The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:Donald Trump is depicted at a gas station with a prominent headline from The New York Times indicating that summer gas prices have reached levels not seen since 2021.
Sentiment:Campaigning / Economic Focus
Key Claims:
  • Summer gas prices are currently at their lowest levels since 2021.
  • The New York Times reports this economic development.
  • Donald Trump is visually associated with the topic of gas prices and economic conditions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have reached record high values of 6,163.31 and 20,236.33 respectively, showing significant gains over the past month, with these achievements attributed to being "under Trump."
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • The S&P 500 has reached a record high of 6,163.31.
  • The Nasdaq Composite has reached a record high of 20,236.33.
  • The S&P 500 gained 4.08% in the past month.
  • The Nasdaq Composite gained 5.40% in the past month.
  • These record highs and gains occurred under Trump.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:NATO allies have agreed to increase their annual defense spending to 5% of their GDP, a commitment presented as a direct result of President Trump's influence and American leadership, leading to a substantial increase in defense investment by 2035.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • NATO Allies have agreed to invest 5% of their GDP annually in defense.
  • This commitment is a response to significant threats to security.
  • President Trump called on NATO members to boost their defense spending to 5 percent, and they agreed.
  • American leadership is back on the world stage.
  • President Trump convinced all of NATO to increase their defense spending by billions, to 5% of GDP annually.
  • This is a massive victory and a huge development.
  • NATO allies will now be spending an extra $700 billion on their own defense.
  • The U.S. will no longer be taken advantage of.
  • Only Trump could accomplish this.
  • NATO allies have committed to invest 5 percent of GDP annually on defense by 2035.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:The post announces that Jason Simmons has won the position of North Carolina GOP Chairman, highlighting that he was endorsed by President Trump.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Jason Simmons won the North Carolina GOP Chairman election.
  • Jason Simmons received an endorsement from President Trump.
  • The endorsement by President Trump is presented as a factor in Jason Simmons' victory.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:The post highlights four individuals identified as foreign citizens who have been convicted of serious crimes, including murder, robbery, and drug offenses, and states that they were arrested by ICE. The accompanying text calls these individuals 'Tough guys' and asserts that courts must allow the poster to effectively manage such situations.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Four individuals, identified as citizens of Cuba, Laos, and Mexico, have been convicted of various serious crimes.
  • Crimes include homicide, armed robbery, false impersonation of official, kidnapping, attempted first-degree murder, battery, larceny, cocaine possession, cocaine trafficking, first-degree murder, and second-degree murder.
  • One individual, Thongxay NILAKOUT, murdered a German tourist in Los Angeles, California.
  • All four individuals were arrested by ICE in 2025.
  • The poster implies that courts are hindering efforts to address situations involving such individuals.
  • The poster calls for the courts to allow the poster to effectively address these issues.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Donald Trump expresses agreement with Senator Elizabeth Warren on the necessity of eliminating the debt limit to avert an economic catastrophe. He also indicates favor for a $4 trillion spending idea, suggesting it be implemented over a compressed timeframe, and calls for bipartisan cooperation to achieve these goals.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Senator Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump agree the debt limit should be scrapped to prevent an economic catastrophe.
  • A bipartisan bill should be passed to eliminate the debt limit permanently.
  • Jacking up the debt limit by $4 trillion to fund more tax breaks for billionaires is an outrage (as stated by Senator Warren in the image).
  • The Debt Limit is too devastating to be controlled by political individuals who might use it despite its horrendous effects on the Country and, indirectly, the World.
  • Donald Trump likes Senator Warren's statement regarding the $4 Trillion Dollars.
  • The $4 Trillion Dollars initiative should be implemented over a period of time, as short as possible.
  • Republicans and Democrats should collaborate to achieve these proposed actions.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:8/10
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Summary:The post shows Donald Trump interacting with Elon Musk, Ted Cruz, and Ari Emanuel at a public event, identified by UFC lanyards and a large audience, visually capturing a moment of public association among these figures.
Sentiment:Public Engagement
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump, Elon Musk, Ted Cruz, and Ari Emanuel were present together at a public event.
  • The individuals in the image are seen interacting with each other.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:An article from the Financial Times reports on Newsmax, a conservative television network, going public and experiencing a significant surge in its stock value, positioning it as a thriving "Trump-adjacent" business with a market capitalization comparable to Fox Corporation.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Newsmax is a Trump-adjacent business with credible prospects.
  • The television sector, despite being in secular decline, can generate significant cash via advertising and subscriptions.
  • Newsmax is a conservative television empire thriving in the age of President Donald Trump.
  • Newsmax went public this week and raised $75 million.
  • Newsmax shares surged from a listing price of $10 to $233.
  • Newsmax achieved a market capitalization of $30 billion.
  • Newsmax's day-one bump gave it an enterprise value roughly in line with that of Fox Corporation.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:Dan Patrick, Lt. Governor of Texas, thanks Donald Trump for his crucial role in the passage of the school choice program in Texas, which is presented as a significant conservative achievement and the largest school choice program in world history, benefiting 100,000 students with $1 billion.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump's phone call and commitment were decisive in the passage of the Texas school choice program.
  • The school choice program is a major conservative achievement.
  • The program will permanently alter education for Texas families by providing a say in their child's education.
  • The program is the largest school choice launch in world history, supporting 100,000 students with $1 billion.
  • Public schools will be compelled to compete against private schools, thereby improving public education.
  • Making school choice a major national policy issue offers every student a path to the American dream through education.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump promotes a new book by Salena Zito, 'BUTLER: The Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump and the Fight for America’s Heartland,' stating Zito was an eyewitness to the described event and highlighting the enduring spirit of his movement to 'FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT' and 'MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.'
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Salena Zito has written a new book titled 'BUTLER: The Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump and the Fight for America’s Heartland.'
  • Salena Zito was an eyewitness to the 'terrible day' of the near assassination attempt.
  • The movement has an 'unbreakable Spirit' and is committed to 'FIGHT, FIGHT, FIGHT.'
  • The future of the nation resides in the 'Hearts and Souls of the People of this Country.'
  • The movement will not rest until America is made great again.
  • A near assassination of Donald Trump occurred.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10