The Stable Genius Report

Stay informed on the latest Truth Social posts from Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) without the doomscrolling. Consider it a public service for your mental health. (Why?)

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Summary:President Trump acknowledges Scott Adams' public request for intervention regarding a critical healthcare scheduling issue for his metastatic prostate cancer, signaling his intent to act.
Sentiment:Supportive
Key Claims:
  • Scott Adams has metastasized prostate cancer.
  • Kaiser of Northern California has approved a newly FDA-approved drug called Pluvicto for Scott Adams.
  • Kaiser of Northern California has failed to schedule the administration of the Pluvicto IV, creating an urgent medical situation.
  • Scott Adams is 'declining fast' due to the scheduling delay.
  • President Trump previously offered to help Scott Adams if needed.
  • Scott Adams is requesting President Trump's intervention with Kaiser to schedule his treatment for Monday.
  • President Trump has responded, indicating he is addressing the request with the caption 'On it!'
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):1/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:Criminal organizations in Mexico are offering financial incentives for attacks, including murder, against federal law enforcement, with Homeland Security asserting a significant increase in assaults on ICE/CBP officers. The post concludes by stating that under President Trump and Sec. Noem, all criminals, terrorists, and illegal aliens will face American justice.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • Criminal organizations in Mexico are offering thousands of dollars for the murder of federal law enforcement.
  • Payouts for targeting law enforcement escalate based on rank and action taken, including up to $50,000 for assassinating high-ranking officials.
  • ICE/CBP officers are experiencing more than a 1000% increase in assaults against them.
  • Under President Trump and Sec. Noem, every criminal, terrorist, and illegal alien will face American justice.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:6/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:1/10
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Summary:President Trump, identified as the "Dealmaker-in-Chief," secures landmark wins for America during an Asia trip that occurred in October 2025.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump is the 'Dealmaker-in-Chief'
  • President Trump opened an Asia trip in October 2025
  • President Trump secured landmark wins for America during this trip
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):2/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:The post urges voters to support Republican gubernatorial candidates over Democrats, asserting that Republicans will deliver massive energy cost reductions, large-scale tax cuts, and a more affordable life, while Democrats are associated with high crime, expensive energy, and specific social policies.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • Mikie Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger support 'transgender for everybody'.
  • Mikie Sherrill and Abigail Spanberger support men playing in women’s sports.
  • Democrats are responsible for high crime.
  • Democrats are responsible for the most expensive energy prices.
  • Voting Republican will lead to massive energy cost reductions.
  • Voting Republican will lead to large scale tax cuts.
  • Voting Republican represents basic common sense.
  • Under President Trump, gasoline will come down to approximately $2 a gallon very soon.
  • With Democrats, gasoline will be $4, $5, and $6 a gallon.
  • With Democrats, electric and other energy costs will soar.
  • Voting Republican leads to a great and very affordable life.
  • Voting Democrat leads to unrelentingly high crime.
  • Voting Democrat leads to energy prices through the roof.
  • Voting Democrat leads to men playing in women’s sports.
  • Voting Democrat leads to heartache.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):7/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:6/10
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Summary:Ford and General Motors experienced significant positive performance, which is attributed to tariffs imposed on big and mid-sized trucks originating from other countries, with President Trump being credited for these actions.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • Ford and General Motors are performing well.
  • The positive performance of Ford and General Motors is a direct result of tariffs.
  • Tariffs were placed on big and mid-sized trucks from other countries.
  • President Trump is responsible for implementing these tariffs.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:2/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:2/10
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Summary:US Treasury sanctions major Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil and calls on Moscow to agree to an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine, citing President Putin's refusal to end the war and aiming to degrade Russia's war-funding ability.
Sentiment:Directive
Key Claims:
  • The U.S. Treasury, through OFAC, is imposing sanctions on major Russian oil companies.
  • These sanctions are in response to Russia's lack of commitment to a peace process to end the war in Ukraine.
  • The actions aim to increase pressure on Russia's energy sector and weaken the Kremlin's ability to fund its war and support its economy.
  • The United States advocates for a peaceful resolution, with peace dependent on Russia's willingness to negotiate in good faith.
  • Secretary Scott Bessent states the sanctions are necessary due to President Putin's refusal to end the war and calls for an immediate ceasefire.
  • Treasury is prepared to take further action to support President Trump's effort to end the war.
  • Allies are encouraged to join and adhere to these sanctions.
  • Rosneft and Lukoil are identified as Russia's two largest oil companies funding the Kremlin's war machine.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):8/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:9/10
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Summary:The post by 'Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent' on October 22, 2025, asserts that the U.S. budget deficit dramatically shrank in the second quarter of 2025. It claims the cumulative deficit from April to September 2025 was $468 billion, the lowest since 2019 and nearly 40% lower than the comparable period in 2024, attributing this reduction to President Trump's leadership and contrasting it with alleged reckless spending by the Biden administration. The post states President Trump is stabilizing the U.S. financial system with soaring revenues and controlled spending, dismissing Democratic attempts to undermine this progress.
Sentiment:Campaigning
Key Claims:
  • The budget deficit began to shrink dramatically in the second quarter of 2025.
  • From April to September 2025, the cumulative deficit totaled $468 billion.
  • The $468 billion deficit in 2025 is the lowest reading since 2019.
  • The 2025 deficit is down nearly 40% from the comparable period in 2024.
  • The reduction in deficit is presented as occurring when there was no overlap with the Biden administration.
  • The deficit reduction contrasts with the Biden administration's alleged 'reckless spending' in 2024.
  • President Trump is putting the U.S. financial system on solid footing.
  • Revenues are soaring and government spending is under control.
  • Democrats' attempts to undo this progress by 'shutting down the government' will not succeed.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):4/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:3/10
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Summary:Lord Conrad Black describes President Trump's diplomatic achievement in the Middle East as a significant step toward peace, comparable in importance to the founding of Israel, and notes that it has received little recognition.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump accomplished a major diplomatic achievement in the Middle East.
  • This diplomatic achievement is the greatest in the Middle East since the founding of the state of Israel.
  • The achievement represents a gigantic step forward toward peace.
  • The achievement has received little recognition due to President Trump's involvement.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
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Summary:A post from Donald Trump features a statement by María Corina Machado declaring that Venezuela is on the threshold of victory in its struggle for freedom and democracy, identifying President Trump, the United States, the peoples of Latin America, and other democratic nations as primary allies in this endeavor.
Sentiment:Advocating
Key Claims:
  • The struggle of Venezuelans for freedom has received immense recognition.
  • The task to conquer freedom is nearing conclusion.
  • Venezuela is on the threshold of victory.
  • President Trump, the people of the United States, the peoples of Latin America, and democratic nations are essential allies for achieving freedom and democracy in Venezuela.
  • Venezuela will achieve freedom.
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):3/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:5/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:4/10
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Summary:President Trump has achieved a historical milestone.
Sentiment:Triumphant
Key Claims:
  • President Trump has made history
Potential Market Impact (S&P 500):0/10
Potential Geopolitical Risk:0/10
Potential Global Cross-Asset Impact:0/10
Key Entities: