The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Filtering by entity: Israel | Clear Filter
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Summary:The post claims that Israel and Iran simultaneously sought peace from the author, portraying this as a global and Middle Eastern triumph that will lead to love, peace, and prosperity for both nations, provided they adhere to righteousness and truth.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Israel and Iran approached the author seeking peace.
  • The peace initiative is a win for the world and the Middle East.
  • Both nations will experience tremendous love, peace, and prosperity.
  • Adherence to righteousness and truth is essential for their future.
  • The future for Israel and Iran is unlimited and full of promise.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:The post announces a hypothetical future agreement for a complete and total ceasefire between Israel and Iran, orchestrated by Donald Trump, effectively ending a '12 Day War' and fostering peace in the Middle East. It attributes this peace to Trump's direct action.
Sentiment:Triumphant and Declarative
Key Claims:
  • A complete and total ceasefire has been agreed upon between Israel and Iran.
  • The ceasefire will commence in approximately 6 hours and will lead to the official end of 'THE 12 DAY WAR' after 12 hours.
  • Donald Trump is solely responsible for delivering this ceasefire and preventing a prolonged, destructive war in the Middle East.
  • Both Israel and Iran are congratulated for their stamina, courage, and intelligence in reaching this agreement.
  • The agreement ensures peaceful and respectful conduct from both sides during the ceasefire phases.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:Announces a 'Complete and Total CEASEFIRE' agreed upon by Israel and Iran, leading to the end of 'THE 12 DAY WAR' within 24 hours. The post details a staged ceasefire process and congratulates both nations for their role in resolving the conflict.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • A Complete and Total CEASEFIRE has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran.
  • The ceasefire will commence in approximately 6 hours.
  • The initial ceasefire will last for 12 hours.
  • The war will be considered 'ENDED' after the 12-hour ceasefire.
  • Iran will initiate the ceasefire, followed by Israel.
  • An Official END to 'THE 12 DAY WAR' will occur at the 24th Hour.
  • During each ceasefire period, the other side will remain 'PEACEFUL and RESPECTFUL'.
  • The conflict, referred to as 'THE 12 DAY WAR,' could have lasted for years and destroyed the entire Middle East.
  • Both Israel and Iran are congratulated for their 'Stamina, Courage, and Intelligence' in ending the war.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):10/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:10/10
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Summary:The post describes Iran's weak response to a US action against its nuclear facilities, claiming 13 out of 14 missiles were intercepted with no American casualties or significant damage, and expresses hope for de-escalation and peace in the region, encouraging both Iran and Israel towards harmony.
Sentiment:De-escalatory
Key Claims:
  • Iran responded weakly to the obliteration of their nuclear facilities.
  • 14 missiles were fired by Iran, 13 were intercepted, and 1 was non-threatening.
  • No Americans were harmed, and hardly any damage was done.
  • Iran has gotten aggression out of their 'system'.
  • There will hopefully be no further HATE.
  • Iran gave early notice, which prevented casualties.
  • Iran should now proceed to Peace and Harmony in the Region.
  • Israel should also proceed to Peace and Harmony in the Region.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
Key Entities:
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Summary:Announces an upcoming address about a successful military operation in Iran, declaring it a historic moment for the US, Israel, and the world, and demanding Iran end the war.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • An address to the Nation will be given at 10:00 P.M. at the White House.
  • A military operation in Iran was very successful.
  • This is an historic moment for the United States of America, Israel, and the World.
  • Iran must now agree to end 'this war'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):9/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:9/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post displays an image of Donald Trump alongside a claim of 56% approval, citing Rasmussen Reports, framed as 'Proof That America Loves Trump' over a background depicting an American flag and visual elements suggesting global conflict and geopolitical tensions from an apparent news broadcast ticker.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump has a 56% approval rating.
  • The 56% approval rating is proof that America loves Trump.
  • The approval rating source is Rasmussen Reports.
  • Russia has warned the US regarding direct military aid to Israel.
  • China plans to help its citizens.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:7/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Donald Trump announces a peace treaty he arranged between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and states representatives will sign documents in Washington. He lists this alongside other diplomatic achievements during his presidency, including the Abraham Accords and peace efforts between India/Pakistan, Serbia/Kosovo, and Egypt/Ethiopia. He expresses frustration at not receiving a Nobel Peace Prize for these efforts, including potential future outcomes regarding Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran.
Sentiment:Self-congratulatory
Key Claims:
  • Arranged a peace treaty between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
  • Representatives from Rwanda and the Congo will sign documents in Washington on Monday.
  • The war between DRC and Rwanda was known for violent bloodshed and death for decades.
  • Claims to have stopped the War between India and Pakistan.
  • Claims to have stopped the War between Serbia and Kosovo.
  • Claims to have kept Peace between Egypt and Ethiopia.
  • The Ethiopian built dam was 'stupidly financed by the United States of America' and substantially reduces water into The Nile River.
  • Claims credit for the Abraham Accords in the Middle East, with potential for additional countries to sign on and unify the Middle East.
  • Believes he will not receive a Nobel Peace Prize for any of his diplomatic achievements, including potential outcomes for Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Iran.
  • States 'the people know' about his achievements, and that is what matters to him.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:1/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:The post shares a private message from Mike Huckabee to Donald Trump, where Huckabee expresses profound admiration for Trump's presidency, calling it divinely appointed and historically significant, and reaffirms his unwavering commitment to his role as Ambassador to Israel.
Sentiment:Laudatory
Key Claims:
  • Donald Trump is the most consequential President in a century, possibly ever.
  • Trump's decisions are divinely guided.
  • Mike Huckabee views himself as Trump's appointed servant in the U.S. and Israel.
  • Huckabee's role as Ambassador to Israel includes ensuring the U.S. flag flies above the embassy and not abandoning the post.
  • Huckabee implicitly suggests Trump's return to power is divinely destined.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Donald Trump refutes French President Emmanuel Macron's claim that Trump left the G7 Summit to work on an Israel-Iran ceasefire, stating his actual reason for departure is 'much bigger' and that Macron 'always gets it wrong.'
Sentiment:Confident
Key Claims:
  • Emmanuel Macron is publicity seeking.
  • Macron mistakenly claimed Trump left G7 to work on an Israel-Iran 'cease fire'.
  • Trump's reason for leaving the G7 was not for an Israel-Iran ceasefire.
  • Trump's reason for leaving is 'much bigger'.
  • Emmanuel Macron 'always gets it wrong'.
  • Something significant is upcoming ('Stay Tuned!').
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:3/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:Donald Trump claims he can achieve peace between Iran and Israel, citing past successful interventions he facilitated between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia, often using US trade as leverage. He criticizes President Biden's foreign policy decisions and asserts his own unique ability to resolve long-standing conflicts, promising to bring peace to the Middle East.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Iran and Israel should and will make a deal.
  • He facilitated peace deals between India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, and Egypt and Ethiopia during his first term.
  • He used US trade as a tool to bring reason and cohesion to talks.
  • Biden has made 'very stupid decisions' that have hurt longer-term prospects.
  • He will 'fix' the Serbia-Kosovo situation again.
  • Peace between Israel and Iran will happen soon due to his intervention.
  • He does not receive sufficient credit for his actions but 'the PEOPLE understand'.
  • His goal is to 'MAKE THE MIDDLE EAST GREAT AGAIN!'.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10