 31, 2025, to Gilead Sciences, Inc., demanding that the company and all drug manufacturers adopt 'Most-Favored-Nation' (MFN) drug pricing for American patients, extending it to Medicaid, new drugs, and direct purchasing, and repatriating revenues from abroad to lower U.S. drug prices, or face consequences from the Administration.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • An Executive Order was signed on May 12, 2025, to ensure Americans pay the same drug prices as other developed nations.
  • Brand name drug prices in the U.S. are up to three times higher than elsewhere for identical medicines.
  • Current proposals from the industry involve 'shifting blame' and 'handouts.'
  • Drug manufacturers must commit to providing immediate relief from inflated drug prices.
  • Gilead Sciences, Inc., and all manufacturers are called upon to extend MFN pricing to existing Medicaid drugs.
  • Manufacturers must guarantee MFN pricing for newly-launched drugs for Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial payers.
  • Increased revenues from abroad must be repatriated to lower U.S. drug prices.
  • Manufacturers should participate in direct-to-consumer/business distribution models for MFN pricing.
  • Secretary Kennedy and Administrator Oz are ready to implement these terms.
  • The Administration will deploy 'every tool in our arsenal' if drug manufacturers refuse to comply.
  • Other nations have been 'freeloading' on U.S. innovation.
  • Binding commitments are expected by September 29, 2025.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:7/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ image
Summary:The White House, on July 31, 2025, sent a letter to Novo Nordisk, outlining an Executive Order signed on May 12, 2025, that mandates drug manufacturers adopt Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) pricing for American patients, including for existing drugs via Medicaid and for new drugs for all payers. The letter claims that American patients currently pay up to three times more for brand-name drugs due to global freeloading and demands that increased revenues from higher prices charged abroad be repatriated to benefit American patients and taxpayers. It instructs manufacturers to implement direct purchasing at MFN pricing and warns that non-compliance by September 29, 2025, will result in the deployment of every available tool.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • An Executive Order, 'Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients,' was signed on May 12, 2025.
  • Brand name drug prices in the United States are up to three times higher than in other developed nations due to 'global freeloading.'
  • Drug manufacturers must extend Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) pricing to Medicaid for their full portfolio of existing drugs.
  • Drug manufacturers must guarantee MFN pricing for newly-launched drugs to Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial payers.
  • Increased revenues obtained abroad must be repatriated to lower drug prices for American patients and taxpayers.
  • Manufacturers must provide for direct purchasing at MFN pricing through Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and/or Direct-to-Business (DTB) distribution models for high-volume, high-rebate prescription drugs.
  • Refusal to comply will result in the deployment of 'every tool in our arsenal to protect American families from continued abusive drug pricing practices.'
  • Binding commitments to achieve these goals are required by September 29, 2025.
  • Secretary Kennedy and Administrator Oz are part of the team ready to implement these terms.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:The post endorses Congressman Mark Messmer for re-election to Indiana’s 8th Congressional District, highlighting his record of success and support for conservative values and policies.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Mark Messmer is a fantastic representative.
  • Mark Messmer has an incredible record of success.
  • Mark Messmer has strong support from his community.
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to protect 'Hoosier' Values.
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to support our amazing Farmers and Ranchers.
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to cut Taxes and Regulations.
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to ensure American Energy DOMINANCE by helping to keep the price of Gasoline, Oil, and all forms of Energy VERY LOW (CHEAP!).
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to help secure our now VERY Secure (Record Setting!) Southern Border.
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to champion our Military/Veterans.
  • Mark Messmer is working tirelessly to defend our always under siege Second Amendment.
  • Mark Messmer has complete and total endorsement for re-election.
  • Mark Messmer will not let the people down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ text
Summary:Republicans included $50 billion in a bill called the 'ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL' to strengthen vulnerable hospitals, including those in rural areas, to improve the healthcare system for communities, but every Democrat voted against this funding. Republicans in Congress are thanked for their hard work and for making this achievement possible, with the nation also expressing gratitude.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Americans know a better Healthcare System is needed to serve Great Communities.
  • Great Communities were abandoned by the Radical Left Democrats.
  • Republicans included $50 Billion Dollars in the 'ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL' to strengthen vulnerable Hospitals, including those in Rural areas.
  • Every Democrat voted against this funding.
  • Republicans in Congress worked incredibly hard to make this achievement possible.
  • Our Nation thanks the Republicans in Congress for their work.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Profile Picture View on Truth Social ↗ video
Summary:A quote from Secretary Chris Wright outlines a "One Big Beautiful Bill" that eliminates over half a trillion dollars in taxpayer-funded subsidies, which is expected to simultaneously reduce energy prices for all Americans.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • A bill named 'The One Big Beautiful Bill' exists.
  • This bill eliminates over half a trillion dollars in subsidies.
  • These subsidies are currently paid for by American taxpayers.
  • The bill will reduce energy prices for all Americans.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10