The Stable Genius Report

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Filtering by entity: Iraq | Clear Filter
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Summary:The post displays a table titled 'Immigrant Welfare Recipient Rates by Country of Origin,' which lists various countries and the percentage of their immigrant households reportedly receiving welfare assistance. The rates range from 81.4% for Bhutan to 49.2% for Laos.
Sentiment:Policy-focused
Key Claims:
  • Immigrant households from various countries receive welfare assistance at different rates.
  • Bhutan has the highest listed rate of immigrant households receiving welfare assistance at 81.4%.
  • Laos has the lowest listed rate of immigrant households receiving welfare assistance at 49.2%.
  • Multiple countries have over 50% of their immigrant households receiving welfare assistance.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump endorses Congressman Tony Gonzales for re-election, praising his military service and highlighting his commitment to national defense, economic growth, tax cuts, American manufacturing, energy independence, border security, and the Second Amendment.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Congressman Tony Gonzales is a terrific Representative.
  • He is a retired Master Chief Petty Officer from the U.S. Navy.
  • He bravely deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan.
  • He knows the wisdom and courage required to defend the country, support the military/veterans, and ensure peace through strength.
  • In Congress, Tony is working to grow the economy.
  • He is working to cut taxes and regulations.
  • He is working to promote Made in the U.S.A.
  • He champions American energy dominance.
  • He keeps the now very secure border, secure.
  • He defends the always under siege Second Amendment.
  • Tony Gonzales has complete and total endorsement for re-election.
  • He will not let the people down.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A letter from the White House, dated July 9, 2025, to the Prime Minister of Iraq, Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani, outlines a new U.S. trade policy imposing a 30% tariff on all Iraqi products starting August 1, 2025. The letter states this measure is due to persistent trade deficits, warns against retaliatory tariffs, and asserts that the deficit poses a threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The United States has a significant and persistent trade deficit with Iraq.
  • The U.S. will impose a 30% tariff on all Iraqi products starting August 1, 2025.
  • The 30% tariff is separate from all sectoral tariffs.
  • Goods transshipped to evade a higher tariff will be subject to the 30% tariff.
  • The 30% tariff is far less than what is needed to eliminate the trade deficit.
  • If Iraq raises its tariffs, the U.S. will add that amount to the 30% charge.
  • Iraq's tariffs, non-tariff policies, and trade barriers have caused unsustainable trade deficits against the United States.
  • The trade deficit is a major threat to the U.S. economy and national security.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):5/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:5/10